Montana, 2011

Flooding in Montana, May 30 to 31, 2011

May 30 to 31, 2011 · NWS GGW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rain fell on saturated ground resulting in flooding across the area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

Heavy rain fell on saturated ground resulting in flooding across the area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 30, 1:13 PM MST, 6 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 1:13 PM MST, 6 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
213 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2011

.SHORT TERM...FOR NORTHEAST MONTANA...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO CHANGES TO HIGHLIGHTS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT...WHICH INCLUDE A
FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF THE AREA...VARIOUS FLOOD WARNINGS...A FORT
PECK LAKE WIND ADVISORY...AND A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR OUR EAST HALF
WHICH BEGINS AT 06Z TONIGHT.

UPPER LOW LIFTING INTO SOUTHEAST MONTANA CONTINUES TO SPREAD
WIDESPREAD RAIN TO MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH DRY SLOTTING AT MID
LEVELS ALLOWING FOR MORE CONVECTIVE AND A BIT LESS WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS IN OUR FAR SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. LOCAL OBS SHOW A HALF
INCH TO INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER MOST OF THE AREA OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. ANOTHER HALF INCH TO INCH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. UPPER LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

SFC LOW NEAR THE MT/WY/SD BORDERS WILL DEEPEN AS IT LIFTS INTO ND
TONIGHT. TIGHTENING GRADIENT SUPPORTS INCREASED NW WINDS IN OUR
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. LATEST MODELS HAVE TRENDED A BIT
WEAKER WITH THE WINDS...WITH THE MAV SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN
THE NAM. A COUPLE THINGS ARE AGAINST HIGH WIND...ONE BEING
LINGERING LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW...THE OTHER THE FACT
THAT THE ISALLOBARIC WIND WILL BE AGAINST THE SFC FLOW WITH A
PRESSURE RISE MAX IN SD TOMORROW MORNING. THAT BEING SAID THERE
WILL BE 35-45 KTS OF WIND AT 850MB TO TAP INTO. HAVE TAPERED WIND
GUSTS DOWN A BIT BUT WILL KEEP HIGH WIND WATCH GOING AND LET
EVENING SHIFT TAKE A FINAL LOOK.

THINGS WILL QUIET DOWN TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH RIDGING IN THE WAKE
OF THE DEPARTING LOW. DRY/WARMER WEATHER IN STORE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH TEMPS INTO THE LOWER 70S BY MIDWEEK. GOOD
SURGE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTING UP THE HIGH PLAINS SHOULD
SET THE STAGE FOR INCREASED CONVECTIVE CHANCES BY PERHAPS LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT PER LOW LEVEL JET FORCING.

JKL

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

COMBINATION OF COUPLE OF SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN SW FLOW ALOFT AND
MUCH INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST
SOME STRONG STORMS ARE EVEN POSSIBLE. MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN SHOWING A SOLID CHANCE OF POST FRONTAL PCPN ON FRIDAY
WITH ADDITIONAL ENERGY AND HINT OF A WEAK TROWAL IN NW FLOW. HAVE
RAISED POPS A BIT ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN PARTS TO COVER THIS.

MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT THEREAFTER...BOTH IN TERMS OF
POTENTIAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY FROM THE NORTHWEST AND FATE OF DEEP
PACIFIC ENERGY AS IT SETTLES ALONG THE OR/CA COAST. LATEST
ECMWF/GFS RUNS KEEP BOTH OUT OF NORTHEAST MONTANA AND ALLOW FOR
RIDGING/HIGHER HEIGHTS AND WARMER/DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. UKMET IS A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE PACIFIC TROF AS
IT KICKS IT TOWARD THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES BY SUNDAY.
CANADIAN WAVE MAY OFFER A WEAK BACKDOOR FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND AND
THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED AS WELL. WITH THIS UNCERTAINTY IN
MIND WILL KEEP SATURDAY DRY WITH NEAR CLIMO/SLIGHT POPS INTRODUCED
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...WARM DAY THURSDAY WITH WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A POST
FRONTAL SEASONABLY COOL DAY FRIDAY. WARMING TREND SHOULD BE IN
STORE FOR THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPS HEADING BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL BY
SUNDAY...AND PERHAPS MONDAY IF THE BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE HOLDS
OFF.

JKL

&&

.AVIATION...
UPPER LOW IN SOUTHEAST MT WILL LIFT THROUGH NORTHEAST MT TONIGHT
THEN EXIT THE REGION TOMORROW. EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT...THEN TAPER OFF FROM SW TO NE
LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...ENDING BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MVFR TO IFR
WITH LOCAL LIFR CAN BE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES...WITH LOCAL LIFR
POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. LOOK FOR AN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON TUESDAY.

EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
SHIFT TO THE NW AND INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. GUSTS
OF 35-45 KTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM KGGW-KOLF-KSDY-KGDV BETWEEN
09-18Z...WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE NORTH DAKOTA BORDER. WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

JKL

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
PHILLIPS...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...DANIELS...SHERIDAN...
WESTERN ROOSEVELT...PETROLEUM...GARFIELD...MCCONE...NORTHERN
PHILLIPS...SOUTHWEST PHILLIPS...NORTHERN VALLEY...EASTERN
ROOSEVELT.

LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR FORT PECK LAKE.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY...DANIELS...SHERIDAN...
WESTERN ROOSEVELT...MCCONE...RICHLAND...DAWSON...PRAIRIE...
WIBAUX...NORTHERN VALLEY...EASTERN ROOSEVELT.

&&

WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 1:22 PM MST, 6 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
222 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2011

MTZ016>027-059>062-312030-
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-
DANIELS-SHERIDAN-WESTERN ROOSEVELT-PETROLEUM-GARFIELD-MCCONE-
RICHLAND-DAWSON-PRAIRIE-WIBAUX-NORTHERN PHILLIPS-
SOUTHWEST PHILLIPS-NORTHERN VALLEY-EASTERN ROOSEVELT-
222 PM MDT MON MAY 30 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN
TO THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. VARIOUS FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT.

NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVER FORT PECK
LAKE THROUGH THIS EVENING. RECREATIONISTS SHOULD USE CAUTION.

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. GUSTS OF 50 TO
60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF A GLASGOW TO CIRCLE TO TERRY
LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL IMPACT EASTERN AREAS ON TUESDAY. GUSTS
OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF A GLASGOW TO CIRCLE
TO TERRY LINE. WINDS WILL DECREASE BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THOUGH PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY...THE THREAT OF
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Phillips

When
May 30, 7:48 PM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Phillips County, 8.46 mi NNW of Phillips to 8.91 mi NE of Bowdoin
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.185, -108.265

Flooding occurred on several streams as 1.5 inches of rain fell on saturated soils. This included Beaver Creek.

Flood, Valley

When
May 30, 7:48 PM MST to May 31, 11:59 PM MST
Where
Valley County, 2.03 mi NE of Hinsdale to 7.47 mi E of Larslan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.420, -107.048

Flooding occurred on several streams as up to 1.5 inches of rain fell on saturated soils. These included Willow, Cherry, Antelope and Porcupine Creeks.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, May 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 322412, 322413.