Heavy rain occurred on the north side of a stationary front that extended from the southern Plains northeast across the Lower Ohio Valley.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Heavy rain occurred on the north side of a stationary front that extended from the southern Plains northeast across the Lower Ohio Valley.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 5, 2:20 PM CST, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 220 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2014 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 220 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 Large shield of showers and isolated storms will advance NE this afternoon across the area. Additional development anticipated as the parent mid level s/wv moves ENE toward and then across the area tonight and early Saturday morning. The HRRR, blended with the WRF/NMM solutions was used for progression and somewhat with respect to coverage. After an early morning lingering slight chance over the ERN 1/4 of the CWFA Saturday, it will dry out, with high pressure moving across the area through Sunday. Return to rather cool weather in the wake of the storm system. Temps will continue to be weighted toward base model output initially, then more toward MOS Saturday night through Sunday. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday) Issued at 220 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 A rather dry pattern will continue for this extended forecast period as a low amplitude, but dominant ridge persists across the Central U.S. The early week (Monday) closed low over the Great Lakes will pivot and deepen over the Northeast, creating somewhat of a blocking pattern from next Wednesday through Friday. The influence of cold air advection around the back side of this low will slow the northward advance of warm air on the back side of the surface high across the area. Given the amount of sunshine and weak warm advection expected over the area later in the week, confidence with respect to temperatures is a little lower than usual. Forecast highs and lows may be 2-4 degrees too cool. Some minor tweaks have been made (1-2 degrees upward) to account for this cool bias, but will have to monitor to determine whether the adjustment is enough. Lows should be reasonable, given the influx of drier air over the region. The most interesting feature will occur outside of the seven day forecast period, namely around December 15th and 16th. The last 2-3 runs of the GFS/ECMWF has suggested a deep low developing east of the Rockies with a decent moisture fetch from the Gulf of Mexico and decent warm advection northward under strong southerly winds. Although kinematic and convective parameters have limited instability and shear well out ahead of the system, there could be decent forcing with the front (or pre-frontal trough) to produce some good convection (thunderstorms) Monday into Tuesday (15th and 16th). Will be something worth watching as this system progresses through the model guidance next week. && .AVIATION... Issued at 220 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 Widespread showers and isolated lightning will continue to progress from SW to NE across the area this afternoon. In the wake of this large area, additional activity is expected, though it will likely not be as widespread. Surface low pressure will track from KUNO around 00z to KEVV by 06z. SE to S winds south of the low track will continue, followed by a shift to the NW at the Terminals this evening, increasing to 10 to 15 kts. Shower chances will decrease late tonight. Cigs will mainly range from MVFR to IFR, as will VSBYS. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 750 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-061100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 750 AM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS. HOWEVER...FROM LATE AFTERNOON INTO MID EVENING...A FEW STORMS CAPABLE OF STRONG WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...THE FAR SOUTHERN TIP OF ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 114 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 INZ081-082-086-087-052100- GIBSON-PIKE-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...EVANSVILLE... BOONVILLE 114 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2014 ...LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 3 PM... LOW CLOUDS AND LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO POOL MOISTURE NEAR THE SURFACE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED AREAS OF BRIEF...DENSE FOG ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THE MOST IMPACTED AREAS WILL INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF VANDERBURGH...GIBSON...WARRICK AND PIKE COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA. IF YOU ARE DRIVING IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY EVANSVILLE...PRINCETON...PETERSBURG AND BOONVILLE...YOU MAY ENCOUNTER VISIBILITIES ON THE ROAD DROPPING AT OR BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. MAKE SURE TO USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS AND ALLOW A LITTLE EXTRA ROOM BETWEEN YOURSELF AND OTHER DRIVERS ON THE ROAD. THE FOG SHOULD LIFT AS RAIN MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. SMITH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
The storm-total rainfall at the co-operative observer site three miles northeast of Mount Vernon was 2.67 inches. This rain fell within 24 hours. Water was across several spots on Route 37.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, December 2014
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 547488.