Kansas, 2011

Excessive Heat in Kansas, May 9, 2011

May 9, 2011 · NWS ICT · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

An unusually early season heat wave moved into Central and South Central Kansas on May 9th, 2011. This very warm airmass led to record high temperatures falling across the region with Russell, Salina and Wichita, Kansas all setting record high temperatures.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.

An unusually early season heat wave moved into Central and South Central Kansas on May 9th, 2011. This very warm airmass led to record high temperatures falling across the region with Russell, Salina and Wichita, Kansas all setting record high temperatures. This early season heat left some people underprepared for the stifling hear with one heat related death.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 9, 11:17 AM CST, 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 9, 11:17 AM CST, 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1217 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2011

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE
ONLY CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY SOUTH WINDS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

KETCHAM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 711 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

AVIATION...12Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU

NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION CONCERNS THIS PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
OVER MOST LOCATIONS TODAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. FEW CLOUDS
ANTICIPATED WITH RELATIVELY DRY AIR IN PLACE AND WARM/DRY AIR
ALOFT. -HOWERTON

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL DATA ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO SHOW RIDGE BUILDING OVER
THE REGION AS A TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER THE WEST. AT
06Z...THE 500 MB LOW WAS CENTERED OVER OREGON. THIS LOW SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF DARKENING NOTED ON THE
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NEAR THE BASE AND WEST OF THE ASSOCIATED
TROUGH.

SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 06Z SHOWS LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHEAST COLORADO
WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EAST INTO THE KANSAS CITY AREA. THE
DRYLINE WAS RETREATING TO THE WEST AND WAS LOCATED FROM KHLC-KDDC-
KPYX. THE DRYLINE DID MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. BEHIND
IT...HIGHS REACHED 102 DEGREES.

TODAY-TUESDAY: MAIN CHALLENGE HERE IS THE HIGH TEMPERATURE
FORECAST TODAY AND TUESDAY. FOR TODAY...THE DRYLINE SHOULD MAKE A
GOOD DRIVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA. WILL FORECAST HIGHS ABOVE 100
WEST OF IT...RATHER CONFIDENT IN THIS. THIS WILL BREAK THE
CURRENT RECORD HIGHS...WHICH ARE INCLUDED IN THE CLIMATE SECTION.

THE 09.00Z NWP CONTINUES TO TREND TOWARD A DEEPER SYSTEM COMING
OUT OF THE WEST DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...AS SHOWN BY THE
08.12Z ECMWF. THE 09.00Z GEFS HAS MORE MEMBERS FAVORING A ECMWF
SOLUTION...SO THINK THIS TREND IS ACCEPTABLE. AS A RESULT...THE
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATER...CAUSING HIGHER
MAX TEMPERATURES TUESDAY...AS THE ONSET OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
BE DELAYED.

CONVECTION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WILL BE DIFFICULT GIVEN THE
AMOUNT OF CAPPING. WILL CONTINUE WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES AS IS.

WEDNESDAY-SUNDAY: MAIN CHALLENGE DURING THIS PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST IS CONVECTION. WITH THE SLOWER EVOLUTION OF THIS
SYSTEM...THERE ARE A FEW PROBLEMS EVOLVING: /1/ HOW WARM WILL IT
GET BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH? /2/ WILL THE SEVERE THREAT
SHIFT WEST? /3/ WHEN TO END THE PRECIPITATION FROM THE MAIN
FRONT? /4/ DIURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM THE UPPER LEVEL COLD CORE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW.

TO ADDRESS THE FIRST ONE...PRETTY CONFIDENT THAT TEMPERATURES WILL
TREND UP A FEW DEGREES OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECASTS. HOWEVER...THE
AMOUNT OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

THE SECOND...THE SEVERE THREAT DOES SEEM TO BE SHIFTING
WEST...WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS AND MOVING EAST. CAPE/SHEAR PROFILES STILL LOOK FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE WINDS/HAIL. TORNADOES LOOK FAVORABLE AS WELL WITH 0-3KM
MLCAPES ABOVE 150 J/KG.

GIVEN THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM...THINK THE PRECIPITATION
WILL EXIT THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. FORCING SEEMS TO
TRANSITION FURTHER NORTH DURING THE EVENING. IN ADDITION THE MEAN
STORM MOTION SHOULD BE NORTHEAST AT 25-30 MPH.

THE TREND OF THE GEFS MEMBERS TOWARD THE ECMWF WILL ALSO MEAN THAT
A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL COLD POOL WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA. THIS
WILL CAUSE DIURNAL SHOWERS TO DEVELOP INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE
SYSTEM SLOWLY EXITS. CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW IN GETTING A GREAT
DEAL OF RAIN ONCE THE SYSTEM EXITS.

COOK

CLIMATE...

RECORD HIGHS TODAY...MONDAY MAY 9TH:
WICHITA...95 IN 1895
SALINA....96 IN 1963
RUSSELL...97 IN 1956
CHANUTE...90 IN 1956

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT   101  69  96  68 /   0   0  10  10
HUTCHINSON     102  65  94  67 /   0   0  10  10
NEWTON         101  69  92  68 /   0   0  10  10
ELDORADO        98  70  92  68 /   0   0  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   98  71  96  69 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELL        102  61  94  64 /   0   0  10  10
GREAT BEND     103  61  94  65 /   0   0  10  10
SALINA         103  67  95  67 /   0   0  10  10
MCPHERSON      102  66  94  67 /   0   0  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     92  72  89  70 /  10  10  10  20
CHANUTE         92  71  89  69 /  10  10  10  20
IOLA            92  71  89  69 /  10  10  10  20
PARSONS-KPPF    92  72  90  70 /  10   0  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 9, 3:47 AM CST, 8 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
447 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-101000-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
447 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...MAINLY ACROSS
BARTON AND RUSSELL COUNTIES.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE PERIOD IS ON
WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AN ADVANCING
DRYLINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 135. THESE STORMS SHOULD MOVE NORTHEAST...AFFECTING THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS
WEDNESDAY.

THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS IS DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND TORNADOES.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

COOK

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 excessive heat. Local standard time, as filed.

Excessive Heat, Sedgwick

When
May 9, 12:00 PM CST to 6:00 PM CST
Where
Sedgwick forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
37.685, -97.461 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The National Weather Service in Wichita, Kansas set a record high temperature of 100 degrees. With the temperature reaching the century mark, this is the earliest in the year that Wichita has ever recorded a 100 degree temperature.

Excessive Heat, Butler

When
May 9, 12:00 PM CST to 7:00 PM CST
Where
Butler forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
37.781, -96.839 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

High temperatures near 100 degrees led to the death of a Hispanic man in Rose Hill, Kansas. The 30 year old male collapsed while working on a roof and later died from heat stroke.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Excessive Heat, Butler2011-05-0930MaleOutside/Open AreasDirect

What these are

Excessive Heat
Heat at or above the local excessive heat warning criteria, or heat that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kansas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, May 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 311570, 311582.