Most of north Texas began the month in severe (D2) or extreme (D3) drought classifications. There were slight improvements throughout the counties as 2 to 7 inches of rain was recorded during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 32 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Most of north Texas began the month in severe (D2) or extreme (D3) drought classifications. There were slight improvements throughout the counties as 2 to 7 inches of rain was recorded during the month. Five counties in the southwestern portions of the County Warning Area improved out of severe drought.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:30 PM CST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1130 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 .AVIATION... CONCERNS...NONE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION...WITH NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS OVERNIGHT BECOMING NORTHERLY AROUND 15 KNOTS BY 16Z MONDAY AND THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 5 KNOTS AFTER 00Z TUESDAY. 58 && .UPDATE... A QUIET AND PLEASANT NIGHT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. DRIER AIR IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN OVERNIGHT LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 60S. NO RECORD LOWS ARE FORECAST FOR DFW OR WACO TONIGHT...BUT RECORD LOWS ARE FORECASTED FOR WACO THE 2ND-4TH. THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE AND ONLY UPDATED HOURLY TRENDS. 82/JLD && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013/ 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS CONTINUED TO DEPICT A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WITH AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST. H850 ANALYSIS SHOWED A STATIONARY FRONT IN PLACE FROM THE TX/LA GULF COAST BORDER WEST OVER DEL RIO AND CONTINUING TOWARDS EL PASO. THERE WAS A SECONDARY FRONT...OR AT LEAST A SECONDARY SURGE OF COLD AIR...LOCATED FROM SOUTHWEST KS SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE RED RIVER AND THEN BACK UP THROUGH ARKANSAS. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN CWA AT THE TIME OF THIS DISCUSSION...GENERALLY LIMITED TO AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO KILLEEN. THE RADAR RETURNS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE SHOWERS WERE LIGHT AND SURFACE OBS INDICATED DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS ON THE ORDER OF 40 DEG F...SO IT IS LIKELY THAT MOST...IF NOT ALL...RAIN WAS EVAPORATING BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK...THE MAIN WEATHER STORY OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IS GOING TO BE THE UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES THAT ARE FORECAST FOR THE REGION. THE PRIMARY CAUSES FOR THESE COOL TEMPERATURES ARE SEVERAL DAYS OF UNUSUAL NORTHERLY FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE COMBINED WITH THE UNSEASONABLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH RETROGRADING WEST TOWARDS THE REGION. THE PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SEND DRY...CONTINENTAL LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES INTO THE REGION WHILE THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH RESULTS IN UNSEASONABLY LOW GEO-POTENTIAL HEIGHT FIELDS ALOFT. UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...THE DRY LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL ALLOW FOR UNINHIBITED RADIATIONAL COOLING EACH NIGHT WITH LIGHT NORTH WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH MID-WEEK. EVEN THOUGH TODAYS TEMPERATURES WERE STILL NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS WITH HIGHS HEADED TOWARDS THE LOWER TO UPPER 90S...THE IMPACTS OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH ARE REALLY EXPECTED TO BE FELT STARTING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. H850 TEMPS OF 19 DEG C THIS MORNING ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO 12 TO 14 DEG C ACROSS THE CWA BY TOMORROW. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGHS IN THE MID 80S NORTHEAST TO THE LOWER 90S SOUTH. WITH IDEAL RADIATIONAL COOLING MONDAY NIGHT...WE SHOULD SEE NEAR RECORD OR RECORD LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS BY SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. IN FACT THIS FORECAST HAS RECORD LOWS FORECAST FOR WACO ON JULY 2,3 AND 4TH WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS FORECAST FOR DFW DURING THE SAME PERIOD. THE ABNORMALLY COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. TO GET AN IDEA OF HOW RARE THIS WOULD BE FOR NORTH TX...THE HPC REAL-TIME STANDARDIZED ANOMALY PAGE IS A GOOD SOURCE TO REFER TO. THIS PAGE TRACKS VARIOUS FORECAST WEATHER ELEMENTS AND GIVES A READOUT OF HOW LARGE OF A DIFFERENCE A PARTICULAR FORECAST WEATHER ELEMENT IS FROM NORMAL. USING THIS PAGE...OUR 500 MB HEIGHT FIELDS RANK AS A MINUS 4 STANDARD DEVIATION OVER MOST OF NORTH TX FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THAT IS ABOUT AS LOW AS YOU WILL EVER FIND A 500 MB HEIGHT ANOMALY ON THIS PAGE...INDICATING THAT THIS IS AN EVENT WE WILL NOT SEE AGAIN FOR QUITE SOME TIME. AT ANY RATE...THE END RESULT IS BEAUTIFUL WEATHER TO START OUT THE MONTH OF JULY...SO IF YOU CAN...GET OUT THERE AND ENJOY IT WHILE IT LASTS! IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR NEXT WEEK...WENT AHEAD AND MAINTAINED A DRY FORECAST DUE TO THE DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR THAT IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION. THE DRY AIR...AND LACK OF ANY OBVIOUS FRONTAL FEATURE TO FOCUS LIFT BOTH SUPPORT A DRY FORECAST SO THERE WAS NO GOOD REASON TO INCLUDE POPS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AT THIS TIME. THIS DOES NOT MEAN THE ENTIRE PERIOD WILL BE DRY HOWEVER...THERE ARE FEATURES IN PLACE THAT NORMALLY SUPPORT SCATTERED PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION. THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS NOT AN UPPER RIDGE...AND LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR SUBSIDENCE WILL NOT BE IN PLACE FOR THE WEEK AHEAD. THE LACK OF SUBSIDENCE IS NO REASON TO INCLUDE POPS IN THE FORECAST...HOWEVER IT GREATLY REDUCES CONFIDENCE IN A DRY FORECAST LIKE YOU WOULD HAVE TYPICALLY UNDER A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. UNDER A RIDGE...LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE CAUSES DOWNWARD VERTICAL MOTIONS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WHICH RESULTS IN WARMING ALOFT. THIS WARMING ALOFT IS ONE OF THE WAYS IN WHICH WE CAN GET A STRONG CAP HERE IN NORTH TX. THE OTHER IS THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WHICH IS WHEN WARM AIR IS MOVED OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO AND PLACED OVER THE REGION. DUE TO NORTH FLOW AND A TROUGH OVER OUR HEADS...NEITHER OF THESE MECHANISMS FOR CAPPING WILL BE PRESENT THIS WEEK. AS A RESULT...WE ARE EXPECTING A DRY FORECAST ON THE BASIS THAT THERE IS NO FRONT IN PLACE AND THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GENERALLY BE DRIER THAN NORMAL...REDUCING FORECAST CAPE VALUES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEK. WHILE THIS MAY WORK OUT...THE LACK OF CAPPING ALOFT HAS TO BE RESPECTED BECAUSE ANY MESOSCALE FORCING MECHANISM...LIKE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM STORMS NOT DIRECTLY OVER NORTH TX...MAY BE ENOUGH TO SET OFF STORMS OVER OUR AREA. WE WILL ALSO HAVE TO CLOSELY WATCH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EACH DAY TO MAKE SURE WE ARE TOO DRY TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS. BY WEDNESDAY OUR NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER AROUND TO THE EAST. WHILE THE EAST IS NOT AS RICH IN MOISTURE AS THE GULF OF MEXICO...THIS STILL REPRESENTS POSITIVE MOISTURE ADVECTION HEADED INTO INDEPENDENCE DAY. WITH SOME RETURNING SHALLOW MOISTURE LATE ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WENT AHEAD WITH SOME 10 POPS WITH NO MENTION OF STORMS AT THIS TIME TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POTENTIAL. BOTTOM LINE IS...WHILE WE HAVE A DRY FORECAST AT THIS TIME...IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO INCLUDE STORMS IN LATER FORECASTS AS SMALLER SCALE WEATHER FEATURES BECOME RESOLVED. EXTENDED...FOR FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE 12Z GFS NOW INDICATES THAT A CUT-OFF UPPER LOW TO OUR EAST ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL RETROGRADE WEST FOR THE WEEKEND. THE CANADIAN IS STILL MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE GFS WHILE THE ECMWF MAINTAINS A CUT OFF UPPER LOW ON TOP OF NORTH TX. OF COURSE THE ECMWF IS THE WETTEST SOLUTION WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE IN PLACE EAST OF THE UPPER LOW WHILE THE GFS AND CANADIAN ARE DRIER. AS A RESULT OF THIS LACK OF MODEL TO MODEL CONSISTENCY DURING THIS PERIOD...MADE NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. 20 POPS DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY SEEM FINE FOR NOW UNTIL WE CAN HAVE MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IN LATER FORECASTS. CAVANAUGH && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 68 87 67 88 65 / 5 5 5 0 0 WACO, TX 64 90 62 91 61 / 5 5 5 0 0 PARIS, TX 61 84 61 85 60 / 5 10 10 0 0 DENTON, TX 64 86 62 86 60 / 5 5 5 0 0 MCKINNEY, TX 66 86 62 87 61 / 5 10 10 0 0 DALLAS, TX 71 89 69 89 68 / 5 10 10 0 0 TERRELL, TX 67 88 66 88 63 / 5 10 10 0 0 CORSICANA, TX 65 89 65 90 63 / 5 10 10 0 0 TEMPLE, TX 64 89 62 90 61 / 5 5 5 0 0 MINERAL WELLS, TX 65 87 63 88 60 / 5 5 5 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 58/82
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 807 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 807 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
32 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in extreme drought (D3) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in extreme drought (D3), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to severe drought (D2) by the end of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county remained in severe drought (D2) throughout the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the county began the month in severe drought (D2), but with beneficial rainfall, conditions improved to moderate drought (D1) by the middle of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 464017, 464018, 464019, 464020, 464021, 464022, 464025, 464026, 464027, 464030, 464031, 464032, 464033, 464034, 464035, 464037, 464038, 464039, 464040, 464041, 464043, 464044, 464045, 464046, 464047, 464048, 464055, 464056, 464057, 464058, 464060, 464061.