Drought conditions improved during the early part of February due to precipitation from three winter storms, but then conditions deteriorated near the end of the month from lack of significant rainfall. During the latter half of the month, severe to extreme drought conditions began expanding.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Drought conditions improved during the early part of February due to precipitation from three winter storms, but then conditions deteriorated near the end of the month from lack of significant rainfall. During the latter half of the month, severe to extreme drought conditions began expanding. In Mills County, severe drought (D2) conditions as defined by the US Drought Monitor were observed during the latter half of the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 19, 11:06 PM CST, 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1106 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 .AVIATION... GUIDANCE SUGGESTED STRATUS WOULD FILL IN ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING...BUT THAT HAS NOT HAPPENED. TIMING OF COASTAL STRATUS MOVING NORTH BRINGS CEILINGS INTO METROPLEX CLOSER TO SUNRISE. 40 KT LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD ESTABLISH OVERNIGHT AND SPEED UP THE NORTHWARD MOVING LOW CLOUDS...SO WILL BACK STRATUS UP ABOUT 3 HOURS FOR THIS TAF CYCLE. OTHERWISE...NO CHANGES. 84 && .UPDATE... INITIAL SURGE OF WAA/LOW CLOUDS NOW SURGING NWD ACROSS FAR WRN COUNTIES AND RED RIVER VALLEY WITH A BRIEF 3-6 HR PD OF PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BEFORE INCREASING LLJ OF 35-45 KTS AND EXPECTED CONTINUED COOLING OF SFC-BOUNDARY LAYER RESULTS IN THICK STRATUS AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THROUGH THE MORNING HRS SUNDAY. LOWS OVERNIGHT LOOK PRETTY GOOD AND OUTSIDE OF SOME MINOR TRENDS ADJUSTMENTS...DO NOT EXPECT TO ISSUE ANY OFFICIAL UPDATES...BUT WILL SEND OUT THESE CHANGES THROUGH OUR MATRIX FORECAST PRODUCTS FOR ON-LINE USERS. 05/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 318 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011/ UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE A TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE TROUGH WILL DEAMPLIFY AND MOVE EAST ONTO THE PLAINS MONDAY AND ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. MOISTURE WILL BE THIN AND CONFINED TO THE LOWEST FEW THOUSAND FEET AND WARM AIR WILL REMAIN IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONT. THE COOL AND DRY AIR WILL BE BRIEF ACROSS THE REGION WITH ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PROGGED TO DEVELOP IN THE WEST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...THE CAP MAY STILL BE TOO STRONG TO OVERCOME. FOR NOW...WILL LEAVE POPS ON THE LOW SIDE (20 TO 30%) AND LEAVE OUT THE MENTION OF THUNDER. RAIN CHANCES SHOULD END FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE LAST FEW DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60 AND HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S. THE COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NORTHWEST ZONES BEFORE SUNRISE MONDAY AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE UPPER 40S BEHIND IT WITH MAINLY 50S ELSEWHERE. TEMPS MONDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER BUT STILL NEAR OR ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S. A FEW SPOTS IN THE NORTH MAY SEE FREEZING TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING...BUT ONLY BRIEFLY. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH THE RETURN OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE EXTENDED MODELS DO DIFFER WITH REGARDS TO THE END OF THE WEEK. THE ECMWF BRINGS A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WHILE THE GFS KEEPS THE FRONT NORTH OF THE REGION UNTIL SATURDAY. FOR NOW...WILL SIDE A BIT CLOSER TO THE GFS SOLUTION DUE TO RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY...BUT FROPA TIMING WILL MOST CERTAINLY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED IN THE COMING DAYS. 79 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 59 76 57 66 37 / 5 5 10 10 10 WACO, TX 60 75 59 73 38 / 5 5 10 10 10 PARIS, TX 56 70 57 63 32 / 5 10 10 10 10 DENTON, TX 59 73 54 62 33 / 5 5 10 10 10 MCKINNEY, TX 58 72 55 65 33 / 5 5 10 10 10 DALLAS, TX 61 75 58 67 38 / 5 5 10 10 10 TERRELL, TX 58 72 58 70 36 / 5 5 10 10 10 CORSICANA, TX 59 73 59 72 38 / 5 5 10 10 10 TEMPLE, TX 58 75 59 74 38 / 5 5 10 10 10 MINERAL WELLS, TX 57 80 51 63 32 / 5 5 10 10 10 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 242 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-201200- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 242 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions (D2), as defined by the US Drought Monitor, were reported in Mills County near the end of February. The county received very little precipitation during the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 278865.