Strong high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states caused breezy east winds over the southeast coast of the Florida peninsula with strong rip currents at the Palm Beach County beaches.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Strong high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states caused breezy east winds over the southeast coast of the Florida peninsula with strong rip currents at the Palm Beach County beaches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 12, 12:36 PM EST, 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1236 PM EST MON NOV 12 2012
.AVIATION...
PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IN NE-E WIND FLOW. CURRENT AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE
MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AT KAPF, WITH EAST COAST TERMINALS
REMAINING MOSTLY DRY AND VFR THROUGH 00Z. NEXT AREA OF MOISTURE
CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SHOULD AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA
AFTER 00Z WITH VCSH INDICATED AT SE FLORIDA METRO TERMINALS ALONG
WITH POSSIBILITY OF BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS. SOME DRIER AIR MAY
BEGIN TO MOVE OVER THE REGION AFTER 12Z TUESDAY WITH CONTINUED NE
WIND FLOW. /MOLLEDA
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1006 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012/
UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE. ALTHOUGH
THE PATCHES OF SHOWERS THAT AFFECTED MAINLY BROWARD COUNTY EARLIER
THIS MORNING ARE CURRENTLY DISSIPATING...RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES ADDITIONAL PATCHES OF MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE
REGION WITH ADDITIONAL ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE. THIS IS
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST. IN ADDITION THE 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED
THAT SOME ADDITIONAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS ENTERED THE REGION
WITH THE PWAT CURRENTLY NEAR 1.3 INCHES AND THE PROMINENT LOW
LEVEL INVERSION FROM PREVIOUS DAYS IS SLOWLY ERODING. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT WHICH MAY
ALLOW FOR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS TONIGHT...ALSO INDICATED IN THE
FORECAST WITH NO CHANGES REQUIRED.
60
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 651 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012/
UPDATE...
WINDS OF 20-25 KTS OVER ATLANTIC WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING WARRANT
EXTENSION OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH 18Z. HAVE ADJUSTED GRIDS
ACCORDINGLY.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012/
AVIATION...
SLIGHTLY MORE EXTENSIVE AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
ARE PUSHING ONSHORE THE ATLANTIC COAST CURRENTLY. AS A RESULT...WENT
AHEAD AND MOVED UP VCSH MENTION TO THE CURRENT TIME AT ALL EAST
COAST SITES. LATEST HRRR SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL RAIN SHOWERS MOVING
ONSHORE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH THE CONTINUED EASTERLY
LOW LEVEL FLOW. HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO
MVFR LEVELS BRIEFLY...HOWEVER PREVAILED VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012/
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFFSHORE MID-ATLANTIC UNITED STATES
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING EASTERLY LOW AND MID-LEVEL FLOW TO FLORIDA
PENINSULA. WITH DECENT MOISTURE BEHIND 700 MB INVERSION...A FEW
SHOWERS HAVE SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA LAST EVENING AND
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH ISOLATED ACTIVITY LIKELY TO PERSIST
THROUGH DAYBREAK. SIMILAR PATTERN ON TAP FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN TIGHT AS COLD FRONT/LOW
PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH DEEP SOUTH AS ATLANTIC RIDGE GRADUALLY
WEAKENS. THUS...EASTERLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOULD WEAKENING OF INVERSION...WHICH COULD LEAD TO GREATER SHOWER
COVERAGE THIS EVENING. OUTSIDE OF ANY PRECIPITATION...BREEZY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY TODAY MARINE ZONES AND ATLANTIC
BEACHES. EAST WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 20 MPH AND CREATE A HIGH
RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES.
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT DISSIPATES AS PARENT TROF LIFTS INTO
NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. ONLY IMPACT ON SOUTH FLORIDA WILL BE
ENFORCEMENT OF DRIER AIR...LEADING TO LOWER SHOWER CHANCES TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDS WILL PERSIST AS WILL SEASONABLY MILD
TEMPERATURES. MAXIMA WILL BE IN UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S...WITH MINIMA
IN MID 60S TO AROUND 70F.
LONG TERM...
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...THOUGH
IT IS NOT LIKELY TO PASS THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA AND WILL ONLY ACT TO
INCREASE SHOWER CHANCES SLIGHTLY. SEVERAL MODELS DEPICT SHORTWAVE
TROF CLOSING OFF ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WITH SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE FORMING ALONG DECAYING BOUNDARY NORTHEAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA
TOWARD THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING IS LOW AT THE
MOMENT. OVERALL...LOW POPS CONTINUE AND TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR
AVERAGE FOR MID-NOVEMBER...THOUGH LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID-WEEK.
MARINE...
WITH DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT TODAY...EAST WINDS OF NEAR 20 KTS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE WATERS...AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL NEED TO BE
EXTENDED FOR WATERS OFF PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 18Z. SMALL CRAFT
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ELSEWHERE IN THE ATLANTIC AND OFFSHORE GULF
WATERS AS WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE.
FIRE WEATHER...
EAST WINDS OF UP TO 20 MPH ARE FORECAST TODAY...BUT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BE FAIRLY HIGH...PRECLUDING ANY ENHANCED FIRE THREAT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 82 70 82 69 / 20 20 20 10
FORT LAUDERDALE 82 73 82 71 / 20 20 20 10
MIAMI 82 71 82 70 / 20 20 20 10
NAPLES 84 66 84 64 / 20 20 20 10
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR COASTAL
BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-COASTAL PALM BEACH.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL
OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE
BAHAMAS-WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
GM...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC/MARINE...60/BD
AVIATION/RADAR/FIRE...59/MOLLEDAHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 654 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 130300- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 654 AM EST MON NOV 12 2012 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA... ...SEAS UP TO 8 FEET ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: THE COMBINATION OF EASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS ALONG WITH SEAS IN THE 4 TO 6 FOOT RANGE WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES THROUGH TODAY. WAVES: SEAS UP TO 8 FEET ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE ON LATE TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE WILL BE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH AT LEAST A MODERATE RISK POSSIBLE THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
Four men had to be rescued from a strong rip current behind the Four Seasons Hotel at 2800 South Ocean Blvd in Palm Beach Florida. One man was taken to the JFK Medical Center where he was treated and released.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 419572.