Florida, 2013

Flood and Lightning Strike in Florida, July 18 to 22, 2013

July 18 to 22, 2013 · NWS TAE · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A wet month led to some minor flooding along the Steinhatchee River in southeast Taylor county. A house was also struck by lightning in Panama City Beach.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

A wet month led to some minor flooding along the Steinhatchee River in southeast Taylor county. A house was also struck by lightning in Panama City Beach.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 18, 1:50 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 1:50 PM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
350 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2013

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

The 18 UTC regional surface analysis showed an area of high pressure
to our north and a weak, broad area of low pressure associated with
a tropical wave to our south. There were a few showers and
thunderstorms across the FL Big Bend, but below-average Precip Water
and MLCAPE values were limiting deep moist convection so far this
afternoon. The ribbon of dry air aloft that has been over our
forecast area for the past few days will begin to shift northward
tonight, as a surge of deep tropical moisture associated with the
aforementioned low pressure area approaches our forecast area. This
may be one of those unusual situations when our rain chances will
actually be a little higher overnight than this afternoon, and our
PoP ranges from 10% in our northern zones (around Dothan and Albany)
to 40% at the FL beaches. Lows will be in the lower to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

A broad mid/upper level low pressure will start the period
centered in the extreme northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Through
Saturday night, the low will continue to move northwest and shear
out over Texas. As it does so, weak vorticity maxima will rotate
around the eastern edge of the low and pass over the eastern Gulf
and the state of Florida. At the surface, a trough (or possibly a
weak closed low) will move southeast to northwest through the
eastern/central Gulf, with the Bermuda High filling in behind it
on Saturday.

A messy combination of the aforementioned features, and associated
isentropic forcing should spell out a rainy day across the Tri-
State region tomorrow. Specifically, the best isentropic forcing
appears to be over Apalachee Bay, north over the Florida Forgotten
Coast and Big Bend. Though a widespread coverage of storms is
expected along and ahead of the trough axis, poorly sloped theta-e
surfaces and marginal instability would suggest that the heavy
rain potential will be confined to isolated strong cells only. On
average, expect widespread amounts of 1 to 2 inches over the next
day or so.

With little to no synoptic forcing anticipated on Saturday, but
plenty of moisture in place, the local weather will likely be
dominated by some form of tempered seabreeze activity, in
combination with some left over vorticity enhancements aloft, and
possible some impacts from what is left of Saturday's dampening
surface trough. Regardless of exactly how the day evolves, a
healthy scattering of showers and thunderstorms are to be expected.

The environment will not support severe thunderstorm development
over through the short term.

&&

.LONG TERM [Sunday through Wednesday]...

Deep layer ridging will dominate the first part of the extended
range forecast, with typical seabreeze patterns and rain chances
through Monday. Thereafter, a trough will nose into the Southeast,
nudging the mid/upper layer ridge out over our Gulf waters.
Additionally, some form of surface reflection will slip into the
Tri-State region and assist in the development of more widespread
shower and thunderstorm development through the remainder of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION [Beginning 19Z Thursday]...

Prevailing VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of today
through this evening, outside of any isolated SHRA/TSRA (where the
vis and cigs could briefly drop to IFR/MVFR). A brief period of MVFR
cigs is possible at KVLD around dawn Friday. Rain will gradually
spread north into the region Friday morning, and all terminals are
likely to get at least some rain on Friday.

&&

.MARINE...

Elevated, but sub headline level winds will persist through
Saturday with the passage of an area of low pressure. By Sunday,
high pressure will take over and winds and seas will calm, outside
of daily seabreeze enhancements.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

A couple area river points remain in flood along the Choctawhatchee -
most notably, near Bruce which is forecast to remain in moderate
flood stage into the weekend. However, all area rivers and streams
are seeing decreasing flows and falling river stages. Average
rainfall amounts through Saturday should be on the order of 1 to 2
inches. This would not be sufficient to cause significant rises
on rivers. However, there is a small chance for localized heavy
rainfall on Friday and into the weekend. If that is focused in a
particular basin, it could cause a few river points to see some
rises this weekend given flows higher than climatological normals
in July.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   90  72  82  74  89 / 20  20  70  40  60
Panama City   88  75  82  79  86 / 20  30  70  40  60
Dothan        92  72  87  73  89 / 20  10  60  30  60
Albany        91  72  88  72  87 / 20  10  50  30  50
Valdosta      90  72  87  72  90 / 20  10  60  40  60
Cross City    90  72  83  77  83 / 30  50  60  50  60
Apalachicola  86  76  81  80  85 / 30  40  70  50  60

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Fournier
SHORT TERM...Harrigan
LONG TERM...Harrigan
AVIATION...Fournier
MARINE...Harrigan
FIRE WEATHER...Fournier
HYDROLOGY...Harrigan/Lamers

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 41 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 lightning, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Lightning, Bay

When
July 18, 4:37 PM CST
Where
Bay County, 0.37 mi E of Bid-A-Wee
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
30.199, -85.844

The media reported a house fire started by lightning near the intersection of Hutchison Blvd and Azalea St in Panama City Beach. Monetary damage was estimated.

Flood, Taylor

When
July 21, 11:37 AM EST to July 22, 11:45 AM EST
Where
Taylor County, 3.75 mi NNE of Steinhatchee to 3.16 mi SSW of Tennille
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
29.721, -83.359

Minor flooding occurred along the Steinhatchee River near Northeast River Road with water in the yards of residences on the western bank of the Steinhatchee River in Taylor county.

What these are

Lightning
A lightning strike that killed, injured or caused damage.
Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2013Every state in 2013This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2013

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 469361, 471418.