Arkansas, 2011

Flooding in Arkansas, March 1 to 31, 2011

March 1 to 31, 2011 · NWS LZK · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Occasional heavy rainfall kept the Cache River at Patterson above flood stage from late February through much of March.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Occasional heavy rainfall kept the Cache River at Patterson above flood stage from late February through much of March.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 28, 11:40 PM CST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 11:40 PM CST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1140 PM CST MON FEB 28 2011

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WINDS OVERNIGHT. WINDS ON TUESDAY BECOMING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 KNOTS. (59)

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CST MON FEB 28 2011/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS OVER THE ROCKIES WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE APPALACHIANS. THE RIDGE WILL BUILD EASTWARD TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY BUT THE FLOW BECOMES ZONAL BY THURSDAY.

THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER ARKANSAS TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A DECREASE IN WIND
SPEEDS OVERNIGHT.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. VERY DRY AIR WILL
RESIDE OVER THE STATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES TO THE EAST COAST THURSDAY MORNING AND THIS WILL
ALLOW SOUTH WINDS TO RETURN MOISTURE TO ARKANSAS. CLOUD COVER SHOULD
INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND A WARMING TREND
IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
WARMING TREND WILL BREAK TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AS A TROUGH
DIGS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AND DROPS A CUTOFF LOW AND COOLER AIR
BACK INTO THE MID SOUTH. LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE FA ON
FRIDAY. CHANCES INCREASE OVERNIGHT...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
POSSIBLE. ONE OTHER THING TO NOTE IS THAT THE 12Z ECMWF CAME BACK
WITH A MUCH SLOWER SOLUTION...KEEPING HEAVY RAIN TO THE WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE GFS...NOW FASTER THAN THE
ECMWF...SHOWS THE COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP CLEARING THE
STATE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WENT AHEAD AND FOLLOWED THE MORE
CONSISTENT GFS...BUT THIS WILL BE THE SYSTEM TO WATCH IN THE COMING
DAYS. QPF COULD BE QUITE HIGH WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE AND ESPECIALLY IF THE ECMWF PANS
OUT. TEMPS WILL BE BACK DOWN TO SEASONABLE NORMALS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NONE.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 6:10 PM CST, 5 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
610 PM CST MON FEB 28 2011

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
610 PM CST MON FEB 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DRY AND COOLER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND
EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS A NEW STORM
SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT AFFECTS THE STATE. THE CHANCES OF ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER APPEAR LOW AT THIS POINT...BUT FORECASTS SHOULD BE
MONITORED IN THE COMING DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

59/51/44

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Woodruff

When
March 1, 12:00 AM CST to March 28, 8:30 AM CST
Where
Woodruff County, Patterson to 0.06 mi NNW of Patterson
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.250, -91.230

Flood, Woodruff

When
March 31, 8:00 AM CST to 11:59 PM CST
Where
Woodruff County, Patterson to 0.06 mi NNW of Patterson
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.250, -91.230

After a brief period below flood stage, additional heavy rain from thunderstorms caused the Cache River at Patterson to rise back above flood stage in late March. This river remained above flood stage into April.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, March 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 289049, 289053.