Missouri, 2012

Damaging Wind in Missouri, February 20, 2012

February 20, 2012 · NWS SGF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A cold front and associated upper level low pressure system produced a line of strong to severe storms that moved through western Missouri and produced an isolated report of wind damage.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$2,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.

A cold front and associated upper level low pressure system produced a line of strong to severe storms that moved through western Missouri and produced an isolated report of wind damage.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 20, 6:05 PM CST, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 6:05 PM CST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
605 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...
/ISSUED 604 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY RACING TOWARD THE AREA...
SHOWING SIGNS OF AN EXPANDING AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN AHEAD OF THE
MAIN LINE. VAST MAJORITY OF SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS WERE NEAR/JUST
EAST OF THE WICHITA AREA BETWEEN (ROUGHLY) 4 PM AND 5 PM...AND
THESE REPORTS WERE LOCATED WITHIN A BETTER RIBBON OF INSTABILITY
BOTH IN THE LOW LEVELS AND THROUGH THE DEEPER COLUMN. WITH
DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S...
INSTABILITY IS LACKING AND THIS LINE WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO AN
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT.

THE PARENT UPPER WAVE IS QUITE STOUT AND TAKING ON A NEGATIVE
TILT...THUS LARGE SCALE FORCING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THIS
LINE FOR A WHILE LONGER. 0-3KM WIND SHEAR VECTORS WILL REMAIN
NEARLY PERPENDICULAR TO THIS LINE AND WITH AMBIENT WINDS IN THE
LOW LEVELS AROUND 40KT...IT WILL REMAIN PLAUSIBLE TO HAVE
OCCASIONAL 40KT WIND GUSTS AS THE LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES INTO
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN HOISTED THROUGH 9 PM FOR
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. THE
RISK FOR SEVERE WINDS...WHILE NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE REALM OF
POSSIBILITY...WILL LIKELY REMAIN VERY LOCALIZED AND ASSOCIATED
WITH ANY MESOVORTS THAT CAN DEVELOP...REMAIN IN TACT AND BECOME
ORIENTED FAVORABLY TO THE 0-3KM SHEAR VECTORS. AS WE LOSE LOW
LEVEL INSTABILITY...PARTICULARLY IN THE LOW LEVELS...THE RISK FOR
SEVERE WINDS WILL DECREASE SUBSTANTIALLY.

GENERAL TIMING FOR THIS LINE OF STORMS (AS ASSESSED AT 6 PM CST):

WESTERN EDGES OF BOURBON/CRAWFORD/CHEROKEE KS COUNTIES - 640 PM.
MO/KS STATE LINE - BETWEEN 700 AND 715 PM.
WESTERN PORTIONS OF CEDAR/DADE/LAWRENCE/BARRY MO COUNTIES - 745 PM.

ALL TIMES ARE ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR TRENDS AND CAN CHANGE. WILL
ATTEMPT TO UPDATE THESE AS TIME ALLOWS.

GAGAN

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 330 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL DEAL WITH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT.

CURRENTLY...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS PUSHING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON...AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE PUSHES
EAST ACROSS THE KANSAS NEBRASKA BORDER. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE LOW. AS A RESULT
GUSTY AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE OCCURRING ACROSS
THE AREA WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 MPH OCCURRING AT TIMES. THE WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM.

A WARM FRONT IS CURRENTLY PUSHING NORTH THROUGH WESTERN MISSOURI AND
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
WESTERN MISSOURI FOR THE REMINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON WITH THIS
ACTIVITY...THOUGH THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT.

A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW FROM NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS TO SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
RETURN IS SOMEWHAT LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S BEING ALL THAT HAS BEEN ABLE TO ADVECT
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS HAS LIMITED INSTABILITY WITH MU-
CAPES VALUES OF AROUND 500 J/KG AND ML-CAPE VALUES OF 250 J/KG
HAVING DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AND
OKLAHOMA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS NEGATIVELY TITLED CREATING
STRONG HEIGHT FALLS RESULTING IN STEEP LAPSE RATES. THEREFORE...WITH
THE STRONG DYNAMICS OF THIS SYSTEM THE LIMITED INSTABILITY SHOULD
STILL BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WHICH IS BEGINNING TO OCCUR ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE TO
EXPAND NORTH AND SOUTH AND THEN SPREAD EAST WITH THE FRONT. WIND
SHEAR IS STRONG WITH THIS SYSTEM SO ORGANIZED STORMS WILL OCCUR.

AS THESE STORMS PUSH EAST THEY WILL FORM INTO A THIN LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE LINE OF STORMS
WILL THEN PUSH INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI BETWEEN 7 AND 11 PM THIS EVENING. THE BETTER
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA WHERE
THE BETTER INSTABILITY WILL BE. HOWEVER...AS FEW STRONG WIND GUST
MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ON THE LINE AS IT PUSHES INTO THE AREA WEST OF
HIGHWAY 71.

EAST OF HIGHWAY 71 MOISTURE ADVECTION HAS BEEN MUCH MORE LIMITED
AS SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE SO DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE 20S
ACROSS THE MUCH OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THIS HAS REALLY LIMITED
INSTABILITY AND DO NOT SEE ENOUGH MOISTURE ADVECTION TO OVERCOME
THE DRY AIR. SO EXPECT THE LINE OF STORMS TO REALLY START
DISSIPATING AS THEY PUSH EAST OF HIGHWAY 71. EXPECTED MORE OF A
NARROW STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI
THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. HAVE QUESTIONS ON
HOW WIDESPREAD THE RAIN WILL BE FARTHER NORTH...AS IT MAY BE MORE
SPOTTY IN NATURE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI.

THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL QUICKLY PUSH EAST WITH
THE ASSOCIATED RAINFALL EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY BRIEF. ALL RAINFALL
IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY 3AM TONIGHT.

A VERY WARM DAY IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS HIGHS WARM WELL INTO
THE 60S. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WHICH MAY RESULT IN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK WEST OF HIGHWAY 65. THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL AGAIN WARM INTO
THE 60S BEFORE MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES SPREAD IN. MOISTURE WILL BE
LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES WILL BE
ABOUT ALL THAT OCCURS. COOLER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A WARMING TREND THIS WEEKEND. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY SWEEP
THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND BRINGING ADDITIONAL CHANCES
FOR RAIN.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 604 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012/

FOR THE 00Z TAFS (JLN/SGF/BBG)...PRIMARY FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL
BE INCOMING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. AS DISCUSSED IN THE UPDATE
SECTION ABOVE...A LINE OF STORMS ACROSS EASTERN KS/OK WILL MOVE
INTO AN INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. AS A RESULT TSRA WILL
WEAKEN WITH TIME AND DECREASE IN COVERAGE. WITH AMBIENT WINDS JUST
OFF THE SURFACE NEAR 40KT...THERE WILL STILL BE WIND GUST
POTENTIAL TO 40KT AS THIS DECAYING LINE OF STORMS QUICKLY MOVES
THROUGH THE AERODROMES. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE...A CLEARING SKY AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS SHIFTING TO WESTERLY OVERNIGHT.

GAGAN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 6:50 PM CST, 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-220100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
650 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65
  CORRIDOR...THROUGH 9 PM. THIS LINE HAS HAD A HISTORY OF
  PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS. WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH
  THIS LINE...WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF PENNIES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

  AS THESE STORMS MOVE INTO AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 65
  CORRIDOR...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DECREASE IN
  INTENSITY AND COVERAGE DUE TO A LACK OF INSTABILITY. THE RISK OF
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

  SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST TO OVER 30 MPH
  AT TIMES THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 65.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  INCREASED WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE ELEVATED FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH 9 PM ALONG AND WEST OF
  A LINE FROM SCHELL CITY...TO NEVADA...TO GREENFIELD...TO
  CASSVILLE.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAGAN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 20, 6:57 PM CST, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
657 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW MCCUNE             37.32N 95.05W
02/20/2012                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE LIMBS AROUND 2 INCHES ACROSS ROADWAY.

&&

LDOOLEY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 7:07 PM CST, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
707 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND GST     FORT SCOTT              37.84N 94.71W
02/20/2012  M64 MPH          BOURBON            KS   AWOS

            KFSK MEASURED WIND GUST TO 56KT OR 64MPH.

&&

LDOOLEY
Local storm report, Feb 20, 7:32 PM CST, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
732 PM CST MON FEB 20 2012

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FRONTENAC               37.46N 94.69W
02/20/2012                   CRAWFORD           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            10 INCH TREE LIMBS REPORTED IN THE CITY

&&

LDOOLEY

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Vernon

When
February 20, 7:33 PM CST
Where
Vernon County, 1.29 mi ENE of Nevada
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
37.840, -94.350

A Subway restaurant suffered minor damage in Nevada.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, February 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 357869.