Arizona, 2014

Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Arizona, August 12, 2014

August 12, 2014 · NWS TWC · 6 events in 2 counties and zones

S. with surface high located in eastern New Mexico.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$23,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

A high amplitude ridge was centered over the western U.S. with surface high located in eastern New Mexico. Precipitable water values ranged from 1.25 to 2 inches, and a flash flood watch was in effect for the area. Monsoon storms fired ahead of a cyclonic circulation which was located in northern Sonora. Numerous showers and thunderstorms moved north through southern Arizona, causing severe winds and flash flooding mainly in the Tucson area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 12, 2:50 AM MST, 4 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 2:50 AM MST, 4 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
250 AM MST TUE AUG 12 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT AS MOISTURE DEEPENS AND A PASSING
DISTURBANCE HELPS TO ORGANIZE STORMS. SOME STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
GENERATE HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
TO KEEP A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY
BEFORE A DOWNTURN IN ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...COMPLEX FROM NORTHWEST SONORA NOW PUSHING THROUGH FAR
WESTERN PIMA AND INTO EASTERN YUMA COUNTY. ANOTHER COMPLEX SOUTH OF
NOGALES STILL HAS AN ACTIVE SOUTHERN FLANK WITH DEBRIS AND WEAK
OUTFLOW PUSHING NORTH ON THE NORTHERN FLANK.

CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES FROM 1.6 INCHES
NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER TO 1.8 INCHES NEAR WESTERN PIMA
COUNTY...PROBABLY EVEN A LITTLE HIGHER BY THIS AFTERNOON. A DECENT
IMPULSE EMBEDDED IN SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION AS WELL AS POTENTIAL RAINFALL EFFICIENCY
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ELEVATED HEAVY RAIN THREAT COMBINED WITH
RECENT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN SEVERAL AREAS FOR A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH 1AM TONIGHT. GENERAL SHORT AND MEDIUM
RANGE MODEL AGREEMENT WITH LATEST HRRR DEVELOPING TRENDS THAT
DEVELOP MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ALONG WITH
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE QPF VALUES. HOPEFULLY NOT A CASE WHERE WE HAVE
MORE MOISTURE THAN WE CAN USE...BUT THE AFOREMENTIONED IMPULSE
SHOULD HELP WITH THAT.

MAIN IMPULSE SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH STRONGEST THUNDERSTORM THREAT. WE WILL PROBABLY
BE A LITTLE WORKED OVER WEDNESDAY FOR LESS COVERAGE...BUT ANY STORMS
WE GET WILL BE PRETTY WET.

STILL LOOKS MORE AND MORE LIKE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A SECONDARY
HIGH CENTER RECONSOLIDATION REORIENTING THE RIDGE INTO A PARTIAL
BLOCKING POSITION FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. A COUPLE OF DOWN DAYS TO END
THE WEEK. WE SHOULD BOUNCE BACK TOWARD AN AVERAGE DAY BY SUNDAY OR
MONDAY AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES NORTH OF US.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 13/09Z.
ISOLD -SHRA/TS THIS MORNING. INCREASING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING WIDESPREAD AND LIKELY AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS
BY 12/21Z. LCL MVFR VSBY CONDS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 45 KTS NEAR
TSTMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DAILY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK...WITH A PEAK IN ACTIVITY TODAY
AND TONIGHT. STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL
SHOW NORMAL DIURNAL TRENDS AND LESS THAN 15 MPH.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF
     SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INCLUDING AZZ501>515 FROM NOON TODAY
     UNTIL 1 AM MST WEDNESDAY.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

MEYER/RASMUSSEN

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:19 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flash flood, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
August 12, 7:20 AM MST to 8:30 AM MST
Where
Pima County, 2.1 mi N of Schuchk to 2.43 mi SW of Schuchk
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.150, -111.681

Local law enforcement reports water flowing over Route 35 at mile marker 6.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pima

When
August 12, 1:40 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 0.91 mi NW of Tuscon Ryan Fld Arpt
Measured
51 kt (59 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS
Coordinates
32.140, -111.180

Ryan Field AWOS measured a wind gust to 59 mph.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pima

When
August 12, 2:25 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 5.77 mi SSE of Sabino
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
32.226, -110.775

Local media reports a portion of a roof was blown off of a residence on the 300 block of North Schrader Lane.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
August 12, 3:00 PM MST to 9:00 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 3.44 mi NW of Tuscon Ryan Fld Arpt to 4.59 mi NW of Tuscon Ryan Fld Arpt
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
32.170, -111.205

Emergency Management reported that Sandario Road was closed near Snyder Hill Road. Water up to 2 feet deep was flowing over the road causing it to be impassable. Swift water rescue occurred late in the evening at this location when a woman drove into a wash and got stuck. At the time of the rescue, no barricades were up to indicate road had been closed.

Flash Flood, Pima

When
August 12, 3:00 PM MST to 4:45 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 1.65 mi S of Casas Adobes to 3.36 mi WSW of Cortaro
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.296, -110.978

Law enforcement reported three road closures due to flash flooding around 1500 LST: Tangerine Road between Dove Mountain and I-10; Moonfire Road at Silverbell; and Silverbell Road south of Ina. At 1645 LST, broadcast media reported that a swift water rescue occurred at Snow Leopard Drive south of the intersection of Linda Vista and Camino de Oeste.

Flash Flood, Pinal

When
August 12, 4:00 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
Where
Pinal County, 7.82 mi SW of Dudleyville to 8.42 mi SSW of Dudleyville
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
32.886, -110.860

Over 2 inches of rain fell on the spotter's property. This caused sheet flooding which washed out fences on the property.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2014Every state in 2014This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2014

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 540102, 540100, 540101, 540103, 540104, 540105.