Florida, 2012

Drought in Florida, February 21 to 29, 2012

February 21 to 29, 2012 · NWS MFL · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Lack of rainfall during the dry season led to the onset of severe drought conditions over interior sections of southwest Florida.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Lack of rainfall during the dry season led to the onset of severe drought conditions over interior sections of southwest Florida.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 21, 6:34 AM EST, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 6:34 AM EST, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
634 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCT TO
PERHAPS BRIEFLY BKN STRATOCU WILL AFFECT THE TERMINALS THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH CLOUD BASES GENERALLY AT OR ABOVE 3500 FEET. HIGH
CIRRUS WILL ALSO STREAM OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY WITH
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 10 KNOTS AFTER 14Z. AT KAPF, WINDS WILL
BECOME WSW AROUND 18Z AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS,
BEFORE TURNING EASTERLY AGAIN AFTER 01Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012/

DISCUSSION...
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...DRY WEATHER EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS EASTERN US WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST.
EASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY BUT WEAKENING SLIGHTLY AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES...ALLOWING FOR THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WIND FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTH-
EASTERLY...IMPLYING WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE
END OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD REACH THE MID 80'S MOSTLY
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WEST.

FRIDAY AND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER
NORTH-CENTRAL US WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE WEEK AND
MOVING EAST...ALLOWING FOR ITS COLD FRONT TO POSSIBLY REACH SOUTH
FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND. LATEST GUIDANCE KEEPS BRINGING THIS BOUNDARY
TO OUR CWA BY EARLY SATURDAY...WHICH IS A SIMILAR PATTERN FROM
THIS PASSED WEEKEND'S WEATHER. THIS BOUNDARY SEEMS TO BE
WEAK...THEREFORE KEPT THE POPS IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE RANGE ACROSS
THE WHOLE AREA STARTING ON FRIDAY. CURRENT MODELS SHOW THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLING FOR A FEW FRAMES SOUTH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BEFORE
MOVING BACK NORTH BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FOR THIS REASON...INTRODUCED
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE WHOLE AREA FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

MARINE...LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY
WEDNESDAY...AS THE SURFACE HIGH ACROSS EASTERN US MOVES AWAY FROM
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. A MODERATE SWELL GENERATED BY A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH ATLANTIC...WILL AFFECT THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS...ESPECIALLY OFF PALM BEACH...FROM TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS THIS AREA. A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS ALSO EXPECTED
FOR THE PALM BEACH WATERS DUE TO THIS SWELL.

FIRE WEATHER...DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. AT THIS MOMENT...LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS RH
VALUES IN THE MID 30S ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NO SPECIAL PRODUCTS
WERE GENERATED AT THIS TIME DUE TO UNCERTAINTY. THIS WILL BE
FURTHER EVALUATED IN FUTURE FORECAST PACKAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  78  61  81  65 / -  -  -  10
FORT LAUDERDALE  78  65  79  67 / -  -  -  -
MIAMI            78  64  80  67 / -  -  -  -
NAPLES           76  59  79  63 / -  -  10 10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS
     FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20
     NM TO 60 NM.

GM...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...14/MJB
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 4:44 AM EST, 2 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
444 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-221030-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
444 AM EST TUE FEB 21 2012

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS PALM BEACHES, SLIGHT RISK BROWARD/DADE...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY PALM BEACH WATERS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: EAST WINDS COMBINED WITH A NORTHEAST SWELL WILL
RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE PALM BEACHES
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTY BEACHES.

WAVES: A NORTHEAST SWELL OF 3 TO 4 FEET WILL PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 7
FEET IN THE PALM BEACH COUNTY WATERS TODAY, AND UP TO 8 FEET
TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SEAS UP TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST OVER THE PALM BEACH COUNTY WATERS
ON WEDNESDAY. THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO REMAIN ELEVATED
AT THE EAST COAST BEACHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Glades

When
February 21, 7:00 AM EST to February 29, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Glades forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
26.957, -81.189 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The La Ni a pattern which has prevailed through the South Florida dry season contributed to the onset of severe drought conditions over interior southwest Florida. Rainfall amounts over the area from November 1, 2011 through the end of February 2012 were only in the 4 to 5 inch range, which is about half of the normal rain percent of normal for that time period. Pasture conditions ranged from poor to fair across the area. The level of Fisheating Creek was around 1.5 feet which was about 1 foot below normal.

Drought, Hendry

When
February 21, 7:00 AM EST to February 29, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Hendry forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
26.554, -81.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The La Ni a pattern which has prevailed through the South Florida dry season contributed to the onset of severe drought conditions over interior southwest Florida. Rainfall amounts over the area from November 1, 2011 through the end of February 2012 were only in the 4 to 5 inch range, which is about half of the normal rain percent of normal for that time period. Pasture conditions ranged from poor to fair across the area. The level of Fisheating Creek was around 1.5 feet which was about 1 foot below normal.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, February 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 368038, 368039.