Flood and Heavy Rain in Florida, August 23, 2013

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
956 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

...ANOTHER DAY OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED FRIDAY...

.UPDATE...THE FORECAST AREA WAS FINALLY PRECIP FREE THIS HOUR LESS
SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY OFFSHORE OF THE SE GA ATLANTIC COAST. A LOT OF
DEBRIS CLOUDINESS BLANKETED THE FORECAST AREA...BUT SUSPECT THAT SOME
BREAKS WILL FORM OVERNIGHT FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO PREVAIL. WITH
CLOUD BREAKS AND GIVEN SUCH SATURATED LOW LEVELS...INCLUDED SOME PATCHY
FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR INLAND LOCATIONS. THUNDERSTORM AND SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO RE-EMERGE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH
ACTIVITY NEARING THE COAST THROUGH SUNRISE AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH
20% RAIN CHANCES. LOW TEMPS WERE ON TRACK TO FALL INTO THE LOW 70S
INLAND TO UPPER 70S COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...TEMPO MVFR DUE TO BR/CIGS MOST LIKELY AT GNV AND VQQ
BETWN 07-11Z...WHILE COASTAL SHOWERS WILL NEAR JAX...SSI AND CRG
THROUGH 12-13Z.

&&

.MARINE...ESE WINDS 10 KTS OR LESS WITH SEAS 2-4 FT TONIGHT.
SHOWER AND TSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE WATERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  71  92  72  90 /  30  30  30  50
SSI  75  88  77  86 /  20  40  20  40
JAX  72  91  73  89 /  20  40  20  40
SGJ  74  87  73  86 /  30  40  20  40
GNV  71  90  72  90 /  30  50  40  50
OCF  72  91  73  90 /  40  50  40  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

ENYEDI/ZIBURA/GUILLET

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
710 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-231000-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN-
710 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ALTAMAHA AND
SATILLA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

LATE NIGHT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY NEAR THE COASTLINE BY SUNRISE
FRIDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON SATURDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT...WITH ACTIVITY PUSHING INTO NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE FRONT WEAKENS AND BECOMES
STATIONARY.

STRENGTHENING ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS
ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
SOUTHWARD INTO OUR REGION.

MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
ALTAMAHA AND SATILLA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

NELSON