An area of low pressure over southeast Louisiana moved east along a warm front into southeast Mississippi through the period. This was followed by the passage of a strong cold front.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
An area of low pressure over southeast Louisiana moved east along a warm front into southeast Mississippi through the period. This was followed by the passage of a strong cold front. This storm system triggered severe storms with scattered reports of hail and wind damage over central Mississippi and northeast Louisiana during the late afternoon and overnight hours. One report of large hail was received in extreme southeast Arkansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 29, 3:30 PM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
430 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
...HEAVY RAINS RETURNING TO SOUTH MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT ALONG WITH THE
CHANCE OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS...
.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...OVERALL COOLER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES BRINGING CHANCES OF RAIN...GREATEST RAIN
CHANCES WILL OCCUR TONIGHT ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORMS.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND A COUPLE SUBTLE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT
WAVES EMANATING OUT OF THE BAJA REGION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
THESE FEATURES WILL MOVE OVER OUR REGION TONIGHT AND COMBINE WITH A
WARM FRONT TRYING TO LIFT NORTH FROM THE GULF COAST FOR A ROUND OF
POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS OUR AREA SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 20...WHILE A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH QUARTER
SIZE HAIL STILL POSSIBLE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. THERE STILL REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE MODELS AS TO HOW FAR NORTH THE WARM
FRONT WILL GET AS WELL AS PLACEMENT OF PCPN MAXES. THE MORNING JAN
SOUNDING SHOWED A DECENT CAP AND WITH THE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER THE
WARM UP TODAY HAS BEEN SLOW. SURFACE ANALYSIS STILL HAS THE WARM
FRONT WITH MID 60 DEW POINTS SOUTH OF OUR CWA AT MID AFTERNOON NEAR
THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. REGIONAL RADARS WERE STARTING TO SHOW
CONVECTION FIRING ALONG THE WARM FRONT AND THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH INTO OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. A TORNADO WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF OUR AREA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 UNTIL 10
PM. AS WE GET INTO THE EVENING THE NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE IS
EXPECTED TO HELP CONVECTION INCREASE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
OUR AREA WHILE ACTIVITY INCREASES ACROSS THE SOUTH ESPECIALLY IN
VICINITY OF THE WARM FRONT. A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MOVE TO THE EAST NORTHEAST
ACROSS OUR CWA EVENTUALLY DRAGGING A COLD FRONT EAST OF OUR CWA BY
NOON MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR
SOUTH TONIGHT. THE ECMWF HAS CONSISTENTLY POINTED TO AN AREA JUST
SOUTH OF OUR CWA BUT OTHER MODELS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR TWO TO
FOUR INCHES IN A SHORT TIME FARTHER NORTH ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST. WE
WL CONTINUE OUR FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING THE COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA
AND THE RAINFALL WILL BE TAPERING OFF. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTH. COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL
SWING ACROSS OUR CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN. THE CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL END BY THURSDAY MORNING BUT YET
ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. /22/
.LONG TERM...THE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEKEND REMAINS QUITE UNCERTAIN
WITH A MULTITUDE OF SOLUTIONS AVAILABLE FROM THE GFS/ECMWF/GEM.
LEAST CONFIDENCE WAS IN THE GEM WHICH SHOWS ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE EARLY SATURDAY...WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF KEEP DRY CONDITIONS
IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE DIFFERENCES IN THE GFS AND
ECMWF REALLY ONLY HAVE AN IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND SINCE
BOTH MODELS ADVERTISE PERSISTENT DRY CONDITIONS. THE ECMWF STALLS
THE AFOREMENTIONED COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS
SATURDAY BEFORE WAVING IT BACK TO THE NORTH ON SUNDAY AS A WARM
FRONT...WHILE THE GFS PUSHES THE BOUNDARY FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF. THE DIFFERENCE IS NOT HUGE HOWEVER THE ECMWF SOLUTION
WOULD TEND TO WARMER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE SOUTH FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW END POPS IN VICINITY OF
THE BOUNDARY. FOR NOW WILL OMIT MENTION OF ANY PRECIP CHANCES...BUT
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE BETTER
PERFORMING ECMWF IN THE LONGER RANGE.
DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN THE LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SUITE FOR THE
WEEKEND...ALL THE MODELS INDICATE PROGRESSION TO A MEAN TROUGH
BECOMING ESTABLISHED TO OUR WEST BY MONDAY MORNING. SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE RETURN IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE ECMWF INDICATING LOWER 70S DEW POINTS BEING PULLED NORTH ACROSS
THE ARKLAMISS AHEAD OF EVENTUAL COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MON OR TUE. THIS
WILL DEFINITELY BE OUR NEXT CHANCE AT SEVERE WEATHER/LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND WILL INTRODUCE THIS POTENTIAL IN THE HWO/GRAPHICS. /BK/
&&
.AVIATION...MOSTLY MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO LOW CEILINGS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE FROM ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING...DEGRADING FLIGHT CATS LOCALLY DOWN TO
IFR WHEN THE STORMS ARRIVE. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE QUITE STRONG
AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND EXTREME TURBULENCE. EXPECT MOST OF
THE SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TO BE EXITING THE REGION TO THE EAST BY
DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH LOW CLOUDS AND SOME FOG (MAINLY IFR)
WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR OFF AFTER THE SUN COMES UP. ANTICIPATED LIGHT
TO MODERATE SURFACE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT TO
TRANSITION AROUND THE NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. /BB/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON 55 67 46 66 / 99 58 21 14
MERIDIAN 58 69 43 66 / 100 65 20 18
VICKSBURG 53 64 45 67 / 97 41 24 12
HATTIESBURG 65 75 52 70 / 93 74 37 11
NATCHEZ 55 62 45 67 / 96 52 34 8
GREENVILLE 50 62 41 63 / 97 23 16 20
GREENWOOD 50 64 41 64 / 100 36 16 19
&&
.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR MSZ055>058-061>066-072>074.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
22/BK/BBHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 316 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>041-302030- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY- 316 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MAIN RISK FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE FROM HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS BETWEEN 5 PM UNTIL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR NEAR AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT THAT WILL CLEAR EAST OF THE AREA OF INTEREST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION STARTING MONDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ042>054-059-060-302030- RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS- 316 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THE MAIN RISK WILL BE QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL...ALTHOUGH DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS TO 60 MPH AND ONE OR TWO TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE TWENTY. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM 5 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. A RETURNING WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN SOUTH LOUISIANA AND MOVES TOWARD SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI OVERNIGHT. THE STORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CLEARS TO THE EAST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION STARTING MONDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. MSZ055>058-061>066-072>074-302030- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE- JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 316 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE TWENTY CORRIDOR. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE MAIN RISK WILL BE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS OF 65 MPH...ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IN SHORT BURSTS WHICH COULD CAUSE LOCAL FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...AT LEAST ONE OR TWO TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM 5 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH AT LEAST DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. A RETURNING WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN SOUTH LOUISIANA AND MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST BEFORE MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION STARTING MONDAY. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. 50
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 MSZ054-059-061-062-292350- JEFFERSON MS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN MS-COPIAH MS- 608 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF BUDE AT 608 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN COPIAH...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN...FRANKLIN AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3173 9091 3170 9055 3137 9083 3140 9107 TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 212DEG 20KT 3151 9087 AEG
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
616 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
MSZ062>064-072-300030-
MARION MS-LINCOLN MS-LAWRENCE MS-JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-
616 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WAS LOCATED 24
MILES SOUTH OF JAYESS AT 614 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
SHOULD THIS STORM MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY...IT WILL MOVE INTO PARTS
OF LAWRENCE OR NORTHWEST MARION COUNTIES BY 7 PM.
PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAWRENCE...EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND NORTHWESTERN MARION COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR
THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3125 9004 3133 9005 3133 9007 3135 9011
3136 9025 3167 9006 3152 8977 3122 9002
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 211DEG 24KT 3105 9031
AEGPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
639 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM HAIL 1 SSE MANGHAM 32.29N 91.76W
03/29/2011 E0.88 INCH RICHLAND LA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
DLPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
644 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0637 PM HAIL CASEYVILLE 31.67N 90.66W
03/29/2011 E1.00 INCH LINCOLN MS PUBLIC
HAIL RANGED FROM PEA TO QUARTER SIZE
&&
DLPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
708 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM HAIL 12 SW HAZLEHURST 31.74N 90.54W
03/29/2011 E1.75 INCH COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
723 PM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM HAIL 2 S NEWELLTON 32.04N 91.24W
03/29/2011 E1.75 INCH TENSAS LA EMERGENCY MNGR
REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 65 BY LAW ENFORCEMENT TO EMERGENCY
MANAGER
&&The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 149 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:25 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A swath of quarter sized hail fell south of Eudora.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, March 2011
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 281665.