An MCS moved off the higher terrain of Colorado and produced widespread rain with some hefty amounts given the on-going drought.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.
An MCS moved off the higher terrain of Colorado and produced widespread rain with some hefty amounts given the on-going drought.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 8, 5:51 PM CST, 3 hours 9 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 651 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 ...UPDATED FOR AVIATION DISCUSSION... .SYNOPSIS... ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 AT 250MB THIS MORNING (12Z), A SOUTHEASTERLY JET STREAM OF 80 TO 100KTS WAS FROM NORTHEASTERN SASKATCHEWAN TO NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR, AND THEN TURNED EAST AT 110KTS OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC AND WESTERN MAINE. OVER SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS, THE 250MB WINDS WERE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. THE 500MB CHART HAD A NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIE MOUNTAIN AREA, WITH A SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE, FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL COLORADO. ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS OVER QUEBEC, CANADA. A LARGE AREA OF 500MB MOISTURE RAN FROM WESTERN ARIZONA TO WESTERN KANSAS TO LOUISIANA. THE 500MB LEVEL WINDS WERE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER DDC WHILE THE TEMPERATURE WAS -08C. THE 700MB LEVEL REVEALED A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE FROM WEST TEXAS TO SOUTHWESTERN SASKATCHEWAN. A WEAKLY DEFINED TROUGH WAS FROM WESTERN IOWA THROUGH SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS INTO NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. A MOISTURE FIELD WAS OVER THE GULF STATES, EASTERN AND NORTHWEST KANSAS, AND THROUGH THE LOWER MIDWEST. THE DDC 700MB WINDS WERE CALM AND THE TEMPERATURE WAS 11C THIS MORNING, THE SAME 12Z TEMPERATURE IT HAS BEEN FOR THE PAST 4 DAYS. AT THE 850MB LEVEL AT 12Z, A STATIONARY FRONT RAN FROM CENTRAL OHIO THROUGH CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS, THEN TURNED INTO A COLD FRONT FROM THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD TO EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NEVADA. THIS MORNING AT 12Z, THE 850MB TEMPERATURE AT DDC WAS +24C AND THE WIND WAS ALSO CALM. && .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW) ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 GENERALLY, VERY FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE GOING FORECAST. DUE TO THE RAPID DECREASE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 11AM AND NOON, I WAS TEMPTED TO LOWER THE POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BUT, WITH JUST A LITTLE PERIOD OF SUNSHINE AND WARMING, THUNDERSTORMS STARTED RE-FORMING IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND EASTERN COLORADO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SO THINK MORE CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS NEAR THE FRONT. THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE FRONT WAS DIFFICULT AT 15Z MAINLY DUE TO OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. BUT THE BEST ANALYSIS AT 18Z PLACES THE NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE WESTERN KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER TO SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. SO FOR TONIGHT, THINK AS A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST-SOUTHEAST FROM NORTHEASTERN COLORADO, MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL TRIGGER AND AFFECT MAINLY MY SOUTHWESTERN ZONES. THE 60 TO 70 PERCENT POPS LOOKED REASONABLE, AND A HALF INCH TO INCH QPF IN OUR FAR WEST IS ALSO A FAIR ESTIMATE. THERE COULD BE SOME HEAVY RAIN IN OUR WEST, AND THE WEATHER GRIDS WILL REFLECT THIS. THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE FROM THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING AT DDC WAS A RESPECTABLE 1.46 INCHES, UP FROM THE 1.13 INCHES PW SATURDAY AT 12Z. POPS IN OUR EASTERN CWA, BASICALLY EAST OF A DIGHTON TO MEADE LINE WILL RANGE FROM 40 TO 50 PERCENT, WITH QPF QUITE LOWER IN THE 0.15 TO 0.20-INCH RANGE. WITH ALL THE LOWER LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE AND THE GOOD CHANCES FOR RAIN, LOW TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ELEVATED IN THE 65F (W) TO 72F (SE) RANGE. FOR MONDAY, THE MORNING WILL SEE THE MCS LINGER ACROSS SOUTH FAR SOUTHWEST ZONES, BUT SINK FARTHER SOUTH AS THE COLD FRONT MANEUVERS SOUTHWARD. POPS WILL BE 50 TO 60 PERCENT IN THE AREA SOUTHWEST OF A LAKIN TO MEADE LINE DURING MORNING, AND IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE EAST OF THAT LINE. POPS WILL TAPER OFF FROM NORTHEAST (NR HAYS) TO SOUTHWEST (ELKHART) DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY 00Z MONDAY EVENING, POPS BELOW 14 PERCENT WILL BE OVER AN AREA NORTHEAST OF A SCOTT CITY TO COLDWATER LINE, AND TO AROUND 30 PERCENT SOUTHWEST OF THAT LINE. QPF WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER, SINCE MUCH THIS PRECIP WILL BE SHOWERY AND DUE MAINLY TO AN UPSLOPE AFFECT. BASED ON NEW GUIDANCE, I DID RAISE MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES IN OUR CENTRAL AND EAST ZONES, TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S, BUT LEFT THE UPPER 70S GOING NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. CLOUDS AND RAIN IN THE WEST WILL LIMIT ANY DAY TIME WARMING, AND SHOULD BRING THE COOLEST MAX TEMPERATURES EXPERIENCED WE HAVE SEEN FOR A LONG TIME. THESE COOLER TEMPS ARE SURE TO BE WELCOMED BY MOST SOUTHWESTERN KANSANS. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ASHLAND TO GARDEN CITY BEFORE MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THEN BE CONFINED TO FAR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS BY SUNRISE TUESDAY. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. CLOUDS SHOULD START TO DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TUESDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. WINDS LOOK TO BE LIGHT AND FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION ON TUESDAY. HIGHS TUESDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER 80S ACROSS THE KS/CO BORDER TO AROUND 90 DEGREES ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOWS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNING ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE IN THE MID 60S WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE LOWS MAY ONLY DIP TO AROUND 70 DEGREES. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD TOWARDS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO MORE OF A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. AT THIS TIME, EXTENDED MODELS DEPICT MOST OF THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO MOVE WELL NORTH AND EAST OF WESTERN KANSAS. MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE FAIRLY DRY, AND WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE FAIRLY LOW. LEE TROUGHING IS ANTICIPATED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO WHICH WILL SHIFT WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HIGHS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. LOWS ARE FORECASTED TO RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE KS/CO BORDER TO LOWER 70S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING) ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST AT 5 TO 12 KTS TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY AT GCK/DDC GIVEN THE MOIST AIRMASS AND UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT. IF STORMS DO AFFECT THE TERMINALS, MOST LIKELY IT WILL BE THE STORM CLUSTERS THAT ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO. A MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON MONDAY AND STORM CHANCES CONTINUE AT THE TERMINALS. THE TIMING OF THE INDIVIDUAL STORM CLUSTERS IS NOT KNOWN. ASIDE FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 67 86 66 88 / 50 50 20 10 GCK 66 81 65 86 / 50 60 30 10 EHA 65 78 65 82 / 70 60 40 20 LBL 66 80 66 86 / 70 60 40 20 HYS 67 86 65 89 / 50 40 10 10 P28 71 88 68 91 / 50 40 20 10 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SYNOPSIS...BURKE SHORT TERM...BURKE LONG TERM...HOVORKA_42 AVIATION...FINCH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 436 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-091000- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 436 AM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012 /336 AM MDT SUN JUL 8 2012/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES BEHIND A COLD FRONT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS TO 45 MPH, AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE BEST CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SCOTT CITY TO GARDEN CITY TO LIBERAL INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY LINGERING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO MONDAY MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SCOTT CITY AND MEADE. SEVERE WEATHER IN NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. ANY HEAVY RAINFALL REPORTS WILL BE APPRECIATED. && FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC 06
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
738 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012
KSZ074-084-090130-
MORTON-STANTON-
738 PM CDT SUN JUL 8 2012
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORTON AND SOUTHERN STANTON
COUNTIES...
AT 636 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELKHART...MOVING EAST AT 20
MPH.
SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS NEAR 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LAT...LON 3749 10205 3750 10163 3749 10162 3726 10163
3726 10164 3725 10163 3725 10164 3724 10163
3706 10164 3705 10165 3699 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0038Z 256DEG 19KT 3714 10216
18The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
19 heavy rain, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was flowing across many roads but they were all passable.
Rainfall of 2.90 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.97 was observed.
Rainfall of 2.00 inches was observed.
Rainfall of 2.56 was observed.
Rainfall of 5.50 was observed.
Rainfall of 5.50 was observed.
Rainfall of 2.90 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.55 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.42 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.90 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.10 was observed.
Rainfall of 3.07 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.48 was observed.
Rainfall of 2.20 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.67 was observed.
Rainfall of 1.75 was observed.
Rainfall of 2.60 was observed.
Rainfall of 5.00 was observed.
Rainfall of 3.00 was observed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 404843, 404844, 404845, 404846, 404847, 404848, 404849, 404850, 404851, 404852, 404853, 404855, 404856, 404857, 404858, 404859, 404860, 404861, 404862, 404863.