Florida, 2011

Drought in Florida, May 1 to 31, 2011

May 1 to 31, 2011 · NWS TAE · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Severe drought conditions (D2) at the beginning of the month worsened to extreme drought conditions (D3) on May 17th and continued into June.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.

Severe drought conditions (D2) at the beginning of the month worsened to extreme drought conditions (D3) on May 17th and continued into June.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 30, 8:15 PM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 8:15 PM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
915 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...23 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A 990 MB SURFACE LOW
NORTH OF FARGO WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING DOWN THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS. SOUTHERLY FLOW WAS
RETUNING AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF...BUT
HADN'T QUITE REACHED OUR REGION ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF. AS A
RESULT...LIGHT EAST SOUTHEAST FLOW KEPT OUR REGION RELATIVELY LESS
HUMID THAN WAS SEEN EARLIER THIS WEEK...BUT STILL RATHER WARM WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID AND UPPER 80S.

VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR DATA SHOW A VERY STRONG UPPER LOW MOVING
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH RIDGING BUILDING AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST EXTENDING INTO WESTERN QUEBEC. OUR
LOCAL SOUNDING THIS EVENING CONTINUED TO BE QUITE DRY...WITH A
PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 0.47 INCHES.

ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW. WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER THAN FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH
WEAK MOISTURE RETURN STARTING BEFORE DAYBREAK. IN ANY EVENT...WON'T
BE A MUGGY NIGHT BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID
50S ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS...BUT CLOSER TO THE LOW TO MID 60S AT
THE COAST. OVERALL...THE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME. HAVE A GREAT NIGHT!

&&

.MARINE...MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT AN EASTERLY SURGE
WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TO BORDERLINE ADVISORY LEVELS. RIGHT NOW
THOUGH...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND OVERALL PRESSURE PATTERN IS NOT
ONE THAT WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF AN EAST TO EAST SOUTHEAST SURGE.
USUALLY THESE EVENTS EVOLVE AROUND A STRENGTHENING RIDGE ACROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC...NOT ONE FURTHER UP THE EAST COAST. EVEN THOUGH A
COUPLE OF MODELS SHOW SCA LEVELS...WILL CONTINUE THE CAUTIONARY
WORDING FOR NOW AND LET THE MID SHIFT SEE HOW STRONG THE SURGE
IS...IF IT DEVELOPS.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT HIGH VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.  WINDS WILL LESSEN CONSIDERABLY AFTER DARK...AND INCREASE
AGAIN INTO THE 7-12KT RANGE BY LATE MORNING FOR MOST SITES.  LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO GRADUALLY INCREASE AND MAY SEE POCKETS OF
MVFR DEVELOP AROUND THE REGION FOR AN HOUR OR TWO NEAR
SUNRISE...ALTHOUGH VFR IS EXPECTED TO HOLD AT FORECAST SITES.

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM EDT/ 1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT/ 7 PM
     CDT/ SUNDAY FOR FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...GADSDEN...
     INLAND JEFFERSON...INLAND TAYLOR...JACKSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...
     LIBERTY...MADISON.

GM...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...EVANS
REST OF DISCUSSION...GODSEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 30, 8:15 PM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
915 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-011100-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-
INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-
INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-SOUTH WALTON-
COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-
COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-QUITMAN-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
915 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2011 /815 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BUILD TO CAUTIONARY LEVELS OVER THE MARINE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE
INLAND AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. WE
ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

GODSEY/DVD

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, North Walton

When
May 1, 12:00 AM EST to May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
North Walton forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations

Drought, Holmes

When
May 1, 12:00 AM EST to May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Holmes forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
30.868, -85.814 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Jackson

When
May 1, 12:00 AM EST to May 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Jackson forecast zone
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
30.795, -85.215 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 306857, 306858, 306859.