Thunderstorms with heavy rain during the first week of July caused rises on the Green River. A low in the upper levels of the atmosphere moved west across the Ohio Valley.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Thunderstorms with heavy rain during the first week of July caused rises on the Green River. A low in the upper levels of the atmosphere moved west across the Ohio Valley. A nearly stationary frontal boundary touched off several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Tropical rains fell with high rainfall rates. Where the heaviest rains fell, totals were between 2 and 4 inches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:08 AM CST, 4 hours 52 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 308 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 306 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 THE DEPARTING 500MB CLOSED LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN OH BY THIS EVENING AND FINALLY LOOSE ANY INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER. DIURNAL HEATING COMBINED WITH ADEQUATE MOISTURE MAY STILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY OVER SW IN. A COUPLE OF WEAK IMPULSES PROGRESS SE IN THE 500MB WNW FLOW WITH SOME INCREASE IN MEAN RH VALUES AND WILL THEREFORE KEEP A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN TONIGHT. ANOTHER IMPULSE/WEAK 500 MB SHORT WAVE PROGRESSING ESE IS MINIMALLY DISCERNIBLE FOR MONDAY BUT THIS COMBINED WITH SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE ENOUGH TO KEEP A SMALL CHANCE OF POPS ACROSS THE EAST PART OF THE FA MONDAY. ONGOING TEMP FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AS TEMPS WILL BE ON THE RISE THROUGH MONDAY AS 500MB HEIGHTS RISE AND MORE LIMITED CLOUD COVER ALLOW MORE HEATING. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 306 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD REPRESENTS THE MOST EXPANSIVE PHASE OF THE WEST TO EAST ORIENTED MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES. AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES THE CORE OF THE RIDGE...STILL ENTRENCHED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...LOSES SOME OF ITS INFLUENCE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE NEARLY ZONAL WESTERLIES BECOME SHIFTED SLIGHTLY WITH THE DIFFLUENT ZONE RIGHT OVER THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA. AS ADVERTISED IN PREVIOUS MORNING FORECAST ISSUANCES THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...THE LEADING EDGE OF DIFFERENTIAL SHEAR FROM THE WESTERLIES...COMBINED WITH THE ELONGATION OF THE REMNANT TROUGH AXIS FROM THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAINLY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE MOST ACTIVE TIME /COVERAGE- WISE/ FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA...AS A SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE MOVING OVER THE CANADIAN PROVINCES EARLIER IN THE WEEK DIVES DOWN THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. THE IMPRESSED SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL AID IN SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN THE FORECAST AREA. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE A GOOD LIKELIHOOD WITH DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...AS WELL AS A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THURSDAY WILL BE A TRANSITION DAY IS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA...BEING REPLACED BY HIGH PRESSURE FROM NEXT FRIDAY INTO NEXT SUNDAY. HAVING BEEN SPOILED WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS TIME OF YEAR...THIS NEXT WEEK WILL BE QUITE OPPRESSIVE WITH RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES THAT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL. GIVEN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW BRINGING HIGHER DEWPOINTS BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE WELL IN THE ADVISORY RANGE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...OUTSIDE ANY RAINFALL AREAS. PLAN TO MENTION HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES ON TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS FOR SOUTHEAST MO...SOUTHERN IL AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY. THE CONFIDENCE LEVEL WITH THE PRECIPITATION TIMING THIS NEXT WEEK /AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY/ ALONG WITH THE HEAT INDEX POTENTIAL EARLY IN THE WEEK REMAINS HIGH. DESPITE MINOR MODEL TO MODEL SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL VARIATIONS...THE GFS/CANADIAN/SREF/NAM-WRF GUIDANCE HAVE BEEN QUITE CONSISTENT ON THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF FEATURES THIS WEEK...ESPECIALLY WITH THE STRONG SIGNAL FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. && .AVIATION... ISSUED AT 306 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 AFTER A START OF POTENTIALLY LIFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING AT KOWB AND KEVV DUE TO FOG AND LOW CEILINGS...IMPROVING/VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE ALL WFO PAH TAF SITES THROUGH THIS EVENING. WILL KEEP THUNDERSTORMS OUT OF THE KEVV AND KOWB TAFS FOR NOW GIVEN THE MINIMAL CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 5 KNOTS TODAY AND THEN LESSEN TO NEAR CALM VALUES TONIGHT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...NONE. MO...NONE. IN...NONE. KY...NONE. && SHORT TERM...RS LONG TERM...SMITH AVIATION...RS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 349 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-081000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 349 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER IN ILLINOIS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECAST ALONG PORTIONS OF THE WABASH AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES OVER PARTS OF THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF WEST KENTUCKY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST MONDAY...TUESDAY AND THURSDAY OVER PARTS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MOST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OUTFLOW DOMINATED. GIVEN WEAK SHEAR ALOFT...HIGH INSTABILITY AND SLOW MOVEMENT FROM THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH...A FEW STORMS MAY PULSE UP AND DOWN...PRODUCING ISOLATED WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH...MINOR TO MODERATE SIZE HAIL AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN EXCESS OF AN INCH. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...DESPITE LIMITED SHEAR ALOFT...MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WITH STORM MOVEMENT FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH...A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE MODERATE SIZE HAIL. THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER IN ILLINOIS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RS/SMITH
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 510 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 ILZ076>078-083-087-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-015-018>020-071400- WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-WHITE-GALLATIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY- VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HENDERSON-DAVIESS- MCLEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...MOUNT CARMEL... CARMI...SHAWNEETOWN...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE... EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...MORGANFIELD...DIXON... HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN 510 AM CDT SUN JUL 7 2013 ...LOCALLY DENSE FOG LIKELY THROUGH DAYBREAK ACROSS THE TRI STATE REGION... WITH ALL THE MOISTURE NEAR THE SURFACE...LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES...DENSE FOG WILL BE A PROBLEM FOR EARLY MORNING TRAVELERS IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS. SINCE 3 AM CDT...VISIBILITIES AT THE DAVIESS COUNTY REGIONAL AIRPORT HAVE FALLEN BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. REPORTS FROM SOCIAL MEDIA ALSO INDICATE THAT DENSE FOG WAS PREVALENT IN THE OWENSBORO AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TRAVEL THIS MORNING...ALLOW A LITTLE EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. BE SURE TO SIGNAL YOUR INTENTIONS ON THE ROADWAY AND GIVE A LITTLE EXTRA ROOM BETWEEN YOURSELF AND OTHER DRIVERS ON THE ROAD. ANY FOG SHOULD LIFT AND DISSIPATE BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM THIS MORNING. SMITH
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding occurred along the Green River near Paradise. Low-lying fields and woodlands were inundated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 464306.