Hail, Defiance
- When
- November 14, 3:20 PM EST to 3:21 PM EST
- Where
- Defiance County, 0.86 mi SW of Hicksville
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 41.290, -84.760
A strong southerly flow and developing low pressure helped push a warm front north into parts of northwestern Ohio. A cold front swept in from the west as well.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.
A strong southerly flow and developing low pressure helped push a warm front north into parts of northwestern Ohio. A cold front swept in from the west as well. Strong to extreme low level shear was located near the warm front. Areas of weak rotation were noted within a LEWP as the storms moved into northwestern Ohio. Severe weather was isolated to a few hail and wind damage reports.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 1:26 PM EST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 126 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011 .AVIATION... 18Z TAFS...WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST TO THE SOUTH OF TERMINALS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. LATEST SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATING WARM FRONT HAS REACHED KFWA WITH WINDS NOW SOUTHERLY AND GUSTING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS. THIS SHARP FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL INTERACT WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY INSTABILITY AXIS WILL SET UP FROM EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO NORTHEAST INDIANA WITH KFWA MARKING THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THIS GREATER INSTABILITY. WHILE THUNDER MAY BE MORE ISOLD OR SCT AT KSBN...BEST POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER AT KSBN SHOULD BE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WITH STRONG BACKGROUND WIND SHEAR AND PLACEMENT OF INSTABILITY...STORMS WILL LIKELY BE STRONG/SEVERE AND DID INDICATE WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 KNOTS IN TEMPO TSRA GROUP FOR FWA. THREAT OF PRECIP SHOULD END AT EARLY THIS EVENING AS COLD FRONT TRACKS EASTWARD THROUGH THE AREA. CONFIDENCE IN WINDS DIMINISHES LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH UNCERTAINTY AS TO EXACT PLACEMENT OF WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY...BUT WINDS SHOULD EVENTUALLY FAVOR SOUTHWEST LATER TONIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1105 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011/ UPDATE... CONVECTIVE/SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN FORECAST FOCUS FOR THE NEAR TERM. SURFACE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY CREEP NORTHWARD LATE THIS MORNING AND EXTENDS FROM EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO EAST CENTRAL INDIANA AT 15Z. SHARP THERMAL/MOISTURE GRADIENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS WARM FRONT WITH TEMP/DEW POINT KFWA OF 48/46 AT KFWA AND KIND OF 66/59. SOME ADDITIONAL NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT UNSEASONABLY MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR NORTHWARD ACROSS APPROXIMATELY SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. ALREADY BEGINNING TO SEE UPSWING IN ELEVATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NORTH OF THIS WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF OF FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. SOME FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE ELEVATED CORES AND A FEW REPORTS OF SOME SMALL HAIL HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. AS THIS BAND OF SHOWERS CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHWARD LATE THIS MORNING...EXPECTING SOME WEAKENING TREND AS THESE CELLS MOVE AWAY FROM BETTER LOWER BASED INSTABILITY ACROSS THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...LARGE SCALE FORCING SHOULD INCREASE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS A VORT MAX EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ACROSS NWRN MO/IOWA SWINGS INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL ALSO BE AIDED BY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DVG IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A VERY STRONG 150 KNOT JET CORE OVERHEAD. DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...0 TO 6 KM SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 80 TO 90 KNOTS WILL RESULT IN A CONCERN FOR LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE AREA WHERE SFC BASED INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED. STRONG WIND FIELD SHOULD ALSO ENHANCE WIND POTENTIAL WITH SMALLER SCALE BOWING SEGMENTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GENEARL NATURE OF MORNING FORECAST IS STILL INTACT WITH HAIL...WIND...ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT ACROSS SERN HALF...AND SVR PROBABILITIES DIMINISHING ACROSS APPROX NWRN THIRD OF THE AREA. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011/ SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/ SHRTWV MOVG RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS MORNING IN BASE OF BROAD TROF OVER CENTRAL NOAM. STRENGTHENING/BACKING LLJ AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE ACROSS MO WAS RESULTING IN LOW LEVEL ISENT LIFT OVER CENTRAL IL/IN CAUSING SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS IN THIS AREA. SFC LOW EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES ENE ALONG THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED FROM WRN LAKE ERIE WSW INTO MO. SOME NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIKELY AHEAD OF THE WAVE TODAY WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN HIGH TEMPS IN THE L-M60S ACROSS THE SE 1/2 OF THE CWA AND IN THE M50S NW. DWPTS IN U50S/L60S SOUTH OF THE FRONT OVER SE MO/SRN IL EXPECTED TO ADVECT NORTHWARD INTO SERN PORTION OF CWA. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR WK SFC BASED INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA WITH CAPES AROUND 500J/KG. STRONG WIND FIELDS AND LOW LEVEL/DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS ARE PSBL WITH THE CONVECTION OVER SERN PORTION OF THE CWA THIS AFTN. EXPANDED SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSTMS TO REMAINDER OF THE CWA WHERE SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED AND ADDED POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORMS TO GRIDS/HWO ACROSS THE SE THIS AFTN. WAVE WILL LIFT NE OF THE AREA THIS EVE PUSHING CDFNT SE OF THE CWA. DECREASING CLOUDINESS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT THIS EVE... HWVR WITH WSWLY FLOW ALOFT CONTG...CIRRUS SHIELD WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS THE SERN PORTION OF THE CWA WHICH SHOULD LIMIT TEMP FALLS THERE DESPITE RIDGING AND LIGHTER WINDS MOVG INTO THE AREA. LOWS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE U30S NW TO THE U40S SE. BY TUE CLOSED LOW OVER BAJA IS EXPECTED TO GET DRAWN EASTWARD TO ERN TX WHERE IT WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF SHEARING OUT IN THE PRESENCE OF THE STRONGER WESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD CENTRAL NOAM TROF WHICH SHOULD BE DIGGING/AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS. SRN SYSTEM WILL LIKELY CAUSE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO AGAIN BECOME ACTIVE WITH SHOWERS AND TSTMS BUT EXPECT THIS PRECIP TO REMAIN S-SE OF OUR CWA. RATHER STRONG SFC CDFNT ASSOCIATED WITH SHRTWV DIGGING INTO THE NRN PLAINS TUE AND PROGRESSING INTO THE UPR GRTLKS TUE NGT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS OUR CWA TUE EVE. GIVEN LACK OF MOISTURE AND STRONGER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINING TO OUR NORTH... FCST DRY CONDITIONS TO CONT TUE NGT IN OUR AREA. CAA BEHIND TODAY'S WAVE SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED AS WAA DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT TUE ALLOWING HIGHS AGAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL IN THE U50S/L60S. RATHER STRONG CAA TUE NIGHT SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE M30S WITH DRY AIRMASS MOVG INTO THE AREA CLEARING SKIES EVEN DOWNWIND OF LAKE MICHIGAN DESPITE SOME WK LAKE INDUCED INSTABILITY. LONG TERM... WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A VERY CHILLY AIRMASS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA AT THE START OF THIS PERIOD. FOR THIS PACKAGE...HAVE BLENDED THE GFS AND THE ECMWF. THESE MODELS GENERALLY WERE TRENDING A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD AIR. THE GFS MEX IS 5 DEGREES WARMER WITH THE LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COMPARED 24F WITH 29F ON THE 14/00Z RUN. THE GFS MEX LOW OF 25F THURSDAY NIGHT LOOKS TOO COLD GIVEN HOW FAST WARM AIR ADVECTION INCREASES. KEPT LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT AROUND 30F...IN LINE WITH THE CANADIAN EPSGRAMS...WITH A BULK OF THEIR LOWS CLOSE TO 30 DEGREES. AS FOR PRECIPITATION...LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES SUPPORT ALL SNOW INTO THURSDAY. GIVEN A VERY MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT FETCH...KEPT A CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER JUST FAR NORTHERN BERRIEN COUNTY WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL INCREASE FRIDAY...WITH SOME MOISTURE RETURNING SATURDAY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED COLD FRONT PASSAGE WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. HAVE ADJUSTED RAIN CHANCES IN THIS REGARD AFTER NWS OFFICE COORDINATION. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...NONE. && SHORT TERM...JT LONG TERM...SKIPPER AVIATION...MARSILI UPDATE...MARSILI
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1034 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 INZ008-009-013-015>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015- 016-024-025-151545- NOBLE-DE KALB-PULASKI-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE- CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY- WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN... GARRETT...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...BRYAN... WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP... OTTAWA...PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 1034 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...WITH THE GREATER COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE THIS LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF ROUTE 24. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX INZ003>007-012-014-MIZ081-151545- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-STARKE-MARSHALL- HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...KNOX... NORTH JUDSON...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...HILLSDALE 1034 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 /934 AM CST MON NOV 14 2011/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREATS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL END BY EARLY EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX MIZ077>080-151545- BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS... COLDWATER 1034 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-151545- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- 1034 AM EST MON NOV 14 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE MUCH OF THIS PERIOD. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/?N=MARINE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
257 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0254 PM HAIL 3 S CHURUBUSCO 41.19N 85.32W
11/14/2011 M0.25 INCH WHITLEY IN AMATEUR RADIO
&&
CEOPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
300 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0259 PM HAIL COLUMBIA CITY 41.16N 85.49W
11/14/2011 M1.00 INCH WHITLEY IN EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
CEOPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
303 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM HAIL LUCERNE 40.87N 86.40W
11/14/2011 M0.75 INCH CASS IN EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
CEOPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
305 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0303 PM HAIL COLUMBIA CITY 41.16N 85.49W
11/14/2011 M1.00 INCH WHITLEY IN TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
CEOPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
311 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 PM HAIL NW CLYMERS 40.71N 86.45W
11/14/2011 M0.75 INCH CASS IN EMERGENCY MNGR
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED
&&
SCPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
315 PM EST MON NOV 14 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0313 PM HAIL COLUMBIA CITY 41.16N 85.49W
11/14/2011 M1.00 INCH WHITLEY IN AMATEUR RADIO
&&
CEOThe Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 79 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:20 UTC.
3 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Emergency management officials reported roof damage to a large pole barn, with a few trees down on Elm Sugar Road, between Dutch John and John Brown Roads. Damage is estimated at around $1,000.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, November 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 347804, 347805, 347806, 347807.