Strong southerly winds developed ahead of an approaching cold front which trailed a low pressure system tracking through Central New England. Rough surf and strong rip currents developed along the Atlantic Ocean Facing beaches as a result.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OKX wrote it up.
Strong southerly winds developed ahead of an approaching cold front which trailed a low pressure system tracking through Central New England. Rough surf and strong rip currents developed along the Atlantic Ocean Facing beaches as a result.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 29, 4:06 PM EST, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
506 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT JUST OFF TO THE EAST SLOWLY DRIFTS FARTHER OUT TO SEA
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT...AND REMAINS IN
CONTROL OF THE WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
COLD FRONT JUST OFFSHORE WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT...AND A
SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE CWA. HIGH PRESSURE OTHERWISE
CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE GREAT LAKES WITH DRY WEATHER. LOWER
DEWPOINTS WILL MAKE FOR A MORE COMFORTABLE NIGHT AS COMPARED TO THE
PAST FEW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
500 MILLIBAR PATTERN WILL FEATURE CLOSED LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH
SOUTHEAST CANADA. ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVES RIDING AROUND THE PERIPHERY
OF THE LOW EXPECTED TO BRING NOTHING MORE THAN SOME CLOUD COVER AT
TIMES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS DEEP MOISTURE AND MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES APPEAR TO BE LACKING TO WARRANT A CHANCE OF RAINFALL.
RIDGING ALOFT THEN RETURNS ON FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS HAVE US MIXING TO 850 MB OR A LITTLE DEEPER OVER
EACH OF THE NEXT 3 DAYS. BASED ON FORECAST TEMPS ALOFT...EXPECTED
CLOUD COVER...AND DOWNSLOPING COMPONENTS...WENT CLOSER TO THE COOLER
GUIDANCE FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. DID SOME DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENTS
ON THURSDAY...AS THINKING IS THAT IT SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER THAN
ON WEDNESDAY. GRIDDED MOS GUIDANCE LOOKED GOOD FOR FRIDAY.
DUE TO SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY SWELLS...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS FOR ATLANTIC FACING BEACHES ON WEDNESDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH OFFSHORE
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...WHILE UPPER RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING FRIDAY NIGHT...DROPPING TEMPERATURES INTO THE
MIDDLE 50S OVER INLAND AREAS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND WEAK
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ON SATURDAY WILL HELP TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE
MIDDLE 80S OVER MUCH OF THE TRI-STATE AREA.
THE GFS AND EURO DIVERGE ON SUNDAY WITH THE PLACEMENT OF A H5 CUTOFF
LOW EAST OF THE AREA. THE GFS BRINGS THE CUTOFF LOW NORTH INTO THE
GULF OF MAINE...WHILE THE EURO KEEPS THE LOW FURTHER OUT TO SEA TO
THE SOUTH. NONETHELESS...CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY AS ANY FORCING
STAYS WELL TO THE EAST. TEMPERATURES ON THE FOURTH OF JULY WILL
RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 80S OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...TO THE LOWER 90S OVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NYC
METRO. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL
CONTINUE FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS...280 TO 310...WILL SHIFT TO
NORTHWEST 00Z TO 01Z...BECOMING 320 TO 330. GUSTS SLOWLY SUBSIDE
THROUGH THE EVENING AND END BY 06Z.
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WEDNESDAY WITH NORTHWEST FLOW. SOME GUSTS
TO AROUND 15KT POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...
DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT
FORECASTS CAN BE FOUND AT...
HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90/ (LOWER CASE)
KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: WINDS EXPECTED TO VARY ON EITHER SIDE OF
310 THROUGH 00Z TO 01Z AFTERWARDS. HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST...320...AFTER 01Z.
KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THU THROUGH FRI...VFR WITH NW FLOW. SEA BREEZE POSSIBLE FRI AFTERNOON.
SAT/SUN...VFR WITH SW FLOW.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS SHIFT MORE TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING AS
COLD FRONT HEADS OUT TO SEA. SEAS JUST BELOW SCA LEVELS EARLY
ON...AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW 5 FT TONIGHT AS WINDS SHIFT
MORE OFFSHORE...AND SWELL HEIGHT SLOWLY DIMINISHES. RELATIVELY
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS SHOULD LAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN...HOWEVER A SE SWELL IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ON THE OCEAN WATERS TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS COULD CAUSE ROUGH CONDITIONS
NEAR THE INLETS AND POSSIBLY AT THE ENTRANCES TO THE HARBOR AND
EASTERN LI SOUND. SEA BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR SHORE
THIS WEEKEND.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JC
NEAR TERM...JC
SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...SCALORA
AVIATION...
MARINE...JC/SCALORA
HYDROLOGY...JCHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 516 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010 ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011- NYZ067>074-078-079-302130- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN- EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)- BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 516 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NYZ075>077-080-081-302130- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 516 PM EDT TUE JUN 29 2010 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FACING BEACHES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
Shortly after 7 pm on Tuesday June 29th, 14 yr old Scott McLeish of Flatlands was swept to sea by a rip current. His body was not recovered. The incident happened after life guards went off duty, and boy was not a strong swimmer.
Strong rip currents were reported at Jones Beach and Robert Moses, with dangerous rip currents at Hither Hills.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Queens | 2010-06-29 | 14 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, June 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 242510.