Alaska, 2012

Blizzard in Alaska, November 15, 2012

November 15, 2012 · NWS AFG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 998 mb low just south of Banks Island at 1500AKST on the 15th coupled with a strong 1036 high pressure center over the Chukchi sea created a strong pressure gradient on over the Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast, providing strong wind and blizzard conditions at Barter Island during the late morning and afternoon hours on the 15th. Zone 204: Blizzard conditions were observed at Barter Island from…

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A 998 mb low just south of Banks Island at 1500AKST on the 15th coupled with a strong 1036 high pressure center over the Chukchi sea created a strong pressure gradient on over the Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast, providing strong wind and blizzard conditions at Barter Island during the late morning and afternoon hours on the 15th.

Zone 204: Blizzard conditions were observed at Barter Island from approximately 1000AKST through 1600AKST on the 15th. The visibility was reduced to one quarter mile or less in snow and blowing snow. There was a peak wind gust of 50 kt (58 mph) at the Barter Island AWSS.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 6:01 AM AKST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 6:01 AM AKST, 3 hours 48 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
601 AM AKST THU NOV 15 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING RIDGE WILL CONTINUE BUILD OVER THE
BERING AND CHUKCHI SEAS THE NEXT 24 HRS AS A COLD TROUGH ALOFT DIGS
SOUTH ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER AND INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. MODELS
ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH SOME VARIATION OF THIS PATTERN
PERSISTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AT WHICH POINT SOME DIVERGENCE
IN SOLUTIONS IS APPARENT.

IN ANY CASE...ALL MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ALLUDE TO THE NORTH PACIFIC
STORM TRACK REMAINING WELL SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH VERY
LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN ALASKA IN THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE. COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE
GENERAL RULE OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE AND NEAR NORMAL IN
THE WEST CLOSER TO THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE ALOFT AND WARMER
AIR.

AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL WOBBLE
AROUND BUT PERSIST WELL INTO NEXT WEEK WITH REINFORCING SHOTS OF
COLD AIR ALOFT FROM THE ARCTIC TO SUPPORT THIS FEATURE. MOISTURE
WRAPPING AROUND THIS LOW AND MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR
WILL DIMINISH IN THE NEXT 24 HRS AS THE LOW DRIFTS SOUTHEAST AWAY
FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST. THIS LOW WILL ROTATE NORTHWARD IN A FEW
DAYS AND SPREAD SOME ADDITIONAL CLOUDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR
BY SUNDAY.

FARTHER NORTH...LOW PRESSURE NEAR BANKS ISLAND WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
AND AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. AS THIS
HAPPENS...THE TIGHT GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL
SLACKEN AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH. OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER FAR EAST RUSSIA AND THE CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER NORTHERN ALASKA BY FRIDAY.

NORTH SLOPE...STRONG WEST WINDS FROM 30 TO 50 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS
ARE CREATING LOW VISIBILITY IN BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE EASTERN
ARCTIC COAST BUT SHOULD DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW SOME SNOW AROUND THROUGH TONIGHT
BUT THIS WILL BE OVER BY TOMORROW. THE WESTERN ARCTIC WILL HAVE
RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. THIS
TREND WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ON FRIDAY.

WEST COAST...SOME HIGHER CLOUDS WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE WEST
COAST TODAY AND FRIDAY BUT OTHERWISE SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
CLEAR INTO THE WEEKEND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS OVER THE MARINE
AREAS WILL DIMINISH TODAY AND TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER
THE AREA.

INTERIOR...CLOUDS AND SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR WILL
RAPIDLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT LINGER
OVER THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND EASTERN ALASKA RANGE INTO FRIDAY.
WIDESPREAD COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE 20 TO 35 BELOW RANGE ARE
EXPECTED STARTING TONIGHT AS THE CLOUDS CLEAR OUT AND PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND. SOME CLOUDS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY MAY SUBDUE THE LOW TEMPERATURES A BIT.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ204.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ240.
&&

NOV 12

EWP

Event by event

1 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast

When
November 15, 9:49 AM AKST to 4:08 PM AKST
Where
Eastern Beaufort Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
AWSS

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2012Every state in 2012This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2012

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 414470.