Drought, Adams
- When
- July 1, 12:00 AM CST to July 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Adams forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 40.525, -98.501 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
S. Drought Monitor, July 2013 marked the 14th consecutive month of D1 Moderate (or worse) drought within South Central Nebraska, continuing one of the most notable droughts since the 1950s.
Every event with a place to put it; 24 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, July 2013 marked the 14th consecutive month of D1 Moderate (or worse) drought within South Central Nebraska, continuing one of the most notable droughts since the 1950s. Unfortunately, the majority of the 24-county area endured its second consecutive month of below normal rainfall, with several southwestern counties such as Harlan and Phelps recording their third-consecutive predominantly dry month. On a positive note, the below normal July rainfall in most areas was accompanied by monthly temperatures averaging slightly cooler than normal...in sharp contrast to the notably hot and dry July 2012 one year ago that put considerable stress on crops. Despite the drier-than-normal trend over the past few months, there was essentially no change whatsoever in official drought classification according to the U.S. Drought Monitor over the course of July. As a result, most counties along and east of the Highway 281 corridor remained in D1 Moderate Drought, although pockets of D2 Severe Drought prevailed across much of Greeley, Howard, Webster and Nuckolls counties. The situation remained worse to the west of Highway 281, where nearly all areas were assigned either D2 Severe or D3 Extreme Drought, with the main concentration of D3 within Gosper, Phelps, Furnas, Harlan and Franklin counties. In addition, southwestern Furnas County remained in D4 Exceptional Drought (the worst-possible category). According to reports from around 50 NWS cooperative observers, and also incorporating radar-derived estimation, over 90% of the 30-county area tallied below normal July rainfall (based on normals generally between 3.30-4.10 inches). More significantly, at least 40% of the area received less than half of normal July rainfall. The greatest concentration of totals under 2 focused along a roughly 30-mile wide swath through the heart of the area, generally extending from around Elwood and Holdrege in the west, eastward through the Grand Island/Hastings areas, and then northeast toward Aurora and Osceola. The very limited areas of slightly above normal rainfall were most-concentrated in Valley, Sherman and Nuckolls counties. Per NWS cooperative observers, several of the lowest July precipitation totals featured 0.63 six miles south-southeast of Lexington (Canaday Steam Plant), 0.91 eight miles south of Elwood, 1.21 four miles north of Aurora, 1.25 six miles north-northwest of Oxford and 1.28 at Minden. Grand Island and Hastings tied for their 25th and 29th-driest months of July on record, respectively, out of 118 years. Within the limited above normal areas were sites such as Nelson (5.28) and Ord airport (3.59). In between these wettest and driest extremes, the majority of South Central Nebraska measured July rainfall between 1.50-3.00, including stations in or near York, Hastings, Grand Island, Gothenburg, Franklin, Kearney, Hebron and Fullerton.
Focusing on the longer-range picture of year-to-date precipitation (January 1-July 24), most of the 24-county area stood somewhere between 70-100% of normal. In general, the greatest concentration of 90% of normal or higher focused north of Interstate 80, including 122% of normal at Genoa 2W. In contrast, the greatest coverage of locations with 70% of normal or less focused southwest of a line from Elwood-Red Cloud, including just 59% of normal at Red Cloud. According to the USDA Nebraska Crop Progress and Condition Report for the week ending July 21st, state-averaged topsoil moisture supplies were again on the decline, rating 70% short to very short and only 30% adequate...a marked change from only 27% short to very short in early June. Statewide subsoil moisture also declined, rating 75% short to very short, up from 58% six weeks prior. Crop-wise, irrigated corn across the state rated 82% good to excellent, while dryland corn only rated 45% good to excellent with the poorest conditions focused in the local South Central counties. Soybeans across the state rated 63% good to excellent, while wheat was not as favorable at 50% poor to very poor and only 17% good to excellent. Stock water supplies across Nebraska averaged 25% short to very short, an 11% degradation since early June. Pasture and range conditions exhibited fairly little change over that time span, checking in 39% poor to very poor.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 10:52 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 1152 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 426 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 WE CONTINUE IN THE MIDST OF A RATHER BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH VERY LITTLE RISK FOR RAIN...ALTHOUGH THE PRESENCE OF A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TECHNICALLY KEEPS POPS IN THE 5-10 PERCENT RANGE MUCH OF THE TIME...NOT STRAIGHT-UP ZERO. OTHERWISE...SEASONABLY COOL TEMPS CONTINUE...WITH BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS LOOKING TO AVERAGE AROUND 7-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BOTH TONIGHT/MONDAY. 20Z OBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT THE LOCAL AREA...AND MUCH OF THE CENTRAL CONUS IN FACT...REMAINS FIRMLY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM A PEAK MAGNITUDE AROUND 1025 MILLIBARS ALONG THE ND/CANADA BORDER. AS A RESULT...AFTERNOON BREEZES HAVE PREVAILED FROM A NORTH-NORTHEAST DIRECTION AT SUSTAINED SPEEDS GENERALLY 12-17 MPH...BUT WITH HIGHER GUSTS INTO THE 20-25 MPH. NONETHELESS...ITS BEEN A SEASONABLY PLEASANT AFTERNOON AS MOST AREAS SHOULD REALIZE HIGH TEMPS IN THE 78-84 RANGE...EXCEPT FOR A FEW OF THE FAR NORTHEAST COUNTIES WHICH MAY BARELY EVEN HIT 76. ALOFT...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA DEPICT SEASONABLY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS...FLOWING CLOCKWISE AROUND THE EASTERN SIDE OF AN EXPANSIVE WESTERN CONUS RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE NV/UT/AZ BORDER AREA AT A MAGNITUDE AROUND 596 DECAMETER. MEANWHILE OFF TO THE EAST...A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH CONTINUES TO RULE THE SCENE ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. WITH THE LOCAL AREA WITHIN THE INTERFACE BETWEEN THESE TWO LARGE-SCALE FEATURES...A SERIES OF WEAK...CHANNELED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS/RIBBONS OF VORTICITY CONTINUE TO RIDE SOUTHWARD ACROSS NEB/KS...ALONG WITH LOCAL MAXIMUMS IN THE UPPER JET...AS EVIDENCED BY A 70KT 300MB JET STREAK CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER EASTERN KS. WITH THE CWA POSITIONED IN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS MODEST UPPER JET SEGMENT...AND WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ADVERTISING MEAGER-BUT-PRESENT SURFACE BASED CAPE OF 100-200 J/KG IN THE PRESENCE OF A VERY WEAK CAP...A FAIRLY DECENT COVERAGE OF FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS SPRUNG UP THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SOME ENHANCED-BUT-STILL-SHALLOW CUMULUS FOCUSED WITHIN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA. FORECAST-WISE THIS EVENING/TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH ITS NOT VERY LIKELY...WILL GO AHEAD AND HOLD ONTO A TOKEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES THROUGH 00Z/7PM FOR MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE NEB CWA...CORRESPONDING TO NORTH-SOUTH AXIS OF SLIGHTLY ENHANCED CUMULUS DRIFTING ACROSS THE AREA. THIS ACTIVITY...SHOULD IT EVEN TURN INTO A FEW SPRINKLES...SHOULD FADE AWAY WITH THE ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING...AND AS A RESULT WILL REFRAIN FROM ANY SPRINKLE MENTION POST-00Z...DESPITE A FEW MODELS SUGGESTING THIS MINOR RISK COULD EXTEND A FEW HOURS BEYOND THAT. OTHERWISE...WILL MAINTAIN A RAIN-FREE FORECAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT...ALTHOUGH ITS CERTAINLY LOOKING LIKE SOME RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRUSH WITHIN 50-75 MILES OF THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CWA ESPECIALLY AFTER 08Z/3AM. FORCING-WISE ALOFT...ANOTHER MODEST UPPER JET MAX WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON...WHICH IS PROGGED TO PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH MID-LEVEL LIFT AND SATURATION SUCH AS EVIDENT ON THE 310K ISENTROPIC SURFACE PER THE 18Z NAM TO SPARK A BATCH OF RAIN SHOWERS/WEAK STORMS ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA. ALTHOUGH SUPPOSE CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT A FEW SPRINKLES LEAKING OVER INTO OUR CWA...FEEL REASONABLY CONFIDENT THAT ANY ORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD HOLD AT LEAST SLIGHTLY WEST OF OUR FAR WESTERN FRINGES. AT THE SURFACE TONIGHT...THE DOMINANT HIGH CENTERED TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST WILL REMAIN THE MAIN PLAYER...KEEPING BREEZES DOWN AROUND 5 MPH MOST OF THE NIGHT FROM THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. ALTHOUGH THE WESTERN CWA COULD SEE A BIT MORE CLOUD COVER...THE COMBO OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES/LIGHT WINDS AND SEASONABLY DRY AIR SHOULD ALLOW FOR A RATHER COOL-FEEL BY JULY 1ST STANDARDS...AND NUDGED DOWN LOWS ANOTHER 1-2 DEGREES IN SOME AREAS PER BLEND OF 12Z MET/MAV GUIDANCE...AIMING FOR A RANGE FROM NEAR-50 FAR NORTH TO MID 50S SOUTH. HOWEVER...RECORD LOWS AT GRAND ISLAND/HASTINGS ARE STILL FORECAST TO REMAIN SAFE BY 4-6 DEGREES. TURNING TO MONDAY DAYTIME...KEPT THE RAIN-FREE THEME INTACT...BUT AGAIN...COULD HAVE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE CWA BORDERS..BUT ITS JUST NOT WORTH MENTIONING EVEN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR OUR PRODUCTS AT THIS TIME. IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS...OVERALL LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PREVAILING PATTERN...AS THE LARGE WESTERN CONUS RIDGE BECOMES EVEN SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED...WHILE THE CENTER OF THE EASTERN CONUS TROUGH STALLS OUT OVER THE MEMPHIS AREA. GIVEN THIS EVEN SHARPER RIDGE/TROUGH ORIENTATION...FLOW ALOFT OVER THE LOCAL AREA WILL BE ALMOST DUE NORTHERLY AND REMAIN SEASONABLY STRONG...AS A 65+KT 300MB JET STREAK RIDES SOUTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN NEB/EASTERN CO AS THE DAY GOES ON. WITH A SLIGHTLY POCKET OF LOW LEVEL AIR PROGGED TO SETTLE ACROSS THE CWA AT 850MB PER THE NAM...CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ALMOST NIL LOCALLY...WHILE AT LEAST UP TO A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF CAPE DEVELOPS WITHIN 100 MILES OF BOTH THE WESTERN AND ALSO EASTERN CWA BORDERS. GIVEN THIS INSTABILITY PROG AND ORIENTATION OF UPPER FORCING...ANY WEAK DAYTIME SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS WESTERN NEB/KS AND POSSIBLY FAR EASTERN NEB AS WELL. WIND- WISE...ALTHOUGH THE SAME SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN THE MAIN PLAYER...A SLIGHTLY WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WEAKER BREEZES...WITH SUSTAINED EAST-NORTHEAST BREEZES ONLY AVERAGING 10-13 MPH. TEMP-WISE...SEE LITTLE REASON WHY HIGHS WON/T END UP QUITE SIMILAR TO THOSE OF TODAY GIVEN LITTLE CHANGE IN THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE...AND MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...AIMING FOR 80-82 MOST NEB ZONES...AND 82-84 IN KS...ALTHOUGH AS SEEN TODAY SOME SPOTS ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-80 MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 80. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 405 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 LATEST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST MEANDERING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY BEGINS TO RETROGRADE WESTWARD...EVENTUALLY WEAKENING AND LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD BY THE END OF THE WEEK. WHILE A STRAY SHOWER OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHIFTS WESTWARD...MAINLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS...DECIDED TO REMAIN WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE LOW LEVELS REMAIN FAIRLY DRY AND ACCUMULATING RAINFALL CONTINUES TO LOOK UNLIKELY DESPITE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SMALL CAPE VALUES TO WORK WITH. OTHERWISE...NICE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE COOL AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE PLAINS IS NOT EXPECTED TO MODIFY SIGNIFICANTLY UNTIL THURSDAY OR FRIDAY...WHEN THE SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AND BECOME SOUTHERLY...ADVECTING ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ALONG WITH A MORE SEASONAL AIRMASS. SO OVERALL...EXPECT A DRY AND NICE HOLIDAY WEEK AHEAD...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES... CONTINUING THROUGH THE 4TH...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY AS WE TRANSITION INTO NEXT WEEKEND. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THRU THE TAF PERIOD AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WINDS WILL BE FROM A NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AND SCATTERED CU CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AFTN AS CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE REACHED. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH LONG TERM...SAR AVIATION...FAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 256 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 011200- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 256 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE) PFANNKUCH/SAR
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
24 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 462537, 462538, 462539, 462540, 462541, 462542, 462543, 462544, 462545, 462546, 462547, 462548, 462549, 462550, 462551, 462552, 462553, 462554, 462555, 462556, 462557, 462558, 462559, 471303.