A wildfire over northern inland Flagler County burned about 400 to 600 acres.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A wildfire over northern inland Flagler County burned about 400 to 600 acres.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 2:46 AM EST, 4 hours 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 346 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 .SYNOPSIS...STRONG MID ATLC RIDGE REMAINS IN CONTROL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A LONG FETCH OF EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC AT THE SURFACE ACRS THE FORECAST AREA. EVEN WITH THE 1000-700 STEERING FLOW OUT OF THE EAST...LITTLE TO NO PRECIP NOTED OVER THE ATLC COASTAL WATERS. THE 11-3.9 SATL IMAGERY DEPICTING THREE PROMINENT HOT SPOTS ACRS THE FORECAST AREA...THE HONEY PRAIRIE WILDFIRE IN SOUTHERN CLINCH COUNTY...THE RACE POND WILDFIRE JUST SOUTHEAST OF WAYCROSS AND A PERSISTENT HOT SPOT ACRS WESTERN FLAGLER COUNTY. HAVE CONTINUED TO PLACE SOME SMOKE IN THE ZFP/GRIDS IN THESE LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE THE USUAL PATCHY FOG EXPECTED TOWARD SUNRISE OVER INLAND AREAS AS TEMPS BOTTOM OUT IN THE MID/UPPER 60S AND CLOSER T0 70 ALONG THE COAST. .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY... TODAY...RIDGE REMAINS INTACT NORTH OF THE REGION AND EASTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP CONDS SIMILAR IN TO PREVIOUS DAYS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S ALONG THE COAST TO LOWER TO MID 90S INLAND. HAVE CONTINUED TO GO A SOLID 2 DEGREES ABOVE GUIDANCE AS HIGHS AT GNV/AMG CONTINUE TO REACH THE MID 90S EVEN IN THIS DEEP EASTERLY FLOW...SINCE VERY DRY SOIL CONDS CONTINUE TO ALLOW LOW LEVELS TO ACT MORE LIKE A DESERT WITH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS AND WARMER AFTERNOON HIGHS. TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER AGREEMENT WITH AN EASTERLY DISTURBANCE ROUNDING THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND PUSHING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WRN ATLC OCEAN. THIS WILL TEND TO INCREASE RAIN CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS...THEN TO PUSH INLAND DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. FOR NOW...HAVE KEPT RAIN CHANCES JUST AROUND 20%. LOWER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO STAY WARM WITH MAX TEMPS STILL REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 90S OVER INLAND AREAS AND 80S ALONG THE COAST. THURSDAY...RIDGE CONTINUES NORTH OF THE REGION WITH DRIER AIR BACK OVER THE FORECAST AREA IN THE MID LEVELS AND SHOULD BE A MAINLY DRY DAY WITH HIGHS ONCE AGAIN IN THE LOWER/MID 90S OVER INLAND AREAS. .LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY... HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE SERN U.S. WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND RETROGRADE TO THE WEST THROUGH THE PERIOD. WHILE DRY AND HOT CONDS WILL CONTINUE ON FRI/SAT...ENOUGH MOISTURE SHOULD WORK ITS WAY INTO THE REGION AS THE RIDGES WEAKENS TO ALLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE OF DIURNAL CONVECTION FROM SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STILL SEE NO CHANGE FROM MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER/MID 90S OVER INLAND AREAS AND UPPER 80S ALONG THE COAST. && .AVIATION...OCNL MVFR VSBY AT VQQ AND GNV TIL 12Z. OTHERWISE VFR. && .MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE WATERS WILL BRING IN A LONG FETCH OF EASTERLY WINDS AND PERSISTENT 2 TO 4 FOOT EASTERLY SWELLS. THIS RESULTS IN COMBINED SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET OFFSHORE AND AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT RISK. A DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE ATLANTIC WILL BRING IN ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO WED AM. && .FIRE WEATHER...HAVE ISSUED A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION. THE HOT TEMPERATURES OVER THIS AREA WILL ALLOW FOR BRIEF DURATIONS OF CRITICAL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON...AND WILL COMBINE WITH HIGH ERC/DISPERSION VALUES AND WIND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH TO CREATE NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS. RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...BUT STILL MAY BRIEFLY FALL TO 35 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 95 66 97 67 / 10 20 10 0 SSI 88 71 89 71 / 10 20 10 10 JAX 90 68 91 69 / 10 20 10 10 SGJ 89 69 90 69 / 0 20 20 10 GNV 94 66 95 66 / 10 10 20 10 OCF 94 66 94 66 / 10 10 30 10 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && HESS/PETERSON
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 313 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-011000- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 313 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS... EASTERLY FLOW AND BUILDING SWELLS WILL ELEVATE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE COAST. PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR MORE INFORMATION. A WILDFIRE CONTINUES TO BURN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 1 NORTHWEST OF RACE POND IN EASTERN WARE COUNTY. SMOKE WILL SPREAD WEST TODAY GENERALLY IMPACTING AREAS ALONG HIGHWAY 1 SOUTH OF WAYCROSS AND INTERESTS TOWARD MANOR. DUE TO EASTERLY WINDS...VISIBILITIES CLOSE TO AND JUST DOWNSTREAM OF THE FIRE MAY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN 2 MILES AND MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS. SMOKE MAY MIX WITH FOG THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. A PORTION OF U.S. 1 AND HIGHWAY 177 MAY BE CLOSED NEAR THE FIRE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW AND EASTERLY SWELLS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
745 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM RIP CURRENTS JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
05/30/2011 DUVAL FL NEWSPAPER
SEVERAL SWIMMERS NEEDED TO BE RESCUED BY LIFEGUARDS DUE
TO RIP CURRENTS AND ROUGH SURF.
&&
ARSThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
A wildfire in northern Flagler county burned about 400 to 600 acres. The fire was about 5 miles NNW of Andalusia.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 295849.