Slow moving showers and thunderstorms developed early in the afternoon over the Little Bear burn scar. Heavy and prolonged rain was received over portions of a recent wildfire burn scar leading to flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
Slow moving showers and thunderstorms developed early in the afternoon over the Little Bear burn scar. Heavy and prolonged rain was received over portions of a recent wildfire burn scar leading to flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 22, 10:31 AM MST, 3 hours 16 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 1131 AM MDT FRI JUN 22 2012 .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE ISOLATED -TSRA IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE CONT DVD BY MID AFTERNOON AS WELL AS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN. STEERING FLOW WILL TAKE THE STORMS ALONG THE CONT DVD N-NE TOWARD THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. KEPT VCTS IN ABQ...SAF AND LVS TAF...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH THAT ANY ONE SITE WILL BE IMPACTED. STORMS WILL DIMINISH BY 06Z...THOUGH MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE LEFT IN THE WAKE. OTHERWISE...LOOK FOR STRONG S-SW WINDS ACROSS NORTHEAST NM WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. 34 && .PREV DISCUSSION...316 AM MDT FRI JUN 22 2012... THE CENTER OF 500 MB HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT FROM SW NM THIS MORNING TO SE NM THIS AFTERNOON...THEN OVER OK ON SATURDAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL REMAIN OVER OK UNTIL MONDAY...WHEN IT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD AGAIN AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PASSES NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. SINCE SURFACE DEW POINT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO VARY FROM THE 40S TO NEAR 60 DEGREES EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...TODAY SHOULD BE A RELATIVELY ACTIVE DAY OF CONVECTION WITH SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FAVORING AN AXIS FROM GLENWOOD TO RATON. AS THE UPPER HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD...STORMS THAT FORM IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE ABLE TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE MIDDLE AND UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...SANTA FE METRO AREA AND NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS DURING THE EVENING. BY SATURDAY A MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME WILL WORK ITS WAY NORTHWARD ALONG THE NM AND AZ BORDER. BY EVENING...MODELS SUGGEST THIS PLUME WILL MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD JOG ACROSS NW NM. WITH THE UPPER HIGH OVER OK...STORMS THAT FORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD SHIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO DURING THE EVENING. ISOLATED STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TO THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SATURDAY. SUNDAY...THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE MOISTURE PLUME TO FAVOR LOCATIONS JUST WEST OF THE NM/AZ BORDER. NONETHELESS...SURFACE CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WHICH WILL BE A FAVORED REGION FOR MAINLY ISOLATED CONVECTION IN NEW MEXICO. THE UPPER HIGH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT WESTWARD OVER THE TX PANHANDLE MONDAY...THEN POSSIBLY OVER SOUTHERN NM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM TRAVERSES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THE HIGH WILL ALSO ELONGATE ALONG A SW TO NE AXIS FROM SW NM THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE. THE ELONGATION SHOULD OBSTRUCT THE NORTHWARD FLOW OF MONSOON MOISTURE...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL ALREADY BE IN PLACE BY THEN FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PERSIST ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN NM. TEMPERATURE-WISE...HIGHS TODAY WILL GENERALLY RISE A FEW TO 13 DEGREES ABOVE YESTERDAYS READINGS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS...WITH SLIGHT COOLING FARTHER WEST. THIS WILL HIKE READINGS ABOVE NORMAL AREAWIDE...WHERE THEY SHOULD STAY FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE WARMEST DAYS OF THE COMING WEEK SHOULD BE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS THE UPPER HIGH DRIFTS OVER SOUTHERN NM. 44 .FIRE WEATHER... WETTING RAINS IMPACTED MANY AREAS FROM THE CONT DVD BETWEEN GRANTS AND MAGDALENA EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM ABQ TO BELEN AND SOCORRO THURSDAY EVENING. RH RECOVERIES THIS MORNING AS A RESULT ARE VERY GOOD IN THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AS WELL AS OVER THE NE PLAINS AND ALONG THE TX STATE LINE. THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL CHANGE VERY LITTLE TODAY FOCUSING THE BEST INSTABILITY ALONG THE CONT DVD WHILE STEERING FLOWS DRIVE STORMS EAST TOWARD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WEST OF THE DVD CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY DRY WERE POOR RH RECOVERIES CONTINUE THIS MORNING. MIN RH VALUES TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS ALONG THE AZ STATE LINE TO THE 30S ALONG THE TX STATE LINE. SOME DRY STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPE OF THE CONT DVD AS A RESULT. HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER NM WILL SLIDE EAST AND STRENGTHEN THRU THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL BE 5 TO 10F ABV NORMAL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA EXCEPT BLW INVERSIONS IN DRIER NORTHERN AND WESTERN VALLEYS. A POTENT 700-500MB LAYER OF DRY AIR WILL SLIDE WEST INTO THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF NM BENEATH THIS HIGH ESSENTIALLY SHUTTING DOWN ANY POTENTIAL FOR STORMS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MOISTURE PLUME WILL SHIFT INTO AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE DVD THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK. RH RECOVERIES WILL GRADUALLY TREND DOWN EACH NIGHT FOR THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS. HAINES VALUES WILL BE 5 AND 6 FOR MOST OF THE REGION EXCEPT FOR THE FAR WEST. EXTENDED MODEL GUIDANCE FORCES AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THRU THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL HELP NUDGE THE HIGH EAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES AND ALLOW THE MOISTURE PLUME TO SURGE BACK EAST INTO NM BY WEDNESDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DETERIORATES CONSIDERABLY BY LATE WEEK WITH THE POSITION/STRENGTH OF THE MOIST PLUME OVER THE REGION. GUYER && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 558 AM MDT FRI JUN 22 2012 NMZ501>540-231200- NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS- SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS- WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA- LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY- CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA- FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY- HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY- QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- 558 AM MDT FRI JUN 22 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER... SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN WEST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND AROUND 1 INCH OF RAIN EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HAZARDOUS RUNOFF WITHIN AND BELOW RECENTLY BURNED FORESTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. HOWEVER...A MODEST MONSOON MOISTURE PLUME WILL EXTEND NORTHWARD NEAR THE ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO BORDER SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE AN ONGOING POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND BURN SCAR FLASH FLOODING EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE TO THE ARIZONA BORDER. WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ABQ OR BY CALLING 1.888.386.7637. 44
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 52 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:44 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Three hundred yards of forest service road 107 washed out between Runnels Stables on northwest end of Little Bear burn scar and Bonito Lake. Debris over the roadway from George Washington Canyon to Bonito Lake. Culverts along forest service road 107 also washed out.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 381010.