Minnesota, 2010

Drought in Minnesota, September 1 to 30, 2010

September 1 to 30, 2010 · NWS DLH · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Severe (D2) drought conditions persisted through September, even though precipitation was near normal for the Arrowhead Region.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS DLH wrote it up.

Severe (D2) drought conditions persisted through September, even though precipitation was near normal for the Arrowhead Region.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Duluth, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1230 AM CDT WED SEP 1 2010

.AVIATION...UPDATE FOR 06Z TAFS
HIGH PRESS MOVG INTO THE REGION OVNGT WILL BRING LIGHTER WINDS...BUT
MID/HIGH CLD DECK WILL REMAIN OVR MUCH OF THE AREA THRU THE NGT.
EXPECT VFR CONDS EXCEPT FOR PSBL BRIEF IFR IN FG EARLY WED MRNG. CLD
COVER AND LOWER DWPTS WILL RETARD FG FORMATION...LIGHT WINDS WILL
BE CONDUCIVE. HYR MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR FG DUE TO RAIN THAT FELL
THERE THIS EVE. SE WINDS RETURN BY LATE WED AFTN AS HIGH CENTER
MOVES TO THE E. THIS WILL ALLOW NEXT WEA SYSTEM TO APPROACH WRN
AREAS WITH INCRSG MID CLDS BY END OF TAF PD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 940 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010/

UPDATE...FOR ZFP
NO MAJ CHGS. UPDATED CLDS/POPS/WEA CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT
RADAR/SATL TRENDS. OVNGT LOWS STILL LOOK OK.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 624 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010/

AVIATION...UPDATE FOR 00Z TAFS
CFNT HAS PASSED TAF SITES...BUT STILL CLOSE ENUF TO HYR TO JUSTIFY
VCTS FOR A FEW MORE HRS. AFT THAT WINDS SHUD CONT VEERING TO W OR
NW AND DECREASING AS HIGH PRESS PUSHES IN FROM THE W. DEW PTS
10-20 DEG LOWER BEHIND FNT AND THERE SHUD STILL BE SOME MID CLDS
ARND EARLY WED MRNG...SO FG SHUD NOT BE A BIG ISSUE...ALTHO DID
BRING A FEW HRS OF IFR VSBY INTO HIB/HYR WHICH ARE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE
TO FG UNDER LGT WIND CONDS. MOS GUIDANCE HINTING AT THIS AS WELL.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010/

DISCUSSION...MAIN FOCUS FOR TONIGHT IS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.

THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MARCH EASTWARD ACROSS THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WAS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA.
DEWPOINTS BEHIND THE FRONT WERE DROPPING QUICKLY INTO THE
50S...WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 IN MUCH OF NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.
THE MAIN FOCUS FOR THE EVENING WILL BE FRONTAL TO PRE-FRONTAL
THUNDERSTORMS...NAMELY ACROSS THE MINNESOTA ARROWHEAD...EAST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.

CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS ARE FAIRLY FAVORABLE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
WISCONSIN ESPECIALLY...ALTHOUGH CONVERGENCE IS FAIRLY MINIMAL IN
THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT AND THE FRONT WAS WASHING OUT. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WERE PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MN...WITH
SPOTTY SHOWERS SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CWA. THINK THE MAIN RAIN AREA
OVERNIGHT WILL BE NW WI...AS THE PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTH MOVES
INTO THAT AREA. THE 12Z AND 18Z MODEL SETS GENERALLY AGREE ON
THIS...WITH THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THEN DECREASING FROM
WEST TO EAST AS THE NIGHT WEARS ON AND DRIER AIR MOVES IN.

WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE PRETTY QUIET...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THE
REPRIEVE WILL BE SHORT-LIVED THOUGH...AS THE NEXT SYSTEM
PROGRESSES FROM THE DAKOTAS INTO MN BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. WILL HIT
OUR SW AREAS THE HARDEST AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE LIFT INTO WESTERN MN OVERNIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE
TAKES ON MORE OF A NEGATIVE TILT ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT...SO HAVE GONE WITH FAIRLY HIGH POPS. HAVE RAISED POPS INTO
THE LIKELY CATEGORY FOR THE WHOLE CWA DURING MUCH OF THIS TIME AS
THE SYSTEM TAKES ON THE NEGATIVE TILT AND THEN DIGS AS A CLOSED
LOW OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL DURING THIS TIME DUE TO THE COOL AIR PUSHING IN FROM THE
NORTH AND THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION.

EXTENDED...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE BASE OF AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY NIGHT. WILL
HAVE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESSION OF THIS TROUGH AXIS AS THE
NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY SEE MORE EXTENSIVE
CLOUDINESS IF IT LINGERS LONGER THAN EXPECTED. NORTHWEST WINDS IN
THE WAKE OF THE TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE NORTHLAND THIS UPCOMING
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD...THOUGH SOME LOW TEMPERATURES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MAY
DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S OVER THE IRON RANGE AND NORTHERN PARTS OF
THE ARROWHEAD. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL BE ENTERING THE
REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND LINGER INTO TUESDAY AS A MORE
WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ALOFT.

AVIATION.../18Z TAF ISSUANCE/
CURRENT MVFR CIGS AT MOST LOCATIONS WILL LIFT AND SCATTER AS A
COLD FRONT MOVING OVER WESTERN MINNESOTA WILL PUSH EASTWARD. THE
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH INL AND BRD BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON FOR INL
AND BRD AND LATER THIS EVENING FOR HYR. PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL BE LIMITED TO SOME LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON AT DLH. INCLUDED A VCTS FOR HYR BEGINNING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SKIES GRADUALLY CLEAR AND WINDS COME
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AFTER 06Z.

&&

.POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  74  54  65  50 /  10  50  60  60
INL  74  50  65  48 /  10  50  70  60
BRD  76  58  70  52 /  10  60  50  20
HYR  77  54  71  54 /  10  50  60  50
ASX  76  54  71  53 /  10  30  60  60

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...04
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 31, 8:48 PM CST, 3 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
948 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-011030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
948 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN NORTHWESTERN
WISCONSIN. THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.

LSZ121-140>148-011030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
948 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE WISCONSIN
NEARSHORE WATERS EAST OF PORT WING. THEY SHOULD NOT BE SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...AND AGAIN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

04

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DULUTH (ALL LOWER CASE)

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Northern Cook / Northern Lake

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Northern Cook / Northern Lake forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
47.670, -90.975 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Southern Cook

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Southern Cook forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
47.817, -90.541 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Minnesota in 2010Every state in 2010This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, September 2010

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 261612, 261613.