Drought conditions in extreme southeast Utah slowly spread northward during the month.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GJT wrote it up.
Drought conditions in extreme southeast Utah slowly spread northward during the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 1:57 PM MST, 10 hours 3 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
257 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2011
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO AFFECT OUR WEATHER LATER
IN THE WEEK WILL BE SPINNING OFF THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND MOVING
INTO NRN CA BY SUNRISE. THIS PROVIDES A DRY SWRLY FLOW FOR OUR
CWA. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IS SEEN WEDNESDAY BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL
PICKUP A BIT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND SFC PRESSURE GRADS TIGHTEN
AND WINDS ALOFT INCREASE. WARMER TEMPS WILL ALSO AID SNOW MELT AND
ASSOCIATED RUNOFF. THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE GRT BASIN WED NIGHT
CAUSING WINDS OVER OUR REGION TO INCREASE. EXPECT MID-SLOPES AND
RIDGETOP LOCATIONS WILL NOT DECOUPLE AND REMAIN BREEZY OVERNIGHT.
THURSDAY THE MAIN WEATHER MESSAGE WILL BE WIND. H7 WINDS INCREASE TO
40-50 KTS ALONG WITH TIGHTENING P-GRADS. HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A WIND
ADVISORY FOR ALL THE VALLEY LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE MOISTURE LEVELS ARE
QUITE LOW SO EXPECT NO MEANINGFUL CONVECTION.
.LONG TERM...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...
TROF/FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT DESPITE
DYNAMICAL FORCING THERE IS LITTLE MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR ANY
PRECIP. WINDS ALSO REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY. HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS IN
FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE PERIOD OF FRI-MON AS THE NEXT CLOSED
LOW SPINS OFF THE WEST COAST THEN MOVES SLOWLY INLAND. BOTH THE GFS
AND EC HINT AT BRINGING SOME SUBTROPICAL MSTR NORTHWARD BUT FOR RIGHT
NOW CONFIDENCE IS LOW. EC ALSO SLIGHTLY FASTER EJECTING UPPER LOW
EASTWARD. WILL STAY WITH VERY LOW POPS FOR NOW...AND YES IT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOONS.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL AT THE EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO TERMINAL SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ONLY HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS EXPECTED TO STREAM OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING OVER
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AS THE NEXT LARGE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WESTERN STATES AND TIGHTENS PRESSURE GRADIENTS
OVER THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. THIS WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO
INCREASED TURBULENCE OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLE A REDUCTION IN
VSBYS DUE TO BLOWING DUST IF WINDS GUSTS ARE A STRONG AS ANTICIPATED
ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE RUNNING HIGH AND FAST AS THE WARMING
TREND THIS WEEK AGAIN ACCELERATES SNOWMELT IN THE HIGH COUNTRY. A
BRIEF COOL-DOWN ABOUT FRIDAY SHOULD TEMPER THE RATE OF SNOWMELT
TO SOME EXTENT...BUT ONLY BRIEFLY.
ISSUED AN AREAL FLOOD ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR ROUTT
COUNTY AS FORECAST RIVER LEVELS EXCEED ACTION STAGE/BANKFULL AT
SOME POINTS ON THE ELK AND YAMPA RIVERS...AND ELKHEAD CREEK.
FORECASTS POINT TOWARD THE ELK RIVER NEAR COUNTY RD 42 REACHING FLOOD
STAGE BY FRIDAY...SO WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT POINT.
ELSEWHERE...AN AREAL FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR MOFFAT COUNTY...AND
FLOOD ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE GREEN RIVER NEAR JENSEN AND
THE COLORADO RIVER NEAR THE CO-UT STATE LINE DUE TO HIGH RIVER FLOWS
FROM SNOWMELT.
&&
.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO... WIND ADVISORY NOON THURSDAY UNTIL 9 PM MDT FOR ZONES
001-002-006>008-011-014-020>023.
UT...WIND ADVISORY NOON THURSDAY UNTIL 9 PM MDT FOR ZONES
022-024-027>029.
&&
SHORT TERM.....MC
LONG TERM......MC
AVIATION.......DP
HYDROLOGY......JADHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 545 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2011 COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-011145- ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES- CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN- CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN- CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR- EASTERN UINTA BASIN-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS- ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS- FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER- GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS- GRAND VALLEY-LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN- NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER- ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH- SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU- UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY- UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS- 545 AM MDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH IN SPITE OF COOLER TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY. SNOW MELT WILL AGAIN INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A WARMING TREND BEGINS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... WINDY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK... WHICH WILL KEEP SNOW MELTING OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL BRING A STEADY RISE TO AREA RIVERS...CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. JDC
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Abnormally dry to moderate drought conditions remained across the area.
Normal conditions through most of the month were replaced by abnormally dry conditions in the southern portion of the area by the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Utah in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Utah, June 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 347424, 358141.