Texas, 2011

Drought in Texas, February 22 to 28, 2011

February 22 to 28, 2011 · NWS OUN · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Several months of below normal precipitation continued to wreak havoc on north Texas' agriculture. Summer and fall crops, hay forages, and alfalfa were hit hard by the lack of any significant precipitation.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.

Several months of below normal precipitation continued to wreak havoc on north Texas' agriculture. Summer and fall crops, hay forages, and alfalfa were hit hard by the lack of any significant precipitation. Farm pond water levels continued to decrease, or dry up altogether, which added insult to injury for area livestock. The extent of the damage was still undetermined monetary, but it was beginning to look like a total loss for many Texas farmers.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 21, 11:10 PM CST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 11:10 PM CST, 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1110 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011

.AVIATION...
LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST BY LATE
MORNING ON TUESDAY. A FEW GUSTS OVER 20KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA BY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE A FEW HIGH CLOUDS
TONIGHT. COULD SEE SOME LATE DAY CU DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST AS
MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE AREA. SOME MVFR CEILING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 900 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011/

.UPDATE...
SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS WINDS CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH AND MID/HIGH CLOUDS THIN OUT. HAVE LOWERED TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES OVER MAINLY THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE AREA WHERE COOLING
HAS BEEN AT A FASTER PACE THAN FORECAST. OTHERWISE... FEW OTHER
CHANGES MADE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 505 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011/

AVIATION...
SFC HIGH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST LATE TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. THIS
WILL ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE EAST TONIGHT AND TO THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. OTHERWISE... A FEW HIGH
CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SITES TONIGHT AS MINOR DISTURBANCE
MOVES OUT OF BASE OF SOUTHWEST TROUGH OUT INTO THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

30

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 346 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011/

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF
A COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN GUIDANCE NUMBERS SO WILL TWEAK OVERNIGHT LOWS DOWN A
FEW DEGREES. SHORTWAVE OVER ARIZONA/ NEW MEXICO WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST AND SHOULD BRING VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT.
CIRCULATION AROUND SURFACE HIGH SHOULD KEEP HIGHER DEWPOINT AIR
SOUTH UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AM. WILL ADD A MENTION
OF FOG TO SOUTHWEST 1/4 OF FA AS DRIER AIR MAY LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL
FARTHER EAST.

STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BRING
A DECENT CHANCE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. TIMING WITH THIS SYSTEM MAY LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM STRENGTH...BUT ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
SHOULD BE AVAILABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL.

COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE THURSDAY
SYSTEM...BUT MUCH COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
AREA.

CONFIDENCE IN FORECAST FROM SATURDAY INTO MONDAY IS RATHER LOW AT
THIS TIME.  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MAY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ENOUGH COLD AIR MAY BE AVAILABLE FOR RAIN
TO CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA WITH BETTER CHANCES FOR
RAIN FARTHER SOUTH. ABOUT 25 PERCENT OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
SUPPORT THE TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY SYSTEM
PER THE GFS/EC.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  28  60  44  68 /   0   0  10  10
HOBART OK         25  60  41  69 /   0   0   0  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  29  64  48  72 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           23  61  36  72 /   0   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     21  57  42  66 /   0   0  10  10
DURANT OK         31  62  47  68 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

32/06
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 21, 10:40 PM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1040 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1040 PM CST MON FEB 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
A MUCH COOLER AND DRY AIRMASS IS IN PLACE...PREVENTING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST TUESDAY FEB 22.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...ZERO PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
LATER IN THE WEEK...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...WHILE A MODEST FETCH OF
GULF MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY
ALSO DEVELOP FOR A FEW OF THE STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HIGHLY ELEVATED WILDFIRE CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AGAIN ON THURSDAY
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
TUESDAY.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Hardeman

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hardeman forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
34.290, -99.746 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Wilbarger

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Wilbarger forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
34.081, -99.241 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Wichita

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Wichita forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
33.988, -98.704 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Foard

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Foard forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
33.975, -99.778 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 277162, 277163, 277164, 277165.