An unseasonably strong cold front triggered the development of severe thunderstorms during the late morning and afternoon hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LIX wrote it up.
An unseasonably strong cold front triggered the development of severe thunderstorms during the late morning and afternoon hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 9, 6:29 AM CST, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
729 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012
.UPDATE...
.SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
NO PROBLEMS WITH THE FLIGHT THIS MORNING. A VERY MOIST AND
TROPICAL AIR MASS WITH A HIGH CAPE OF 4882...AN LI OF -10.2 AND A
PW OF 2.33 INCHES. A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
IN PLACE FROM THE THE LOWER LEVELS UP THROUGH THE UPPER LEVELS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012/
SHORT TERM...
A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DESCEND THROUGH
THE MIDWEST AND PLAINS STATES AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. A VERY STRONG EARLY AUGUST COLD FRONT
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS DEEPENING TROUGH AXIS. THIS UNUSUALLY STRONG
SUMMER COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MAKE INROADS INTO THE FORECAST
AREA TONIGHT...AND SHOULD BE ALONG THE LOUISIANA COASTLINE BY
TOMORROW NIGHT. WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN PLACE...IT
WILL TAKE VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DYNAMIC AND THERMODYNAMIC
FORCING TO PRODUCE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. EXPECT THE CONVECTION TO
BEGIN FAIRLY EARLY BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH AT LEAST
SCATTERED ACTIVITY IN PLACE BY 10 AM. PW VALUES WILL BE RUNNING
IN THE TWO INCH RANGE EACH DAY...SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
A MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY CONVECTION. HAVE DECIDED TO GO WITH LIKELY
POPS FOR TODAY...GIVEN THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE
AND HIGH INSTABILITY IN PLACE. FOR TOMORROW...WENT WITH HIGH END
CHANCE POPS...ALTHOUGH LIKELY COVERAGE CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE FAIRLY SEASONABLE TODAY AND TOMORROW...WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S AND LOWS IN THE MIDDLE 70S.
HEADING INTO SATURDAY...STRONG DRY AIR ADVECTION AND SUBSIDENCE IN
THE WAKE OF THE EXITING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL TAKE HOLD
ABOVE 700 MB. THIS WILL ALLOW PW VALUES TO FALL BACK TO AROUND
1.75 INCHES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WITH LESS OVERALL FORCING AND
LOWER INSTABILITY AS NOTED BY CAPE VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 2000
J/KG...EXPECT TO SEE ONLY ISOLATED COVERAGE NORTH OF I-10 AND
SCATTERED COVERAGE ALONG THE COAST. THE CONVECTION WILL ALSO BE
MORE DIURNAL IN NATURE...WITH CONVECTION MOST PRONOUNCED DURING
PEAK HEATING IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
LONG TERM...
A MUCH DRIER PERIOD OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY...AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS BECOMES
PARKED OVER THE GULF SOUTH. THIS RIDGING WILL EFFECTIVELY CAP OFF
MOST CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION...AS STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AND
VERY DRY AIR LINGERS. PW VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 1.25 INCHES
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS WILL BE VERY
ISOLATED...AND WILL ONLY TAKE PLACE DURING PEAK HEATING HOURS WHEN
OVERALL INSTABILITY IS GREATEST. COVERAGE MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AS PW VALUES INCREASE TO AROUND 1.5
INCHES. HOWEVER...WITH STRONG RIDGING REMAINING PARKED OVER THE
AREA...CONVECTION WILL REMAIN ISOLATED IN NATURE. ONCE AGAIN...THE
BEST OVERALL INSTABILITY AND GREATEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL
BE DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS OF THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM DURING THIS PERIOD...DUE TO THE LOWER DEWPOINTS IN PLACE
AND GREATER SOLAR INSOLATION EXPECTED. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE
MIDDLE AND POSSIBLY UPPER 90S...BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S OVER NORTHERN ZONES AND LOWER TO MIDDLE
70S ALONG THE COAST. WITH LESS OVERALL HUMIDITY...DO NOT EXPECT TO
SEE ANY HEAT ADVISORY ISSUES THIS WEEK...EVEN WITH THE HIGHER
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT MOST TAF AIRPORTS THROUGH 12Z EARLY
THIS MORNING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA ARE EXPECTED FROM 14Z
AROUND COASTAL TAF SITES TO LATE AFTERNOON AROUND INLAND TAF SITES
WITH PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR IN HEAVIER CONVECTIVE CELLS. A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE TSRA ARE POSSIBLE...SO HAVE INDICATED SOME STRONGER WIND
GUSTS IN THE TEMPO GROUPS. CONVECTION SHOULD END BY 00Z FRI. 18
MARINE...
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MARINE
ZONES THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
EAST EXTENDS WEST OF THE GULF. AT THE SAME TIME...NIGHTTIME
INCREASES TO 10-15 KNOTS IN EASTERN WATERS WILL CONTINUE AND SEAS TO
BE 2-3 FEET. CONTINUING TO PUSH OFF HIGHER SEA HEIGHT WHICH ARE
EXPECTED IN OUTER WATERS DUE TO ERNESTO TRACKING ACROSS THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. SEA HEIGHTS OF 3 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED WELL OFFSHORE
TODAY. SWELLS HAVE ALREADY ABATED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF AND SWELLS
WILL DIMINISH LATER TODAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE
FRONT WILL STALL BEFORE REACHING THE COAST ON SATURDAY ... THEN
RETREAT NORTH ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO CONTAIN A MORE
WESTERLY COMPONENT LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL RETREAT
NORTH ON SUNDAY. A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE
RESULTING IN WEAK SWRLY WINDS LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. 18
DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...YELLOW.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RADAR SURVEILLANCE.
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR AND/OR
DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 91 73 92 71 / 60 30 50 30
BTR 92 75 93 73 / 60 30 50 30
ASD 91 76 91 75 / 60 30 50 30
MSY 91 78 92 78 / 60 30 50 30
GPT 89 77 90 76 / 60 30 50 30
PQL 89 77 91 75 / 60 30 50 30
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 607 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-101115- LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA- WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE- EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES- ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON- ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE- LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON- LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA- SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER- HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- 607 AM CDT THU AUG 9 2012 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...AND GUSTY WINDS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE MOST PRONOUNCED OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG COASTAL LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. A FEW WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE COASTAL THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER THE REGION. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE STRONG AND PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS... FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. NOTIFY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SLIDELL OR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED IN YOUR AREA TODAY. 32
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
Wind damage was reported to a barn and surrounding structures between Highway 43 and Highway 11 near McNeil. The radar signature was indicative of a downburst between 1119 and 1124 CDT.
Damage reported at St. Francis Animal Sanctuary. An outbuilding that houses dogs was destroyed with numerous dogs injured...one fatally. A large tree was uprooted. Numerous 600 pound dog houses were blown 50 to 120 feet. A facility on piers with straps was moved 6 feet off of the piers. Estimated wind speed was 85 mph. Path length one third of a mile and path width 500 feet.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2012Warnings in Mississippi, August 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 392857, 392869.