Flash Flooding and Hail in Mississippi, August 15 to 16, 2012

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1020 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

.UPDATE...OBSERVING A WEAK LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY DRAPED FROM WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE HEART OF THE REGION THIS MORNING. I SUPPOSE THIS
BOUNDARY CAN STILL BE DEFINED AS A FRONT...SEPARATING SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR TO THE NORTH FROM POSITIVELY WARM AND JUICY AIR TO THE
SOUTH. OVER THE TOP OF THIS BOUNDARY IS A RATHER HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL
SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...PRODUCING LIFT. IN
RESPONSE THUS FAR THIS MORNING HAVE BEEN MANY MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS STREAMING FROM THE ARKLATEX EAST ACROSS MY NORTHERN ZONES.
THESE CLOUDS ARE PRODUCING A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AS WELL. TO THE
SOUTH...NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL ZONE...IS A DEVIANT
THUNDERSTORM THAT HAS DEVELOPED IN NE LA AND IS NOW CROSSING THE MS
RIVER NORTH OF VICKSBURG. STORM IS INTERESTING IN THE FACT THAT IT
IS USING DEEP LAYER ATMOSPHERIC SHEAR OF 30 TO 35 KTS TO ACHIEVE
ORGANIZATION.

THE PRESENCE OF THE DISTURBANCE...WIND SHEAR...AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ARE ALL INGREDIENTS NEEDED TO MAKE AN ACTIVE CONVECTIVE DAY FOR THE
REGION. BUT THERE ARE DEFINITELY CONS TO RAMPANT CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY...SUCH AS DEPTH OF MOISTURE ISSUES AND LIMITED LOW LEVEL
RESPONSE TO THE PASSING UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE. THESE CONS SHOULD
TEMPER THE LEVEL OF ACTIVITY A GOOD DEAL AND KEPT ME FROM RAISING
INHERITED POPS IN THE 20 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE AT ALL. CONSIDERING ALL
VARIABLES THE RELATIVE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR STORMS IN THE FORECAST
AREA SHOULD BE ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR THROUGH NE LA AND
INTO CENTRAL MS. SOME STORMS BE STRONG AND PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN THE LATTER AXIS. THE GOING HWO HANDLES
THIS RELATIVELY WELL.

RIGHT NOW WE ANTICIPATE THE PEAK OF ACTIVITY IN THE EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON CONSIDERING THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE IS PASSING THROUGH THE
REGION NOW THROUGH JUST AFTER MIDDAY. OTHER THAN TWEAKING TIMING ON
POPS AND WEATHER A BIT I DID TWEAK TEMPERATURES A TOUCH...BUT NOT
MUCH. /BB/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 425 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2012/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE
STALLED COLD FRONT VERY NEAR THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THAT WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS OUR CWA TODAY. REGIONAL RADARS
SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THE ARKLATEX ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SHORTWAVE. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD INTO OUR DELTA
REGION THIS MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING. DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH
THE SHORTWAVE WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL CONVECTION BY LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON CENTRAL AND SOUTH ALONG THE OLD STALLED BOUNDARY THAT WILL
BE DRIFTING NORTH. HAVE GONE ABOVE GFS MOS POPS TODAY IN THE WEST.
THE 00Z WED JAN SOUNDING HAD A PW OF 1.14IN BUT AS THE STALLED
BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH TODAY PWS WILL RISE BACK ABOVE 1.6IN BY
AFTERNOON. THE TOTAL BLENDED PW PRODUCT SHOWS A SWATH OF AOA 1.5IN
PWS ALREADY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF OUR CWA THIS MORNING.
MORNING RAIN AND CLOUD COVER MAY LIMIT HEATING IN THE WEST BUT HIGHS
NEAR 90F WILL LEAD TO MLCAPES OF 1000-1500J/KG THIS AFTERNOON.
VERTICAL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 27C. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HARD TO RULE OUT THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 82. MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION TODAY WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT MAY SET OFF SOME EARLY ACTIVITY IN THE WEST AGAIN BEFORE
SUNRISE THURSDAY. THURSDAY SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
WILL STRENGTHEN RESULTING IN A LITTLE DEEPER MOISTURE INCREASE
ACROSS REGION. PCPN MAY GET AN EARLY START IN THE WEST AGAIN BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT A COUPLE DEGREES HIGHER OVER MOST OF THE
AREA. SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WEST WITH
MORE ISOLATED COVERAGE NORTHEAST. THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS POINT TO
A LITTLE GREATER CHANCE THAN TODAY OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE CWA. A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL
SUPPORT A COLD FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH OUR CWA THURSDAY NIGHT.
MODELS SUGGEST THAT SOME CONVECTION MAY SPREAD INTO OUR NORTHERN
ZONES BEFORE SUNRISE FRIDAY. /22/

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...RAIN/STORM CHANCES
CONTINUE TO RISE FOR THE WEEKEND AS A FRONT WILL INTERACT WITH
NUMEROUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL IMPULSES. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RESULT.

STRONG L/WV NRN STREAM TROUGHING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
WITH TROUGH AXIS EXTENDING SWD TOWARDS LOWER MS VALLEY BY LATE
WEEK. INDUCED SFC LOW/PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DVLP AND SHIFT ACROSS
OHIO RIVER VALLEY WITH ATTENDANT COOL FRONT PUSHING INTO THE LOWER
TN VALLEY BY FRI MRNG. SHOWERS/STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING NORTH
OF REGION ALONG THE FRONT FRI MRNG. IT APPEARS THE FRONT WILL REMAIN
NORTH OF REGION TILL SAT AS IT EDGES SWD TOWARDS THE HWY-82
CORRIDOR. PWATS OF 1.8-2.0" IN COMBINATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES
1500-2500 J/KG AND PROGGED S/WV'S EMBEDDED IN THE WNW FLOW SHOULD
ALLOW FOR DECENT COVERAGE OF SCT/NUM SHOWERS/STORMS AREA WIDE. FLOW
WILL BE WEAKER SOUTH OF THE FRONT WITH MORE AIRMASS/PULSE STORMS
EXPECTED. SOME COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH VT'S ~28C PER
GFS40. SOME GREATER ORGANIZATION COULD BE PSBL FARTHER NORTH INVOF
FRONT WHERE FLOW/SHEAR WILL BE BETTER BUT THIS ACTIVITY COULD REMAIN
CLOSER TO I-40 VS. HWY-82.

PRECIP ACTIVITY ACROSS NRN/CNTRL AREAS SHOULD LINGER INTO SATURDAY
AS FRONT SLOWLY SAGS SOUTH. OF NOTE, WILL BE WLY H85 MOISTURE
TRANSPORT/FLOW NEARLY PARALLEL TO FRONT ORIENTATION. THIS, IN
ADDITION TO SFC-H7 PROFILES SHOWING GRADUAL NWD SLOPE OF FRONT WITH
SW/WRLY MOISTURE RICH AIR PSBLY OVER-RIDING IT, COULD PROVIDE AN
ENVIRONMENT FOR STORM TRAINING, AND CREATING A FLASH FLOOD RISK.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED BUT LEFT OUT OF HWO FOR NOW.
OVERALL PRECIP RATES SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE OVRNGT HOURS BUT
SOME ACTIVITY SHOULD PERSIST.

GOING INTO SUNDAY...A STRONGER S/WV TROUGH APPEARS TO PIVOT ACROSS
THE REGION AS AGREED UPON BY GFS/EC. THE 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES INCREASE
20-30KT BUT SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY MAY BE LACKING DUE TO EXCESS
CLOUD COVER. IF CLOUD COVER IS LOWER SUNDAY...A GREATER STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM RISK WILL EXIST. GREATEST RAIN/STORM CHANCES SUNDAY
WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20 AS DRIER H7 AIR IS DRIVEN IN ACROSS
NRN LOCATIONS.

LOW-LVL FLOW SHOULD BECM MORE NWLY INTO MON-TUES AS BOTH GFS/EC
AMPLIFY H5 TROUGHING ACROSS LOWER/MID-MS VALLEY. PWATS DROP BELOW
ONE INCH ACROSS NRN AREAS WITH SRN AREAS NEAR 1.5", EFFECTIVELY
REDUCING RAIN CHANCES AT THE BEGINNING OF EARLY NEXT WEEK EXCEPT FOR
FAR SRN AREAS.

FOR FORECAST ELEMENTS...HAVE REDUCED HIGH TEMPS FRI-SUN 1-3F WITH
RAIN/CLOUD COVER EXPECTATIONS. MEXMOS LOWS WERE BUMPED UP FRI-SAT
DUE TO MOISTURE RETURN. POPS WERE INCREASED FRI AS THEY CAME IN
QUITE A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. SAT-SUN POPS WERE ALSO
INCREASED OVER MEXMOS TOWARD EC MOS VALUES. /ALLEN/

&&

.AVIATION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS WAS NOTED AROUND THE HIGHWAY 82
CORRIDOR THIS MORNING. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS WAS NOTED ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO AFFECT THE KGLH...KGWO TO
KGTR WITH VCSH FOR LATE MORNING. ELSEWHERE VFR CONDITIONS WERE BEING
REPORTED. SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH ONLY ISOLATED COVERAGE NORTHEAST. TSTM
ACTIVITY SHOULD END BY 02Z THU. EXPECT BRIEF IFR WITH GUSTY WINDS IN
TSRA.  VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT UNTIL 09Z WHEN PATCHY
MVFR VSBY RESTRICTIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME VFR
BY 14Z. ISOLATED TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY MORNING...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST DELTA./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       92  69  94  72 /  30  10  22  13
MERIDIAN      93  69  94  71 /  15   6  21  13
VICKSBURG     91  71  93  71 /  39  11  25  13
HATTIESBURG   95  72  94  73 /  28  15  39  19
NATCHEZ       91  72  91  72 /  31  15  45  17
GREENVILLE    89  71  94  72 /  29  10  28  32
GREENWOOD     90  70  94  71 /  18   8  24  33

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

BB/17/22/ALLEN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-161845-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY EVENING.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 FRIDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI FRIDAY AND HELP
TRIGGER STORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE REQUESTED IN THE NORTH FRIDAY.

LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ040>052-056>058-161845-
MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE AREA EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 WILL SEE A GREATER
CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 FRIDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI FRIDAY AND HELP
TRIGGER STORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE REQUEST IN THE NORTH FOR FRIDAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>055-059>066-072>074-161845-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-
COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND THURSDAY

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND
QUARTER SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THURSDAY EVENING.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND QUARTER
SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 FRIDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI FRIDAY AND HELP
TRIGGER STORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82.

SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM
SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE REQUESTED IN THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN.

17

MSZ040-047-151620-
WARREN MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
1040 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1040 AM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL
AS 30 TO 40 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF REDWOOD AT 1040
AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHEASTERN ISSAQUENA AND NORTHEASTERN WARREN COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3263 9069 3262 9072 3261 9069 3259 9069
      3259 9066 3255 9065 3255 9059 3253 9056
      3251 9056 3248 9060 3244 9059 3242 9061
      3241 9096 3259 9098
TIME...MOT...LOC 1540Z 264DEG 17KT 3251 9086

MRM

MSZ056-065-151815-
SMITH MS-COVINGTON MS-
1234 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1234 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TAYLORSVILLE AT 1234 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3161 8941 3173 8967 3190 8959 3183 8931
      3180 8932 3179 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1734Z 291DEG 9KT 3178 8953

MRM

LAZ016-025-MSZ047-053-151850-
WARREN MS-CLAIBORNE MS-TENSAS LA-MADISON LA-
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
132 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF NEWELLTON AT 132 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN WESTERN CLAIBORNE AND SOUTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES...AND
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN MADISON AND EAST CENTRAL TENSAS PARISHES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3219 9094 3197 9093 3197 9127 3215 9128
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 267DEG 5KT 3207 9117

EEC

MSZ055-151910-
SIMPSON MS-
139 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
139 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 30 TO 40 MPH WINDS AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED 4 MILES EAST OF PINOLA AT 139 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 10 MPH.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL SIMPSON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3197 8976 3177 8987 3183 9003 3200 8996
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 289DEG 10KT 3188 8989

MRM

MSZ054-062-151920-
LINCOLN MS-COPIAH MS-
148 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
148 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

...STRONG STORMS DEVELOPING OVER COPIAH AND LINCOLN COUNTIES...

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME
SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN COPIAH
AND NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTIES AT 148 PM CDT...MOVING SLOWLY EAST AT
10 MPH.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN COPIAH AND NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3186 9028 3166 9036 3175 9062 3192 9055
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 289DEG 8KT 3181 9048

EEC

MSZ053-152015-
CLAIBORNE MS-
228 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
228 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2012

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS
LOCATED OVER PORT GIBSON AT 228 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

PEOPLE IN CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3200 9109 3201 9108 3203 9109 3208 9108
      3209 9105 3209 9094 3208 9094 3209 9092
      3208 9073 3183 9078 3192 9111
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 280DEG 18KT 3199 9098

19