Florida, 2014

Damaging Winds in Florida, July 15, 2014

July 15, 2014 · NWS TAE · 4 events in 3 counties and zones

Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours on a seasonably hot, muggy day with a few storms becoming severe.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$7,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours on a seasonably hot, muggy day with a few storms becoming severe.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 15, 9:27 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 9:27 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1027 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2014

.Near Term [Through Today]...
A fairly active day of convection is expected with a tropical
airmass in place and a cold front approaching. Modifying the 12z
KTAE sounding for the 14z observed T/Td at the airport already
shows SBCAPE values near 3000 j/kg, and this is in close agreement
with the SPC mesoanalysis. Expect to see a few stronger storms
with gusty winds this afternoon, and an isolated severe storm or
two remains possible. The only changes to the previous forecast
were to add a mention of gusty winds and to tweak PoPs slightly to
account for the latest radar trends and add some temporal detail.
Expect one batch of storms to move along the coast and across the
Florida zones through the early to mid afternoon, and then a
second batch to develop closer to the front and affect southeast
Alabama and southwest Georgia later this afternoon. This is in
agreement with the CAM Ensemble.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 12z Wednesday] The coverage of rain and storms should be
high today with most of the terminals likely to be affected. MVFR
CIGS and IFR VIS and gusty winds will be possible with
thunderstorms. After 07z, areas of MVFR CIGS/VSBYS are expected
especially where residual moisture lingers due to Tuesday's rain.

&&

.Prev Discussion [608 AM EDT]...

.Short Term [Tonight Through Thursday]...
The approaching cold front will continue to cross our area through
Thursday. Tonight, model MLCAPE values will still be in the
2000-2500 J/kg range for the early hours of the evening, keeping a
potential threat for damaging winds through midnight, when
instability will decrease. By Wednesday, the front is expected to
bisect the area roughly from ECP to FZG, keeping chances for
thunderstorms highest south and east of this line. With 1500-2000
J/kg MLCAPE Wednesday, there will still be chances for damaging
winds with these storms, although less so than today/tonight. The
front will continue its eastward progression Wednesday night and
is forecast to lie roughly from CTY to JAX on Thursday, giving the
southeastern Big Bend the highest chances for storms on Thursday.
Highs will be in the low 90s Wednesday and Thursday. Lows tonight
will be in the low 70s. With some of the cooler air working its
way into the area by Wednesday night, lows will be in the mid 60s
in SE AL, upper 60s to around 70 elsewhere.

.Long Term [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]...
The frontal boundary will stall over the southeastern Big Bend by
early Thursday as the upper trough weakens and the axis lifts
northeast. With drier air in place, expect only isolated
thunderstorms for most of the region. Moisture will begin to
increase once again on Friday as a shortwave trough approaches
from the west. This feature will help to enhance convection by
early Saturday through the weekend.

.Marine...
Westerly winds will peak around 15 knots during a cold front passage
Tuesday through Wednesday night, approaching cautionary conditions.
After the frontal passage late Wednesday night, winds will weaken
and remain below headline criteria through the rest of the period.

.Fire Weather...
Red flag conditions are not expected thru the work week with
relative humidity values above critical levels.

.Hydrology...
Widespread rain is expected today, and some of it may be heavy. The
greatest potential for heavy rain appears to be in South AL & GA,
where a few of the Convection Allowing Models forecast rainfall
amounts to exceed local Flash Flood Guidance. Sometimes these values
tend to be too high, but this will be monitored as several of these
models forecast at least 3 inches of rain in this general area. As
for the effect on local rivers- everything will depend on whether or
not this rain occurs right over one of the basins or not.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   89  73  90  69  94 /  80  40  30  10  10
Panama City   88  75  89  73  89 /  80  40  30  10  10
Dothan        90  70  90  66  90 /  80  50  20  10  10
Albany        90  71  90  66  92 /  80  50  20  10  10
Valdosta      91  71  90  68  93 /  80  40  30  10  10
Cross City    91  73  87  70  92 /  60  50  50  20  20
Apalachicola  87  76  89  73  89 /  80  40  30  10  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...CAMP
AVIATION...BLOCK/DVD
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...BLOCK
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 10:13 AM EST, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1113 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1036 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 2 W PANAMA CITY BEACH   30.21N 85.88W
07/15/2014  M39 MPH          BAY                FL   MESONET

            THE PCBF1 TIDE GAUGE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH.

&&

DVD

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 44 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:35 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Liberty

When
July 15, 10:35 AM EST
Where
Liberty County, Hosford
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Utility Company
Coordinates
30.390, -84.790

Trees were blown down onto power lines near Hosford.

Thunderstorm Wind, Gadsden

When
July 15, 11:00 AM EST
Where
Gadsden County, 1.82 mi W of Lake Talquin
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.440, -84.581

A tree was blown down on McCall Bridge Road south of Gainey Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jefferson

When
July 15, 11:57 AM EST
Where
Jefferson County, 3.06 mi ESE of Drifton
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$500
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.480, -83.830

A tree was blown down near Turkey Scratch Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jefferson

When
July 15, 12:04 PM EST
Where
Jefferson County, 4.76 mi E of Monticello
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
30.540, -83.790

Power lines were blown down on Bassett Dairy Road.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 536306, 536307, 536308, 536309.