Drought, Butler
- When
- July 2, 12:00 AM CST to July 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Butler forecast zone
- Reported by
- Other Federal Agency
- Coordinates
- 36.716, -90.407 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Moderate drought conditions developed over much of southeast Missouri after a very dry June. Poplar Bluff received only about one-half inch of rain in June.
Every event with a place to put it; 8 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Moderate drought conditions developed over much of southeast Missouri after a very dry June. Poplar Bluff received only about one-half inch of rain in June. Rainfall during July consisted of isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Hot conditions increased evaporation rates and crop stress. Corn yields were expected to be cut by half where irrigation was not used. An upper level ridge of high pressure was firmly entrenched over the southeastern states early in the month. The high slowly migrated toward the southern Plains by mid-month and toward the southwestern U.S. by the 20th. It eventually re-established itself over the Southeast late in the month.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 12:00 AM CST, 0 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 100 AM CDT FRI JUL 2 2010 .DISCUSSION... THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH CENTERED JUST EAST OF LAKE MICH. LATEST IR SAT LOOP DEPICTS CLEAR SKIES OVER THE HEARTLAND. SURFACE OBS INDICATE A LIGHT NORTHEAST WIND OVER THE FA. EXPECT A NEAR CARBON COPY OF THURSDAY AGAIN TODAY...WITH THE ONLY CHANGES FOR TODAY BEING A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER WITH A SLIGHT SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. THE 500MB HIGH WILL MOVE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD TODAY WHICH SHOULD SUPPRESS CLOUDS WITH SOME COMPRESSIONAL HEATING ADDED TO THE MIX. WILL KEEP A GUST FOR THE AFTERNOON AGAIN AS FEW GUSTS APPROACHED 20 KNOTS THURSDAY...ALBEIT FEW AND FAR BETWEEN. EXPECT SIMILAR HUMIDITY AGAIN TODAY WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER READING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAINLY SEMO WHERE IT CAN TAP INTO THE DRIER AIR ALOFT A BIT EASIER AS IT DID THURSDAY. AFTER TODAY THE SURFACE HIGH SINKS SOUTHEAST OF THE HEARTLAND BRINGING A SOUTHERLY FLOW BACK OVER THE AREA...USHERING IN HIGHER DEW POINTS ALONG WITH WARMING TEMPS. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS DISC. THAT CU WILL RETURN THIS WEEKEND. NOW THE 12Z THU OPERATIONAL ECMWF FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO NOT SUPPORT THE CU. IN CONTRAST THE TIME HEIGHT VIEW OF THE MODEL DOES INDICATE SOME MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH BETWEEN 850 AND 700 MB. THE NAM IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS FEATURE WITH GFS A BIT DRIER BUT STILL INDICATIVE OF SOME CLOUD COVER IN THE AFTERNOON SAT. THE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING LESS CLOUDS ON SUNDAY BUT WILL NOT BUY INTO THAT JUST YET. AS BEFORE THE ECMWF KEEPS US DRY UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK. IN CONTRAST THE GFS CONTINUES TO A FRONT APPROACHING THE OHIO RIVER MONDAY AFTN. I DO NOT LIKE TO IGNORE THE GFS WHEN IT LOCKS ONTO A SIGNAL LIKE THIS FOR SEVERAL RUNS. IN CONTRAST THE ECMWF HAS BEEN PERSISTENT WITH A DRY SCENARIO. WILL MAINTAIN CONSISTENCY WITH PREVIOUS PRACTICE OF FOLLOWING THE ECMWF SCENARIO. HOWEVER IF THE GFS CONTINUES TO HOLD ONTO THIS WILL LIKELY INTRO POPS AT LEAST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. THE ONLY OTHER POSSIBLE CHANGE WILL COME NEXT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WHEN THE ECMWF IS FINALLY BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH. AS FOR TEMPS WILL RAISE TODAYS HIGHS TO AT LEAST MATCH YESTERDAYS HIGHS AND POSSIBLY ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO. OTHERWISE WILL CONTINUE WARMING TREND. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH CLEAR SKIES AND NO VSBY RESTRICTIONS. EXPECT A FEW GUSTS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH A MORE EASTERLY COMPONENT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. &&
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
8 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2010
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 243846, 243847, 243849, 243850, 243851, 243853, 243854, 243855.