Minnesota, 2012

Drought in Minnesota, August 28 to 31, 2012

August 28 to 31, 2012 · NWS FGF · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Lack of consistent precipitation kept portions of the northwest quarter of Minnesota in a D2 drought designation per the U. S.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGF wrote it up.

Lack of consistent precipitation kept portions of the northwest quarter of Minnesota in a D2 drought designation per the U. S. Drought Monitor. Despite several very warm days during the month of August, the average monthly temperature at both Fargo and Grand Forks was a little below normal. Precipitation remained spotty across the area, keeping precipitation totals below normal. The number of severe weather events for August also stayed quite low.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 28, 2:58 AM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 2:58 AM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
358 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2012

.SHORT TERM...
MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT FOR THE FORECAST WITH CHALLENGES BEING
THE HEAT AND TEMPS TUESDAY TO THURSDAY WITH THE FROPA THURSDAY AND
ITS CONVECTION CHANCES. ONGOING CONVECTION IN SOUTH CENTRAL ND TO
MOVE IN THE SE PORTIONS OF THE CWFA EARLY THIS MORNING. USED
A MODEL BLEND OF TEMP BC GRIDS FOR THE FORECAST.

ONGOING CONVECTION ON THE NOSE OF A WEAK 850MB LLJ AND VORT MAX
NOTICEABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY TO MOVE ESE ACROSS THE S
RRV...SOUTH OF THE I94 CORRIDOR. MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH ITS
EXIT OF THE CWFA BY 18Z. LINGERING CLOUDS WILL SLOW TEMP CURVE THIS
AM BUT SHOULD STILL REALIZE THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 F WITH
CLEARING AND 850MB TEMPS RISING TO NEAR 20 C IN THE SOUTH BY 00Z
WED.

WAA CONTINUES TUES NIGHT THRU WED WITH 850MB TEMPS RISING TO 26 C
IN THE WEST AND 21 C IN THE EAST. NEAR RECORD HIGHS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN VALLEY FORECASTED FOR WEDNESDAY AS DRY COLUMN AND PWATS
JUST ABOVE A HALF INCH WILL ALLOW FULL SOLAR AND SOUTH WINDS
INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY PROVIDING GOOD MIXING AS PGF
INCREASES WITH APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING IN THE
HIGH PLAINS.

SLGT CHC POPS CONTINUE FOR THURSDAY AS FROPA MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS
THE CWFA. TEMPS START VERY WARM WITH FROPA EXPECTED IN THE EARLY AM
WEST SO THAT HIGHS IN THE DVL BSN WILL BE IN THE 70S AND INCREASE
TO THE 90S IN WCNTRL MN AS FROPA IS DELAYED ENOUGH TO ALLOW
DIURNAL HEATING.

.LONG TERM (FRI-WED)...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY...THEN MOVE EAST AHEAD
OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH SAT NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY. 00Z GFS HAS SLOWED DOWN SYSTEM QUITE A BIT FROM PAST
RUNS.  ATTM WILL MAINTAIN A SLIGHTLY QUICKER FRONTAL PASSAGE.
MOISTURE APPEARS MEAGER AGAIN WITH GFS ONCE AGAIN OVERDOING SFC
MOISTURE. THE NEXT STRONGER SYSTEM LOOKS TO IMPACT THE AREA BY NEXT
WED ACCORDING TO 00Z ECMWF/GFS....WITH THE ECMWF A BIT STRONGER.
TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD WILL RUN ABOVE NORMAL....

&&

.AVIATION...
MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO BEGIN THE DAY WITH CONVECTION IN THE S
RRV...SOUTH OF FARGO TAF SITE. SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH NORTHERN
EXTENT AND WILL KEEP VCSH MENTION THROUGH THE AM. OTHERWISE LIGHT
SE WINDS AND VFR TODAY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

JK/RIDDLE

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Roseau

When
August 28, 5:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Roseau forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
48.775, -95.811 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, West Marshall

When
August 28, 5:00 AM CST to August 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
West Marshall forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
48.358, -96.368 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Minnesota in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, August 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 398154, 398155.