Widely scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours due to a stalled frontal boundary overhead. These thunderstorms produces sporadic wind damage around the area and isolated flash flooding near the Lee, Powell and Wolfe County lines.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Widely scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon hours due to a stalled frontal boundary overhead. These thunderstorms produces sporadic wind damage around the area and isolated flash flooding near the Lee, Powell and Wolfe County lines.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 1, 2:21 PM EST, 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 321 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 321 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 UNCONVENTIONAL UPPER AIR PATTERN HAS LED TO THUNDERSTORM CONVECTION TODAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL...HEAVY RAINS...AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. 500MB LOW PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTH HAS NOW REACHED WESTERN KY AND THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS HAS PUT MUCH OF EASTERN KY IN A SOUTH TO NORTH FLOW...WITH STORM MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THIS FLOW. AS OF THIS MORNING/S WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...EASTERN KY WAS IN A DRY SLOT WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW. THIS PREVENTED ANY EARLY ONSET OF CONVECTION...BUT DID ALLOW FOR SUFFICIENT DAYTIME HEATING. BY 17Z...OCCLUDED FRONT JUST OFF TO THE EAST BEGAN MOVING WESTWARD TOWARDS THE AREA...CREATING A BOUNDARY FOR WHICH LIFT AND STORM DEVELOPMENT WOULD PROSPER. IN THE MEANTIME...MOISTURE TO THE WEST ALSO SLOWLY STARTED MOVING EASTWARD...ALLOWING FOR SOME OF THE BEST STORM DEVELOPMENT SO FAR ALONG THE WESTERN BOUNDS OF THE CWA...AND ALONG THE FAR EASTERN KY BORDER. WITH MOISTURE AND LIFT IN PLACE...CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR CONVECTION THROUGH THE EVENING. AND WITH MOST OF THE SHEAR PRESENT BEING IN THE FORM OF SPEED SHEAR...EXPECT STORMS TO BEHAVE MUCH LIKE THE PREVIOUS DAYS...IN WHICH THEY WILL POP UP AND DROP DOWN RELATIVELY QUICKLY. HOWEVER WITH BETTER INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE AT PLAY...CONVECTION WILL BE MUCH MORE WIDE SPREAD COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS AND HAVE MORE SEVERE POTENTIAL AS WELL. BEST DAYTIME INSTABILITY WILL WEAKEN AS WE HEAD INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES DROP. WHILE SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THIS ENVIRONMENT...EXPECT MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA. AS WAS THE CASE LAST NIGHT...SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT IS DEFINITELY WARRANTED IN THE VALLEYS WITH SUCH A MOIST AIR MASS IN PLACE. BY TOMORROW...500MB LOW WILL BEGIN MOVING BACK NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL PULL THE OCCLUDED FRONT FURTHER WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL KY BY 0Z WEDNESDAY...WITH GOOD SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. LAPSE RATES AND RESULTING CAPE VALUES AREN/T QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE AS THEY WERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL PRODUCE SOME DEFINITE RAIN SHOWERS AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS REGARDLESS. WILL CONTINUE WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST THINKING OF BEST CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE FAR EAST IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT...AND TO OUR NW ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. && .LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 321 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 THE MODELS HAVE LOST SOME OF THEIR AGREEMENT ALOFT FOR THE EXTENDED WITH THIS RUN. THE PROBLEM REVOLVES AROUND THE DISSOLUTION...OR SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING...OF THE SPRAWLING UPPER LOW OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY IN THE FACE OF A WESTWARD BUILDING BERMUDA HIGH. THE ECMWF IS QUICKER TO BREAK DOWN THE TROUGH IN CONJUNCTION WITH A MORE SUBSTANTIVE PUSH OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE ONSHORE THIS WEEKEND WHEN COMPARED THE THE GFS AND GEM. WHILE INITIALLY THE EXTENDED WILL FEATURE AN ACTIVE PATTERN OF SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA IN THE DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW...BY THE WEEKEND THE BUILDING RIDGE WILL SERVE TO RAISE HEIGHTS AND SUPPRESS CONVECTION THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY. HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION WITH TIME AS IT HAS BEEN LEADING THIS PATTERN CHANGE. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FEATURE A VERY UNSETTLED START TO THE EXTENDED THANKS TO A STREAM OF SOUTHWEST FLOW DRIVEN MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IN THE FORM OF SHORTWAVES COMING AROUND THE PLAINS TROUGH. THIS WILL MAKE FOR TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL FOR HIGHS MAINLY DUE TO THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND TIMES OF CONVECTION DURING THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK...BUT STILL WARM AND MUGGY AT NIGHT. THIS CONVECTION WILL NOT NECESSARILY BE TIED TO THE DIURNAL CYCLE AS MUCH AS BE INFLUENCED BY THE...HARD TO TIME...MID LEVEL WAVES PASSING BY ALOFT. WHILE THE MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.... RIDGING ALOFT WILL KEEP THE MID LEVEL WAVES MAINLY TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND LIKELY LIMITING CONVECTION...BUT ALSO ALLOW US TO HEAT UP. THE CR GRID LOAD CAME IN DECENT ENOUGH...THOUGH PERHAPS TOO HIGH WITH POPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND OVER THE WEEKEND SO HAVE NUDGED THEM DOWN. ALSO...RAISED TEMPS A TAD FOR NEXT MONDAY. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 121 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 CONVECTION HAS BEGUN POPPING UP ACROSS EASTERN KY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME NUMEROUS IN NATURE THROUGH THIS EVENING. UNFORTUNATELY AS CELLS ARE STILL DEVELOPING...THERE IS NO EXACT TIMING ON WHEN OR EVEN IF A PARTICULAR CELL WILL HIT A TAF SITE DIRECTLY. AS A RESULT...WILL CONTINUE WITH PREVIOUS MENTION OF VCTS INTO THE OVERNIGHT...WITH POSSIBLE UPDATES AS NEEDED FOR IMPENDING STORMS. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH SOME LARGE HAIL. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WIND GUSTS MAY BE FELT AT TAF SITES EVEN IF STORM DOES NOT PASS DIRECTLY OVERHEAD. BY OVERNIGHT...DAYTIME HEATING AND BEST INSTABILITY WILL DECLINE...LEAVING BEHIND A MOIST ENVIRONMENT MUCH LIKE LAST NIGHT. EXPECT FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE VALLEYS...POSSIBLY AFFECTING TAF SITES IF IT BECOMES DENSE ENOUGH. LIFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR KSME AND POTENTIALLY KLOZ AS WELL. AS FOG SCATTERS OUT IN THE MORNING...A SIMILAR STORY OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE REGION. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...JMW LONG TERM...GREIF AVIATION...JMW
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1238 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-021945- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO... PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE... CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON... HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG... INEZ...PIKEVILLE 1238 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF HAIL OR STORM DAMAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. JJ/JMW
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 142 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 KYZ120-011830- PIKE- 142 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTY THROUGH 230 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON... EASTERN PIKE. AT 142 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FISHTRAP LAKE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PIKEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...PHYLLIS AROUND 150 PM EDT...PHYLLIS AROUND 155 PM EDT...BIGGS AROUND 200 PM EDT...AND KIMPER AROUND 205 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GREIF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 308 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 KYZ079-080-084-085-011945- MCCREARY-PULASKI-WHITLEY-LAUREL- 308 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON... EASTERN MCCREARY... SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI... NORTHWESTERN WHITLEY AND SOUTHWESTERN LAUREL. AT 309 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BEULAH HEIGHTS...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITLEY CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...HONEYBEE AROUND 315 PM EDT...CUMBERLAND FALLS STATE REFUGE AROUND 320 PM EDT...AND YOUNGS CREEK AROUND 340 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GREIF
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 325 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 KYZ051-052-060-012000- MENIFEE-ROWAN-BATH- 325 PM EDT MON JUL 1 2013 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM EDT MONDAY AFTERNOON... NORTHEASTERN MENIFEE... ROWAN AND SOUTHEASTERN BATH. AT 325 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR YALE...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF FRENCHBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...YALE AROUND 330 PM EDT...ZILPO AROUND 335 PM EDT...COGSWELL AROUND 340 PM EDT...FARMERS AROUND 345 PM EDT...AND LICK FORK AROUND 350 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GREIF
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 119 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:24 UTC.
5 thunderstorm wind, 1 lightning, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Numerous trees were downed on Highways 896, 1363 and 90.
A tree was blown down onto a moving car on Rachael Road with two non-life threatening injuries reported.
A few trees were blown down along Highway 519.
Lightning struck a tree on Little Pittsburg Road, knocking it over onto a power pole and causing the power to go out.
One tree down on Fred Brandenburg Road.
Trees were blown down along Highway 205.
A total of 2.25 inches of rain fell in approximately 45 minutes near Leeco. Highway 1036 was blocked due to high water near the intersection of Cave Hollow Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2013
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 467525, 467526, 467527, 467528, 467529, 467530, 467532.