Severe(D2) to Exceptional(D4) drought continued across parts of Far West Texas through the month of November. Little change was noted during the month.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Severe(D2) to Exceptional(D4) drought continued across parts of Far West Texas through the month of November. Little change was noted during the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 31, 2:03 PM MST, 9 hours 57 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 303 PM MDT MON OCT 31 2011 .SYNOPSIS... A DRY BUT FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS SILL LIKELY FOR THIS WEEK STARTING WITH A MODERATELY STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS ESPECIALLY TO THE WESTERN SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS BY THURSDAY. A SECOND AND STRONGER PACIFIC UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE BORDERLAND STARTING FRIDAY BEFORE EXITING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING FAIRLY STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. IN THE LONGER TERM...ANOTHER EVEN STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AROUND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING COLDER TEMPERATURES...WINDS...AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. && .DISCUSSION... HOPE YOU ENJOYED TODAY AND JUST IN CASE YOU MISSED IT YOU WILL HAVE ANOTHER CHANCE TUESDAY WITH A MAX TEMP AROUND 81 NOTING THAT THE THE MAX FOR THE DATE IS 84. AND AS USUAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THIS WILL SIGNAL THAT A CHANGE IS ON THE WAY. IN FACT WITH OUR FAIRLY ACTIVE WX PATTERN NOW IN PROGRESS DEMONSTRATING THE DEVELOPING/ONGOING LA NINA...WE SEE 3 CHANGES IN THE OFFERING OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. NUMBER 1 WILL BE A MODERATELY STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WEDNESDAY DROPPING A COLD FRONT INTO THE BORDERLAND BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. THE SYSTEM IS DRY AND WILL PRODUCE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEG F OF COOLING THURSDAY. SURFACE GRADIENTS IN 2 OUT OF 3 MODELS SUGGEST WINDS MAY BRIEFLY GUST LOCALLY FROM 40 TO 45 MPH WEST OF AREA MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER THE U.S. IS ZONAL AND PROGRESSIVELY FAST AND SYSTEM NUMBER 2 FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL DROP IN BY LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY SCOURING OUT THE COOLER AIR AND BRINGING IN WINDY CONDITIONS FROM THE WEST ALONG WITH A SLIGHT RISK OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION BRIEF SNOW SHOWERS TO THE GILA WILDERNESS AND THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. THIS SYSTEM IS INTERESTING IN THAT IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GIVE US WIND ADVISORIES AND EVEN A POTENTIAL HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE UPPER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACRAMENTOS. AT THIS TIME THE FORECAST IS FOR THE STRONG PACIFIC FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE TROUGH FOLLOWING EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...THUS THE PHASE IS OFF 6 12 HOURS FOR A GENERAL AREA WIDE HIGH WIND EVENT BUT THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED. ALSO THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS PARTICULARLY IN THE LOWLANDS EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. WINDS COULD BE QUITE GUSTY EAST OF THE FRANKLIN MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT. THE GFS PUTS 50-60 KTS AT 700 MB OVERHEAD KELP AROUND 06Z FRI WITH 70-80 KTS (ALSO 700 MB) OVER CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AT THIS TIME. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY EXIT OUR AREA SATURDAY WITH QUITE A RELAXATION IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT BY SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON SO FOR NOW LOOKS LIKE WINDY FRIDAY...VERY WINDY EAST SLOPES FRIDAY NIGHT WITH GRADUAL DECREASING WINDS SATURDAY BUT STILL FAIRLY BREEZY. THIS WILL LEAD US INTO SYSTEM NUMBER 3 AND AS IS TYPICAL WITH THESE RAPID SYSTEMS...EACH ONE DIGS A LITTLE DEEPER AND SINCE WE ARE LOOKING OUT AT 192 HOURS...WE SEE THE DIVERGENCE IN THE GFS AND EURO WITH INITIALLY THE GFS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AND SLOWER BY ABOUT 24 HOURS THAN THE EURO WHICH PUTS A CLOSED 551 DM LOW WITH 540 1000/500 DM THICKNESS OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND THE GFS A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AND LESS INTENSE 24 HOURS LATER. SO AT LEAST WE HAVE SOMETHING INTERESTING TO SPECULATE ABOUT FOR NOW...INCLUDING THE DREADED "S" WORD BUT REMEMBER...BEFORE YOU GET TOO EXCITED... WE ARE 192 HOURS OUT. && .AVIATION...VALID 01/00Z-02/00Z. LIGHT WINDS AND FEW200-250 EXPECTED THRU 18Z. AFT 18Z SKC-FEW250 WITH WINDS BECOMING 25013G23KT AT ALL TERMINALS. && .FIRE WEATHER... A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS WITH EACH ONE STRONGER THAN THE PREVIOUS WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE COMING WEEK. AHEAD OF THE FIRST SYSTEM...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ON TUESDAY INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 15-20 MPH. THE FIRST STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL DROP TEMPERATURES ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES WITH COOLER AIR CONTINUING TO FILTER IN FOR THURSDAY. THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH SOME VERY STRONG WINDS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ON EASTERN MOUNTAIN SLOPES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 70S FOR FRIDAY AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AND COMBINE WITH WINDY CONDITIONS TO CREATE NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15-20 PERCENT. SOME LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS DURING THIS TIME. HIGHS WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 60S WITH THIS SYSTEM ON SATURDAY. && 26 - GRZYWACZ .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... EL PASO 49 81 52 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 0 SIERRA BLANCA TX 40 78 42 71 28 / 0 0 0 0 0 LAS CRUCES 44 81 46 73 35 / 0 0 0 0 0 ALAMOGORDO 44 79 46 72 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 CLOUDCROFT 34 63 36 52 24 / 0 0 0 0 0 TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 44 80 46 70 33 / 0 0 0 0 0 SILVER CITY 42 75 42 67 32 / 0 0 0 0 0 DEMING 44 80 46 72 33 / 0 0 0 0 0 LORDSBURG 45 79 47 73 33 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 20/26 NOVLAN / GRZYWACZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 500 AM MDT MON OCT 31 2011 NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-011245- SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION- TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS- SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH- 500 AM MDT MON OCT 31 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. BREEZY WINDS WITH A WEATHER FRONT ON WEDNESDAY WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS ON FRIDAY WITH SOME BLOWING DUST. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS FRIDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HEFNER
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe(D2) drought was noted through the entire month over Far West El Paso County. The El Paso Airport received 0.23 inches of rain which was 0.26 inches below normal.
A tight drought index gradient existed across Hudspeth County through the month of November. Far West Hudspeth County was only in Moderate(D1) drought but over the far eastern portion of the county it was up to Exceptional(D4). Little change was noted during the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 354240, 354241.