A drier than average winter and spring contributed to a continued active fire season in mid June.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
A drier than average winter and spring contributed to a continued active fire season in mid June.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 16, 10:55 AM MST, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1055 AM MST SAT JUN 16 2012
CORRECTIONS 1) CHANGE TEXT FORECAST ACCESS INSTRUCTIONS
2) CHANGE "WEST OF" TO "EAST OF A JACOB LAKE TO WILLIAMS
TO PAYSON LINE FOR THIS AFTERNOONS DRY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.
.SYNOPSIS...THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR DRY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG NEAR AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM TODAY AND IN
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ON SUNDAY. STARTING MONDAY...FAIR WEATHER AND
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
WE ARE HAVING SOME INTERNET PROBLEMS THIS MORNING...THE POINT AND
CLICK FORECAST FEATURE IS NOT UPDATING PROPERLY. ZONE FORECASTS ARE
BEING CORRECT.
PLEASE REFER TO THE FIRST HEADLINE "FORECASTS ON MAP NOT BEING
UPDATED" AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR INSTRUCTIONS TO ACCESS
ZONE FORECASTS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS GILA COUNTY THIS MORNING. GIVEN YESTERDAYS
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND THE ABOVE MENTIONED MOISTURE...WE
HAVE ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS TO AREA THAT
ARE ABOVE 5500 FEET AND EAST OF A LINE FROM JACOB LAKE TO WILLIAMS
TO PAYSON...AND CHANGED THE THUNDERSTORM TYPE TO DRY FOR AREAS THAT
HAD TSTORMS FORECAST WITH THE 345 AM FORECAST PACKAGE.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION 335 AM...WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST OFF OF NORTHERN
BAJA WILL HELP PULL SOME MOISTURE WESTWARD TODAY AND SUNDAY TO
PRODUCE SOME ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A
NORTHERN STREAM LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL HELP STRENGTHEN A SOUTHWEST
TO WEST PUSH OF DRY AIR ACROSS THE REGION BY MONDAY WHICH WILL TAKE
AWAY THE THREAT OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER THE WINDS ALOFT
ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE TO THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
THE NORTH...WHICH WILL IN-TURN BRING AFTERNOON AND EVENING SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BECOME WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE WEST BY FRIDAY...WHICH COULD LEAD TO
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS PRIMARILY FOR COCONINO AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY OF NEXT WEEK...THE ECMWF HINTS AT A 4-CORNERS
HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP...ALLOWING FOR A WEAK SUBTROPICAL PUSH OF
MOISTURE INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HOWEVER THE GFS
SUGGESTS THAT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT DEVELOPS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY WILL BE STRONGER AND FURTHER EAST ALLOWING FOR A PUSH OF
DRY AIR ACROSS THE REGION ALONG WITH BREEZY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WINDS.
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR HIGH-BASED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WHITE MTNS...WITH ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE
FARTHER WEST TO KFLG AND KGCN. GUSTY WINDS BUT LITTLE RAINFALL
EXPECTED WITH THE ACTIVITY TODAY. EXPECT STORMS TO DIMINISH DURING
THE EVENING...WITH SOME CLOUDS AROUND 20KFT MSL LINGERING OVERNIGHT.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...MOSTLY DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...A MINOR INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS THE STATE WILL BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM THE
KAIBAB PLATEAU TO THE MOGOLLON RIM...WITH BETTER CHANCES ALONG THE
NEW MEXICO BORDER INCLUDING THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. LITTLE RAINFALL AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED STORM
REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS SUNDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION
WILL BRING WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL REACH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. CORRESPONDING AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES
WILL BE VERY LOW EACH DAY. WINDS WILL PICK UP ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
LEVELS.
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
PUBLIC.........DL/ TC
AVIATION.......JJ
FIRE WEATHER...JJ
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFFThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Dinnebito Wash Fire was reported on June 16 about 15 miles south of Kayenta. It was contained by the end of the day on June 20.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2012
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 396017.