Flash Flooding and Lightning Strikes in Florida, April 14 to 15, 2014

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
800 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

.UPDATE...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #82 HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 2 AM
CDT TUESDAY AND ZONES...GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT THIS
CHANGE. NO OTHER CHANGES AT THIS TIME. /10

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

SHORT TERM [TONIGHT AND TUESDAY]...A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS
STALLED ACROSS COVINGTON COUNTY AND EXTENDS SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE NW
FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY. INSTABILITY VALUES TO NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY ARE NEGLIGIBLE WITH MLCAPES LESS THAN 100 J/KG. TO
THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...MLCAPES HAVE INCREASED TO 400-600 J/KG.
REGIONAL RADAR SHOWS THAT CONVECTION IS RAPIDLY INCREASING TO OUR
WEST AND SOUTHWEST AS THE LARGE SCALE FORCING SPREADS INTO THE AREA
FROM THE AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
THIS EVENING...WITH TRAINING OF CONVECTION RESULTING IN LOCALLY
HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS. THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY WILL ALSO LIKELY
SERVE AS AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. WE ARE STILL
EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER TOTALS OF 4-6 INCHES AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAIN. THE AREA AT
THE GREATEST RISK OF ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE OUTFLOW
COULD MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH SOME THIS EVENING AS SYNOPTIC SOUTHERLY
FLOW INCREASES. STILL...THE AREA OF GREATEST INSTABILITY WILL BE
ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR INCREASES TO AROUND 50 KT THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY DUE TO AN
INCREASE IN THE 700-500 MB FLOW. THE LOW LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN WEAKER...GENERALLY IN THE 30-40 KT RANGE. THEREFORE...THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL BE FROM LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A
BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IF A STORM CAN TAKE ADVANTAGE OF
LOCALLY ENHANCED HELICITY IN THE VICINITY OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

THE COLD FRONT IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH THE I-65 CORRIDOR AROUND
1-2 AM...PUSHING EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 4-6 AM. THE AXIS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SHIFT EAST WITH THE COLD FRONT...WITH THE
THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL ENDING OVER THE WESTERN ZONES SHORTLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT PERSISTING OVERNIGHT EAST OF I-65. LINGERING LIGHT
RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH...BUT ALL
LOCATIONS SHOULD BE DRY BY MID TUESDAY MORNING. SKIES WILL BECOME
SUNNY BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY.

STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL COMMENCE AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH THE 0C 850 MB LINE FORECAST TO REACH CLOSE TO MOBILE BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 40S WEST OF I-65
WITH LOW TO MID 50S FURTHER EAST. HIGHS WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S ON TUESDAY. IT WILL ALSO BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH ARE LIKELY
OVERNIGHT WITH 30-35 MPH GUSTS LIKELY BY LATE MORNING/TUESDAY
AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG MIXING/COLD AIR ADVECTION. A WIND ADVISORY
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR TUESDAY. 34/JFB

LONG TERM...BY TUESDAY EVENING MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA SPREADING SOUTHWARD WELL OFFSHORE. GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS POSSIBLY UP TO 30 MPH CONTINUING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY EARLY TUESDAY
EVENING WITH THE EXCEPTION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. LATEST MODEL
SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
STILL A LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHERLY WIND FLOW AT THE SURFACE. AS A
RESULT WITH CONTINUED VERTICAL MIXING NEAR THE SURFACE THROUGH THE
NIGHT HAVE DECIDED TO GO A DEGREE OR TWO HIGHER THEN THE COOLER MET
GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED MORNING GENERALLY FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. WITH THIS A LIGHT FREEZE CAN STILL BE EXPECTED
GENERALLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL AL AND
SOME OF THE NORMAL COOLER SPOTS IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA. DUE TO THE
UNSEASONABLE TEMPS FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE GROWING SEASON A FREEZE
WATCH OR WARNING MAY STILL BE NEEDED FOR SOME AREAS. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITORED THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AND POSSIBLY ISSUE THE WATCH
LATER TONIGHT AFTER SOME NEW MODEL GUIDANCE COMES IN. WITH THE
BETTER MIXING ALSO COMES THE LESSER CHANCE FOR FROST FOR ALL AREAS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY
FROST TO DEVELOP WILL LIKELY BE IN AREAS OF LOW TERRAIN OR PROTECTED
AREAS FROM THE WIND. BY THURSDAY A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE THAT SETTLES
OVER MUCH THE MS...AL AND GA ON WEDNESDAY GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND LEADING TO A BETTER EASTERLY FLOW FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO DEPICT A
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TRACKING EAST OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY WITH AN INVERTED SURFACE TROF STRETCHING SOUTH TO THE MIDDLE
GULF FROM THIS DISTURBANCE. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE SHOW A WEAK SFC LOW
FORMING OVER THE GULF BY LATE IN THE WEEK RESULTING IN MORE CLOUDS
THAN SUN FOR MOST OF THE CWFA OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH ALSO SOME
LIGHT SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MOSTLY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
MORNING MOSTLY OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. BY
SUNDAY ANOTHER STRONGER SHORTWAVE TRACKS EASTWARD OVER THE MID
SECTION OF THE COUNTRY RESULTING IN BETTER RAIN CHANCES OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY. A WEAK
COLD FRONT FOLLOWS IN THE WAKE OF THE THIS SYSTEM BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK LEADING TO MORE SUN THAN CLOUDS WITH NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPS.
WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN TOWARDS THE CURRENT MEX GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS
AFTER WED CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
32/EE

AVIATION...(18Z ISSUANCE)...PREDOMINATE MVFR CIGS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
TRANSITION TO IFR CIGS TONIGHT AS PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME
FOR HEAVY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE BETWEEN 00-04Z AT MOB/BFM AND
01-05Z AT PNS. HOWEVER...IT IS POSSIBLE TSTMS COULD LINGER PAST THESE
TIMES. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH MOB/BFM AROUND OR JUST AFTER
06Z AND PNS AROUND 09Z. VERY STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...GUSTING TO 25-30 KT THROUGH MUCH OF TUESDAY.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BETWEEN 16-18Z TUESDAY. 34/JFB

MARINE...A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE AND GUSTY IN AND AROUND NUMEROUS TO
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS EVENING. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MARINE AREA LATE
TONIGHT WITH A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING AND CONTINUING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. IT NOW APPEARS THAT A PERIOD OF
FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE IS LIKELY OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS...
MOBILE BAY...AND MS SOUND EARLY TO LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
THEREFORE...HAVE ISSUED A GALE WARNING FROM 4AM TO NOON TUESDAY.
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER PERDIDO BAY...
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...AND THE PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM. OTHERWISE...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WINDS DIMINISH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES. AN EASTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE BY THE END OF THE
WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD. 34/JFB

FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF REGION THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BRINGING MUCH
COOLER AND UNSEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE DEEP SOUTH BY
MIDWEEK. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING MOSTLY
NORTH OF HIGHWAY 84 IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND SOME OF
THE NORMAL COOLER LOCATIONS IN INLAND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20 PERCENTILE RANGE WITH
GENERALLY A LIGHT EASTERLY WIND. AS A RESULT CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY
WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. OTHERWISE...
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED
STATES WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH
A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW AND HIGHER HUMIDITY VALUES BECOMING BETTER
DEVELOPED EACH DAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...NO FOG IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. PATCHY FOG WILL BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED EACH NIGHT BEGINNING
FRIDAY. 32/EE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      49  61  36  67  48 / 100  10  05  05  10
PENSACOLA   53  63  41  67  51 / 100  30  05  05  10
DESTIN      58  63  43  67  55 / 100  50  05  05  10
EVERGREEN   49  59  29  67  41 / 100  30  05  05  10
WAYNESBORO  45  58  30  67  43 / 100  10  05  10  10
CAMDEN      48  57  30  67  42 / 100  20  10  10  10
CRESTVIEW   54  63  31  70  41 / 100  50  05  05  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...COVINGTON...
     CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...
     MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...
     WILCOX...

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...INLAND SANTA ROSA...

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA
     ROSA...

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...WAYNE...

GM...GALE WARNING FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO NOON TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...SOUTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO
     60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN MOBILE BAY...
     SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL
     TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM...MISSISSIPPI SOUND...NORTHERN
     MOBILE BAY...SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
     PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM WEDNESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...PENSACOLA BAY
     SYSTEM...PERDIDO BAY...

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
722 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-160000-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
722 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES AT AREA BEACHES.

NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE RISK OF A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS APPEARS TO BE CONFINED TO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND COASTAL ALABAMA.
LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A FEW INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE ALSO EXPECTED. WIDESPREAD RAIN TOTALS OF 2
TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
REGION. THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN MAY EXACERBATE ONGOING RIVER
FLOODING AND RESULT IN INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING. EVEN IN AREAS
WHERE FLASH FLOODING DOES NOT OCCUR...MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
URBAN AREAS IS LIKELY.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH FREQUENT
GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH LIKELY. A WIND ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. PATCHY
FROST IS POSSIBLE SOUTH TO THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED
TONIGHT.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-160000-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
722 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO
MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ACROSS
THE MARINE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT
AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING DUE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
628 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ALZ063-150015-
LOWER MOBILE AL-
628 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 715 PM CDT...

AT 627 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT WAS LOCATED 2 MILES WEST OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND...AND WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  EASTERN DAUPHIN ISLAND...
  CENTRAL DAUPHIN ISLAND...                   CODEN...
  WESTERN DAUPHIN ISLAND...                   BELLE FONTAINE...
  BAYOU LA BATRE...

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND VERY HEAVY RAINS CAN
ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOK
OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS AND FOR MINOR FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
715 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ALZ062-064-FLZ001-002-004-150100-
INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-
LOWER BALDWIN AL-
715 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...WESTERN SANTA ROSA AND CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTIES
IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

AT 715 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED FROM NEAR
FAIRHOPE...TO NEAR ROBERTSDALE...TO NEAR CANTONMENT. STORMS WERE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FAIRHOPE...        ROBERTSDALE...    MYRTLE GROVE...
  MOLINO...          GOULDING...       GONZALEZ...
  FERRY PASS...      ENSLEY...         CANTONMENT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 16.
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN ALABAMA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 30 AND
66.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW
AROUND SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS
PASSED.

PEA SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND
VERY HEAVY RAINS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD BE ON THE LOOK OUT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS AND
FOR MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. SEEK SAFE SHELTER INDOORS IF
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
811 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ALZ056-059-062-064-FLZ001>006-150200-
CONECUH AL-ESCAMBIA AL-INLAND OKALOOSA FL-INLAND SANTA ROSA FL-
INLAND ESCAMBIA FL-UPPER BALDWIN AL-COASTAL ESCAMBIA FL-
COASTAL OKALOOSA FL-SANTA ROSA FL-LOWER BALDWIN AL-
811 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CONECUH...ESCAMBIA AND
EASTERN BALDWIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...CENTRAL OKALOOSA...
SANTA ROSA AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...THROUGH 900
PM CDT...

AT 811 PM CDT...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 5
MILES NORTH OF CANTONMENT TO NEAR SPRINGHILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WHITFIELD...          PINE LEVEL...         WHITING FIELD...
  ROEVILLE...           POINT BAKER...        PEA RIDGE...
  MULAT...              SPRINGHILL...        PACE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 IN FLORIDA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 52.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
816 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

ALZ061-063-150215-
UPPER MOBILE AL-LOWER MOBILE AL-
816 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MOBILE COUNTY IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THROUGH 915 PM CDT...

AT 815 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF REGIONAL AIRPORT IN WEST
MOBILE TO 9 MILES NORTH OF GRAND BAY TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRAND
BAY...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MIDTOWN MOBILE...     DOWNTOWN MOBILE...    CODEN...
  TILLMANS CORNER...    THEODORE...           SEMMES...
  SATSUMA...            SARALAND...           PRICHARD...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 28. THIS
INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 25.

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THESE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT
TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
824 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SE FAIRHOPE           30.48N 87.85W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED SOUTHEAST OF FAIRHOPE ON HWY 181
            BETWEEN CO RD 32 AND 44.

0807 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW FAIRHOPE           30.52N 87.91W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED ON SATSUMA ST.

0807 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW FAIRHOPE           30.52N 87.91W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING REPORTED ON NORMAN LN.

&&

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
835 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROBERTSDALE             30.55N 87.71W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE DOWN ON AN APARTMENT.

0822 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 N FOLEY               30.48N 87.68W
04/14/2014                   BALDWIN            AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STREET FLOODING IN SUMMERDALE REPORTED AT COUNTY ROAD 73
            AND SANBORN AVE.

&&

10