Texas, 2011

Drought in Texas, August 9 to 15, 2011

August 9 to 15, 2011 · NWS BRO · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

After the local rains from Tropical Storm Don had briefly helped Drought conditions mainly in Starr County the first week of August, dry, hot weather began deteriorating conditions again by the 2nd week of August. Extreme (D3) Drought returned to most of Starr and all of Jim Hogg County by the 9th.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.

After the local rains from Tropical Storm Don had briefly helped Drought conditions mainly in Starr County the first week of August, dry, hot weather began deteriorating conditions again by the 2nd week of August. Extreme (D3) Drought returned to most of Starr and all of Jim Hogg County by the 9th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 8, 11:53 PM CST, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 8, 11:53 PM CST, 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1253 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...SEE THE AVIATION SECTION BELOW FOR THE UPDATED
DISCUSSION ON THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...THE 3 LOCAL TAF SITES REPORTED MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 05Z. WINDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE AVIATION FORECAST FOR THE
NEXT 24 HRS. THE STRONGER SURFACE WINDS WILL BE THE PROBLEM DURING
THE DAYTIME TODAY...GENERALLY FROM MID/LATE MORNING THRU LATE
AFTERNOON SUSTAINED BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KTS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
GUSTS. A FAIRLY ROBUST LLVL JET REMAINS PRESENT CURRENTLY ACROSS
THE AREA WITH VAD WIND PROFILE INDICATING 30 KTS AT 2 KFT. INCLUDED NON
CONVECTIVE LLWS IN THE TAF FORECAST THRU THE EARLY MRNG HRS UNTIL
AFTER SUNRISE WHEN SFC WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE. CLEAR SKIES
WILL PREVAIL THRU MOST OF THE EARLY MRNG WITH A FEW PATCHES OF LOW
SC POSSIBLE. INCREASING WINDS WITH SCT TO TEMPO BKN MVFR CIGS
POSSIBLE THRU MID MRNG BEFORE BASES RISE BY LATE MRNG. SKIES
SHOULD GENERALLY SHAKE OUT TO A MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY
CATEGORY THRU MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. WINDS AND CLOUDS WILL DIMINISH
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 618 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE
0000 UTC TAF PACKAGE.

AVIATION...SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS EARLY THIS EVENING.
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS 500MB
RIDGE ACROSS THE STATE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN
ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 204 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011/
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... THE LATEST WEATHER
MAPS SHOW AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS. COMPLEXES OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
HAVE BEEN NOTED IN VICINITY OF THE FRONT AS DISTURBANCES HEAD
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

NO SUCH LUCK CLOSER TO HOME THOUGH.  WARM AND DUSTY WILL BE THE
SHORT TERM WEATHER WORDS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.  BROAD
RIDGING...IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER ATMOSPHERE...IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT.  THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ANY
SIGNIFICANT HOPES FOR RAIN WELL AWAY FROM OUR AREA...AND PROBABLY
NORTH OF THE RED RIVER.

ALL THIS MEANS IS THAT PERSISTENCE WILL LIKELY BE THE RULE
WEATHER-WISE.  LOWS WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER
80S...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOWER 90S NEAR THE COAST TO THE
LOWER 100S IN PARTS OF THE UPPER VALLEY.  LITTLE SIGNIFICANT SHORT
TERM CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED IN THE DEWPOINT DEPARTMENT...WHICH WILL
RESULT IN A CONTINUATION OF HEAT INDICES IN THE 105 TO 110 DEGREE
RANGE.  THIS IS TECHNICALLY BELOW ANY SORT OF ADVISORY CRITERIA...
BUT COULD STILL BE WARM ENOUGH TO RESULT IN HEAT-RELATED ISSUES.

I GUESS SOME OF THE SILVER LINING SURROUND THE SCATTERED STRATOCU
WOULD BE RELATED TO THE WIND.  A PRESSURE GRADIENT /BETWEEN HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS/ IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.  THIS...COMBINED WITH ANOTHER STRONG EARLY
MORNING LOW-LEVEL JET... SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASED MECHANICAL
MIXING AGAIN DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...DOMINANT HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS CENTERED OVER TEXAS...KEEPING WEATHER SYSTEM AT BAY INTO
THE WEEKEND. LONG-RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING THAT THE RIDGE MAY
FINALLY GET PUSHED WEST INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY NEXT
WEEK...WITH A SIGNIFICANT LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN THIRD
OF THE US. THIS MAY OPEN UP THE GULF ENOUGH TO TEMPER TEMPS A BIT
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BRING A CHANCE FOR THE SEABREEZE TO FINALLY
FIRE UP A BIT.

MARINE...
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A CONTINUED TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY. OCCASIONALLY GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA AS A RESULT...ALONG WITH
BUILDING SEAS. WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE LAGUNA MADRE SHOULD
/BRIEFLY/ DROP BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS
EVENING...BUT WILL LIKELY MEET CRITERIA AGAIN BY TUESDAY MORNING.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA...WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY MEET
SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CRITERIA.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...CONTINUED BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS
THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS
AND SEAS HOVERING 3 TO 5 FEET.

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BROWNSVILLE

AVIATION...VIPOND-57
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 8, 8:31 PM CST, 3 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
931 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

TXZ248>257-091100-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
931 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE LOCAL
BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND BOCA CHICA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 105
DEGREES TO AS MUCH AS 110 DEGREES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH
DAY DURING THE PERIOD. LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRACTICE PROPER HEAT SAFETY PRACTICES.

AN ELEVATED RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AT THE LOCAL BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-091100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
931 PM CDT MON AUG 8 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

EXERCISE CAUTION TO MARGINAL SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS
THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO THE STRONGER WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CASTILLO

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Jim Hogg

When
August 9, 12:00 AM CST to August 15, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Jim Hogg forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
27.043, -98.697 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The drought conditions intensified across Jim Hogg County the second week of August. Extreme D3 drought conditions engulfed the entire county due to the continued lack of rainfall.

Drought, Starr

When
August 9, 12:00 AM CST to August 15, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Starr forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
26.562, -98.738 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extreme (D3) Drought conditions spread across most of Starr County the second full week in August. Extreme D3 drought conditions engulfed the all of the county except for the southwestern quarter and the northeastern tip of Starr County from the 9th to the 15th.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 330361, 330362.