Alaska, 2011

Flood in Alaska, July 21, 2011

July 21, 2011 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

First glacier dam outburst flood on the Mendenhall Lake/River system that produced significant flood took place on July 21 2011. The source of the flood waters was from Suicide Basin and side basin on the Mendenhall Glacier, about a mile up from the glacier terminus.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

First glacier dam outburst flood on the Mendenhall Lake/River system that produced significant flood took place on July 21 2011. The source of the flood waters was from Suicide Basin and side basin on the Mendenhall Glacier, about a mile up from the glacier terminus. The Mendenhall Glacier was holding back water in Suicide Basin like a dam. The source of the flood waters was unknown for most of the event along with how much water was being impounded.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 20, 3:00 PM AKST, 11 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 3:00 PM AKST, 11 hours 41 minutes before
4 PM AKDT WED JUL 20 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT 2300 UTC AN UPPER LOW NEAR DIXON ENTRANCE IS
CONTINUING TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE A UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF ALASKA. RAIN AND LOW VISIBILITIES IN SOUTHERN
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL
TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. CLOUDS
SHOULD DECREASE BY MORNING.

MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS HAVE MOVED SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE FROM THE YUKON BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS THE UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS TO THE WEST. ELSWHERE SKIES SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.LONG RANGE...THE RIDGE ALOFT MOVES EAST OF THE PANHANDLE BY FRIDAY
AS ANOTHER UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS THE GULF. MODELS PROJECT THE TRACK
OF THIS LOW TO BE FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM BUT THE
FOLLOWING RIDGE IS ALSO NOT EXPECTED TO BE AS STRONG AS A STRONGER
TROUGH IS ESTABLISHED IN THE GULF BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK.
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEXT TROUGH SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE OVER THE WEEKEND BUT THEN INCREASE NORTHWARD

AS THE STRONG TROUGH IS ESTABLISHED IN THE GULF.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ041...042.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Juneau Borough

When
July 21, 2:41 AM AKST to 4:00 PM AKST
Where
Juneau Borough County, 13.51 mi NNW of Douglas to 11.93 mi NW of Douglas
Cause
Dam / Levee Break
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
58.451, -134.523

The two river gauges (Mendenhall Lake, Mendenhall River) on the system both reach the second highest stage in history and went above moderate flood stage. The Mendenhall Lake and River stages continue to rise for a few days when it was clear and dry. The look of the hydrograph indicated a glacier dam release but there no documented large dammed lake. After some investigating it was known that the source was from Suicide Basin 1 mile from the terminus. Near Mendenhall Lake and along the River some homes flooded, campgrounds evacuated, power cut in flooded subdivision with road cut off.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2011Every state in 2011This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, July 2011

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 479306.