Wisconsin, 2012Hail and Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, July 30 to 31, 2012
July 30 to 31, 2012 · NWS MKX · 10 events in 6 counties and zones
The month ended with several lines of strong and severe thunderstorms crossing Southeast Wisconsin during the late evening hours of July 30th into the early morning hours of July 31st. 50 inch in diameter and damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph affected Fond Du Lac County with the first line, with a second line hitting locations along and south of the Interstate 94 corridor from Dane County east to…
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $25,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The month ended with several lines of strong and severe thunderstorms crossing Southeast Wisconsin during the late evening hours of July 30th into the early morning hours of July 31st. Hail up to 1.50 inch in diameter and damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph affected Fond Du Lac County with the first line, with a second line hitting locations along and south of the Interstate 94 corridor from Dane County east to Lake Michigan. WE Energies reported 15,000 customers were without power.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 30, 2:32 PM CST, 7 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 2:32 PM CST, 7 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
332 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012
.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH.
SPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED MUCH OF WISCONSIN WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WX NEAR COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS IS CERTAINLY
JUSTIFIED BY EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES HOVERING AROUND 30 KT AND
MUCAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG. MID-LEVEL WAA LARGELY CAPPING CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BREAK JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BEST UPPER
LEVEL FORCING WILL BE AHEAD OF THE ACCOMPANYING SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL
MAINLY AFFECT NRN WISCONSIN AND LOWER MICHIGAN. LOBE OF VORTICITY AT
BASE OF TROUGH DOES PUSH ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TONIGHT...BUT THE
FRONT SHOULD HAVE MOVED THROUGH BY THEN SO THE WAVE WON/T CONTRIBUTE
TO SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR US.
EXPECTING RAPID CLEARING BEHIND THE FRONT. GETTING SMALL
TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS WITH LIGHT WINDS IN OUR NORTHWEST HALF SO WILL
MENTION PATCHY FOG.
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH
NEXT WEEKEND...WITH THE UPPER JET PARKED RIGHT OVER MN AND SOUTHERN
WI AREA. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL ROLL ACROSS CENTRAL WI WED
AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD ONLY BRING A FEW MORE CLOUDS...SINCE IT WILL
BE TOO DRY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD.
WITH RETURN FLOW AROUND THE HIGH...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL USHER WARMER
AIR BACK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL WI. ECMWF 925MB TEMPS RISE BACK TO 27C
ONCE AGAIN...WITH THE NAM PUSHING 30C. THEREFORE...MAX TEMPS
EXPECTED IN LOWER 90S ONCE AGAIN INLAND...WITH UPPER 80S NEAR THE
SHORELINE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW.
A SURFACE AND 925MB FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS WI
WED NIGHT AND STALL ACROSS SOUTHERN WI THU AND THU NIGHT. THE ECMWF
STALLS THE 925MB AND 850MB BAROCLINIC ZONES FURTHER NORTH THAN THE
NAM AND GFS...AND THEREFORE HAS THE PRECIP CHANCES FURTHER NORTH.
GENERALLY SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THIS
PERIOD AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE OR TWO PASSES BY WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE
IN THE VICINITY OF SOUTHERN WI. NOT CERTAIN WHEN THE BEST CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...BUT PROBABLY NOT A DROUGHT-BUSTING PRECIP
EVENT.
HIGHS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE LOWER 90S WITH 925MB TEMPS
REMAINING FAIRLY CONSTANT AROUND 27C.
.LONG TERM...
FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.
A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE US/CANADIAN BORDER OVER THE
WEEKEND AND THE UPPER TROUGH WILL DROP DOWN ACROSS WI...ALONG WITH
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT. THIS UPPER LOW IS
LOOKING FAIRLY STRONG...AND WILL BE COUPLED WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF THE UPPER JET OVER SOUTHERN WI FOR A PERIOD OF TIME.
BRIEF PERIOD OF ZONAL FLOW AHEAD OF THIS STRONG UPPER LOW WILL ALLOW
A SHORTWAVE TO APPROACH SOUTHERN WI FROM THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST FRI
EVENING. ENHANCED WARM AIR ADVECTION WITH THE VORT MAX AHEAD OF A
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW WILL HELP TO POSSIBLY INCREASE CLOUDS AND
MAYBE TRIGGER SOME THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE 12Z
ECMWF CAME IN WITH A SLIGHTLY FASTER SOLUTION THAN PREVIOUS RUNS AND
THE GFS. FOR NOW...DRY FORECAST FOR FRI.
IF CONVECTION AND CLOUDS HOLD OFF...THE ECMWF HAS 24C TO 25C TEMPS
SUPPORTING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S...SO INCREASED THE TEMPS FROM THE
PREVIOUS FORECAST.
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.
THE MAIN UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL ROLL ACROSS
NORTHERN MN AND NORTHERN WI AND LAKE SUPERIOR SATURDAY TO SATURDAY
NIGHT. WARM TEMPS COULD SNEAK IN AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY
AND LEAD TO YET ANOTHER DAY IN THE LOWER 90S.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE WARM AIR ADVECTION FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...BUT THE MAIN PRECIP EVENT NOW LOOKS TO
BE ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. THE TIMING OF THIS
FRONT SEEMS TO BE SLOWING DOWN WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS...SO BEST
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHERN WI SHOULD NOW BE SAT EVENING.
SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE MEDIUM.
THE COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH WILL BE THROUGH BY SUNDAY MORNING
AND BRING A COOLER DAY WITH HIGHS AROUND 80. THE 12Z ECMWF NOW
LINGERS PRECIP BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH SUN MORNING. KEPT SUN DRY
FOR NOW.
MONDAY LOOKS DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE. ECMWF SHOWS A WARMING
TREND ONCE AGAIN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE JUST CANNOT GET RID OF
THESE 90S.
&&
.AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. ONLY
EXCEPTION WOULD BE THIS EVENING WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY OF IFR TO MVFR VSBYS WITHIN HEAVIER
RAINFALL. MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS AS WELL...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. WILL PROBABLY
LEAVE VCTS IN TAFS FOR NOW UNTIL CONFIDENCE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF
STORMS INCREASES. BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS STILL SEEMS TO BE IN THE
22Z-03Z RANGE ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.
QUIET WEATHER THEN EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AFTER SHOWERS AND STORMS
WIND DOWN LATE THIS EVENING.
&&
.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...WIMBERLEY/DDV
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MRC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 7:09 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
809 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012
WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-010115-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
809 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY EAST OF AN OXFORD...MADISON TO
JANESVILLE LINE.
THE WISCONSIN DNR HAS ISSUED AN AIR QUALITY ADVISORY FOR
SHEBOYGAN...OZAUKEE...MILWAUKEE...RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES
UNTIL 11 PM CDT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THERE WILL BE SMALL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EARLY IN
THE WEEKEND...MAINLY ON SATURDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS EVENING.
LMZ643>646-010115-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
809 PM CDT MON JUL 30 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
THERE WILL BE SMALL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE EARLY IN
THE WEEKEND...MAINLY ON SATURDAY.
REM
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX
Hail, Fond du Lac
- When
- July 30, 9:40 PM CST
- Where
- Fond du Lac County, 2 mi SE of Fond du Lac
- Measured
- 1.5 in hail
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 43.760, -88.422
The Fond Du Lac Emergency Manager reported large hail, estimated to be 1.50 inches in diameter, fell 2 miles southeast of the city of Fond Du Lac.
Hail, Dane
- When
- July 30, 10:39 PM CST
- Where
- Dane County, Sun Prairie
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 43.180, -89.200
Law enforcement officers reported large hail, estimated to be 1 inch in diameter, fell in Sun Prairie.
Hail, Dane
- When
- July 30, 10:40 PM CST
- Where
- Dane County, 1 mi NW of Sun Prairie
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 43.190, -89.214
A trained spotter reported large hail, measured to be 1 inch in diameter, that fell 1 mile northwest of Sun Prairie.
Hail, Dane
- When
- July 30, 11:00 PM CST
- Where
- Dane County, 3 mi SE of Marshall
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 43.139, -89.008
The public reported large hail, measured to be 1 inch in diameter, that fell 3 miles southeast of Marshall.
Thunderstorm Wind, Jefferson
- When
- July 30, 11:37 PM CST
- Where
- Jefferson County, Palmyra
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 42.880, -88.600
A trained spotter in Palmyra reported thunderstorm wind gusts estimated to be 60 mph (52 knots).
Hail, Waukesha
- When
- July 30, 11:50 PM CST
- Where
- Waukesha County, 2 mi E of North Prairie
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 42.930, -88.361
A trained spotter reported large hail, measured to be 1 inch in diameter, that fell 2 miles east of North Prairie.
Thunderstorm Wind, Walworth
- When
- July 30, 11:50 PM CST to 11:55 PM CST
- Where
- Walworth County, 3 mi ENE of La Grange to 5 mi ENE of La Grange
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 42.817, -88.545
The Walworth 911 Call Center received numerous reports of trees blown down by thunderstorm wind gusts estimated to be 65 mph (56 knots). A road was blocked by a fallen tree.
Thunderstorm Wind, Waukesha
- When
- July 30, 11:57 PM CST
- Where
- Waukesha County, 6 mi SW of Muskego
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 42.839, -88.214
Law enforcement officials reported a tree blown down by thunderstorm wind gusts estimated to be 60 mph (52 knots) near the intersection of Big Bend Road and North Lake Drive.
Thunderstorm Wind, Racine
- When
- July 31, 12:05 AM CST to 12:10 AM CST
- Where
- Racine County, 5 mi NNW of Waterford
- Measured
- 56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 42.837, -88.258
The Racine 911 Call Center received reports of large trees blown down by thunderstorm wind gusts estimated to be 65 mph (56 knots) in the Caldwell area and in the Tichigan area west and north of Tichigan Lake. There were also reports of power lines arcing from damage due to the severe wind gusts.
Hail, Racine
- When
- July 31, 12:30 AM CST
- Where
- Racine County, 2 mi N of Downtown Racine
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Property damage
- $25,000
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 42.749, -87.800
A trained spotter reported large hail, estimated to be 1 inch in diameter, that fell 2 miles north of Racine. The hail damaged roofs and windows to several homes.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, July 30 to 31, 20122 deaths · $110,000 · 53 kt wind · 6 events
- Heat in Illinois, July 30, 20121 death · 1 event
- Heat in Alabama, July 30, 20121 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Colorado, July 30 to 31, 2012$15 million · 3 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in California, July 30 to 31, 20125 injured · $400,000 · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Lightning Strikes in Arizona, July 30 to 31, 2012$245,000 · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Wisconsin, July 30, 2012$25,000 · 2.5 in hail · 19 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Alabama, July 30 to 31, 2012$4,000 · 1 in hail · 38 events
- Flash Flooding in California, July 30 to 31, 2012$40,000 · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, July 30 to 31, 2012$23,000 · 1 in hail · 14 events
- Damaging Winds in Florida, July 30, 2012$27,000 · 61 kt wind · 4 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, July 30, 2012$28,000 · 58 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 405845, 405846, 405847, 405848, 405854, 405851, 405860, 405855, 405858, 405852.