Arizona, 2011

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Arizona, August 21, 2011

August 21, 2011 · NWS TWC · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Abundant moisture, favorable southeasterly flow aloft, and terrain influences resulted in isolated showers and thunderstorms across southeast Arizona. Some of the storms produced heavy rainfall and strong winds.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$125,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Abundant moisture, favorable southeasterly flow aloft, and terrain influences resulted in isolated showers and thunderstorms across southeast Arizona. Some of the storms produced heavy rainfall and strong winds.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 21, 2:43 PM MST, 4 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 21, 2:43 PM MST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
243 PM MST SUN AUG 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
WITH LESS ACTIVITY NEXT WEEK AND HOTTER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...RADAR INDICATES A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
SHOWERS OVER CENTRAL PIMA AND EAST CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTIES.  TODAYS
12Z SOUNDING INDICATES BOTH WARMING AND DRYING THROUGH 600MB FROM
YESTERDAY.  GIVEN THE DECREASE IN MOISTURE ANTICIPATE ANY EVENING
CONVECTION AND SHOWERS TO SUBSIDE AFTER 8PM.

MON-THUR...WITH THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE 500MB HIGH NUMERICALS
INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT CUT OFF OF MOISTURE THROUGH THURS AND
THICKNESS RISES INTO FRI.  TRENDS POINT TOWARDS RISES OF 6-7 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL BY TUE INTO THUR. EXPECT FRIDAYS HIGH DROPPING OFF
COUPLE OF DEGREES WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND A GREATER CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON CONVECTION AS THE HIGH SETS UP CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT-BKN CLD BASES 12-15KFT AGL. ISOLD SHRA/TS DVLPG AFT
18Z...MAINLY NEAR MTNS. SFC WND MAINLY LESS THAN 10KTS EXCEPT PK WND
NR 45KTS WITH TSRA. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE WITH HOTTER TEMPERATURES DURING THE COMING WEEK. NORMAL
DIURNAL WIND TRENDS WILL OCCUR...EXCEPT STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
PREVAIL NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

MCLEOD

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 9:40 PM MST, 21 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
940 PM MST SAT AUG 20 2011

AZZ510>515-210600-
WHITE MOUNTAINS OF GRAHAM AND GREENLEE COUNTIES-
GALIURO AND PINALENO MOUNTAINS-CHIRICAHUA MOUNTAINS-
DRAGOON AND MULE AND HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS-
CATALINA AND RINCON MOUNTAINS-BABOQUIVARI MOUNTAINS-
940 PM MST SAT AUG 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED EACH DAY. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.
PLEASE NOTE THAT EVEN MODERATE RAINFALL OVER THE RECENT BURN AREAS
COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ503-504-506>509-210600-
UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER VALLEY/ALTAR VALLEY-TUCSON METRO AREA-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER VALLEY-EASTERN COCHISE
COUNTY BELOW 5000 FEET-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
940 PM MST SAT AUG 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE CHANCE OF DAILY THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ501-502-505-210600-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION-
SOUTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
940 PM MST SAT AUG 20 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON EVENING THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DRIER AIR PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA NEXT WEEK BRINGING MUCH
HOTTER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 93 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:08 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cochise

When
August 21, 7:10 PM MST to 7:15 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 2.54 mi NW of Mc Neal to 2.88 mi SSW of Elfrida
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$25,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.628, -109.698

Thunderstorm winds downed power poles on Central Highway between Latimer Road and Hopkins Road in Elfrida.

Flash Flood, Cochise

When
August 21, 7:26 PM MST to 7:50 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 3.96 mi NW of Mc Neal to 4.07 mi N of Mc Neal
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$100,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.632, -109.726

Heavy rainfall resulted in flash flooding along Central Highway in McNeal. Law Enforcment reported three cars stranded in rushing water at the intersection of Davis Road and Central Highway with two additional cars swept down Davis Road. No injuries were reported.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 343932, 343938.