Thunderstorms that developed along a weak surface boundary moved repeatedly across the same areas, producing locally heavy rainfall across southeastern Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. This rainfall resulted in moderate flooding along the Neosho River near Commerce.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TSA wrote it up.
Thunderstorms that developed along a weak surface boundary moved repeatedly across the same areas, producing locally heavy rainfall across southeastern Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. This rainfall resulted in moderate flooding along the Neosho River near Commerce.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:10 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 310 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2010 .DISCUSSION... VERY HIGH CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A TROPICAL REGIME. COMPACT TROPICAL WAVE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL POSSIBLY AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA LATER TODAY WITH DAYTIME HEATING. IN ADDITION TO THE TROPICAL WAVE...A WEAK SFC TROF THAT IS LOCATED NEAR THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR WILL ALSO HELP TO PROVIDE THE LIFT FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN AROUND 2.00 INCHES. ISOLATED LOCATIONS COULD SEE NEARLY 3 INCHES OF RAIN. HAVE OPTED AGAINST A FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN HIGH ON THURSDAY AS THE TROPICAL MOISTURE BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WHICH LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL BECOME MORE LIKELY ON THURSDAY WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS A GOOD DEAL OF THE AREA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY MOVES THROUGH THE REGION BEFORE GETTING HUNG UP NEAR THE RED RIVER. THE FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL TROF SWEEPS ACROSS THE PLAINS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 85 73 84 72 / 90 60 80 60 FSM 86 74 87 75 / 80 40 70 60 MLC 85 72 85 73 / 80 50 60 60 BVO 85 70 84 69 / 80 60 80 60 FYV 83 70 83 69 / 90 40 80 60 BYV 82 69 84 70 / 90 40 80 60 MKO 84 71 82 72 / 90 50 80 60 MIO 84 70 84 70 / 90 60 80 70 F10 83 71 84 71 / 80 50 80 60 HHW 85 73 88 73 / 80 40 60 60 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...NONE. AR...NONE. && SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....10
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 515 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2010 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081000- ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK- CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK- LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK- OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK- PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK- WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR- 515 AM CDT WED JUL 7 2010 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. FLASH FLOOD. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON. HEAVY RAIN. RISK...LIMITED. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. RISK...SIGNIFICANT. AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. ONSET...EARLY THIS MORNING. DISCUSSION... DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA AND THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL RESULT IN VERY SLOW STORM MOTIONS...SO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL. MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON THURSDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY AND MAY ENHANCE THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL THEN REMAIN IN THE VICINITY FOR SEVERAL DAYS CONTINUING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES REACHING NEAR OR ABOVE 100 IN SOME PLACES. WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Neosho River near Commerce rose above its flood stage of 15 feet at 6 a.m. CDT on July 7th. The river crested at 18.79 feet at 12 p.m. CDT on the 10th, resulting in moderate flooding. The river fell below flood stage at 11 a.m. CDT on the 11th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, July 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 253743.