Alaska, 2011

High Surf in Alaska, May 30, 2011

May 30, 2011 · NWS AFG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Ice from the Kotzebue sound got pushed ashore from the 28th through the 30th. A prolonged period of west winds of 10 to 20 mph caused large chunks of ice, some 10 to 20 feet high to slide over concrete block matting along the shore line and across Shore Avenue.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$15,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

Ice from the Kotzebue sound got pushed ashore from the 28th through the 30th. A prolonged period of west winds of 10 to 20 mph caused large chunks of ice, some 10 to 20 feet high to slide over concrete block matting along the shore line and across Shore Avenue. It was not until the afternoon of the 30th that the ice pushed far enough ashore to damage the wall of a house and caused damage to the deck on another home. Interestingly, the push of ice that occurred on the afternoon of the 30th corresponded with low tide.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 30, 11:39 AM AKST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 11:39 AM AKST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1239 PM AKDT MON MAY 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT MODELS AGREE WELL OUT THROUGH 00Z THU. LITTLE CHANGE
EXPECTED IN STRONG UPPER RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR
AND BROOKS RANGE THROUGH 00Z WED... RIDGE NARROWS NARROW BY 00Z
THU WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND SOUTHEASTWARD
TO THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE AND INTO CANADA. SHORT WAVE WELL TO
THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD AND DEEPEN THROUGH
12Z TUE. CLOSED UPPER LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
AROUND 12Z TUE WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES TO SOUTH OF ST MATTHEW
ISLAND BY 12Z WED.

850 MB TEMPERATURES OVER INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO BE WELL
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS THROUGH WED...MANY LOCATIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOW 80S...WITH SOME ISOLATED HIGHER READINGS.

INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE FAR SOUTHWEST INTERIOR AND THE
WEST COAST SOUTH OF NORTON SOUND TUESDAY...AND OVER MOST OF THE
WEST COAST WEDNESDAY AS A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVE NORTHWARD.

MARINE WINDS...NE WINDS INCREASING TO AROUND 25 KT OVER
PKZ200-PKZ210 TUE MORNING...NORTHEAST GALES DEVELOPING
SOUTHERN PARTS PKZ210 TUE AFTERNOON. WINDS IN OTHER
MARINE ZONES REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY THROUGH TUE.

THUNDERSTORMS...
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...WEAK THERMAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
ARCTIC VILLAGE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE YUKON TERRITORY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN AKZ217-AKZ219-WESTERN
AKZ220-EASTERN AKZ216-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ223-NORTHWESTERN AKZ224.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN SOUTHEASTERN AKZ224-
AKZ225-AKZ226. TUE AFTERNOON/EVENING...THERMAL TROUGH AXIS IS
EXPECTED TO EXTEND GALENA-FT YUKON-EASTWARD INTO THE YUKON
TERRITORY...WEAK THERMAL LOW CENTER NEAR FT YUKON. THE GREATEST
INSTABILITY WILL BE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN INTERIOR. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED IN AKZ220-EASTERN
AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ222-AKZ224.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...
INTERIOR TEMPERATURES COOLING TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES
THU INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER RIDGE WEAKENS AND
IS PUSHED NORTHEASTWARD...TO BE REPLACED BY A TROUGH ORIENTED
EAST-WEST ACROSS THE BERING AND INTERIOR OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH TUE. MIN RH
IN INTERIOR AREAS WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE RANGE FROM 20 TO 30
PERCENT. SOUTHERLY GAP WINDS GUSTS TO 25-40 MPH DEVELOPING IN AND
NEAR ALASKA RANGE PASSES IN AKZ223-AKZ225- AKZ226 TUE COMBINED
WITH RH BELOW 30 PERCENT MAY PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FIRE WEATHER WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR TUE
IN AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

AFTERNOON/EVENING GAP WINDS EXPECTED AGAIN WED BUT MAY BE
WEAKER...THERMAL TROUGH AXIS MIGRATING SOUTHWARD TO HUSLIA-
FAIRBANKS-CHICKEN BY WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY FOR
THE COLVILLE RIVER NEAR COLVILLE VILLAGE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE COLVILLE RIVER NEAR COLVILLE VILLAGE.

&&

RF MAY 11

Event by event

1 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.

High Surf, Baldwin Pen. & Selawik Valley

When
May 30, 3:00 PM AKST to 9:00 PM AKST
Where
Baldwin Pen. & Selawik Valley forecast zone
Property damage
$15,000
Reported by
NWS Employee

What these are

High Surf
Large waves breaking on the shore that caused damage, erosion or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, May 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 300437.