Very heavy rainfall in the upper Mississippi Valley during the first half of July caused a rise on the Mississippi River that travelled as far south as Cape Girardeau and Thebes. Only minor flooding occurred around mid-month.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Very heavy rainfall in the upper Mississippi Valley during the first half of July caused a rise on the Mississippi River that travelled as far south as Cape Girardeau and Thebes. Only minor flooding occurred around mid-month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 2:00 PM CST, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 300 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2014 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday night) Issued at 117 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 Not sure about this afternoon. It is under-played, attm, with a dearth of radar returns. Still, Laps shows surface destabilization occurring with negative LI's, and dew points near 70F, and primary cold front still to our north, dropping in. Upper circulation center noted on WV imagery rotating across Great Lakes should drive front on thru FA this pm/early evening. Would anticipate with further juicing of the atmos this pm, convection should fire along/ahead of said frontal boundary. That means a higher chance south, vs north, but we've cut back strictly into the chc cat for now. Also NAM races it on thru, GFS hangs it a little but races it thru compared to previous runs, so we think the chance (including SPC swody1 SLGT risk) will be mainly thru the pm/early evening hours with notable cut-off after midnight with fropa. After that, a nice cooling in both surface air and dew point temps should make the mid to close of the week pleasantly mild. .Long Term /Friday through Tuesday/... Issued at 300 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 An unusually active pattern for mid summer will continue through the long term. The general theme will continue to be troughing over the East and high amplitude ridging over the West. Variations in the amplitude of the mid level flow will continue to dictate our weather. As far as the daily details...surface high pressure will weaken and move off the East Coast on Friday. A light southerly return flow will bring somewhat warmer and more humid air northward. The low level flow will increase from the southwest over the weekend...bringing some of the highest 850 mb temps so far this season. Most of the recent gfs/ecmwf runs have indicated a nose of 850 mb temps in the lower to mid 20s over our region by Sunday. This would support highs in the lower to mid 90s. However...the forecast is not straightforward due to the risk of mesoscale convective systems muddying the waters...similar to what occurred here over the past 24 hours. Friday night through Sunday night...mid level ridging over the southern Plains will strengthen and expand northeast into the Lower Ohio Valley. A pool of moist and very unstable air will become established over much of the mid section of the country. Convective complexes will likely develop over the central Plains or Missouri Valley...in the vicinity of a frontal boundary. Weak northwest mid level flow will tend to steer these complexes in our direction. Will continue low pops in the forecast for the entire weekend to account for the possibility of decaying convective systems reaching our area. Pops will be slightly higher north and east of a kmdh/khop line...where capping will be weaker and steering flow will be stronger on the periphery of the high. Early next week...an unseasonably strong cyclonic vortex will drop south into the Great Lakes region. This will push a cold front southward across our region...most likely on Monday. The ecmwf has been more aggressive with its southward push of Canadian air. In any case...Tuesday will see the start of a potentially significant cooldown. Will keep a slight chance pop in the forecast for Tuesday as impulses will likely be rotating southeast around the Great Lakes vortex. && .AVIATION... Issued at 117 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 Visibile imagery shows some marginal MVFR cu bases developing along frontal boundary, which is poised to sag south across the terminals this evening. With it, may be an isolated convective chance, precluded from mention for now. After fropa winds shift to nwlys and lessen, but prior to, gusts into the 20s out of the southwest are anticipated. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && Short term/aviation...DH Long term...MY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 229 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 229 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER OF OUR AREA. THIS INCLUDES A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...BUT IT APPEARS THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE SLIGHT RISK...WILL BE JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN BY LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY ALERT THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING IN CASE THEIR ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED...BUT IT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the Mississippi River near Cape Girardeau. Some low-lying fields and woodlands near the river were inundated. River access facilities such as boat ramps and parks were underwater.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 529961.