Kentucky, 2010Flash Flood and Hail in Kentucky, June 3, 2010
June 3, 2010 · NWS JKL · 10 events in 4 counties and zones
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms downed trees, produced isolated occurrences of large and flooding during the evening hours of June 3rd.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $73,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 10
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms downed trees, produced isolated occurrences of large and flooding during the evening hours of June 3rd.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 3, 2:25 PM EST, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 3, 2:25 PM EST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
325 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010
.NEAR TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...UPDATED
18Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY LYING ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. AN MCV ROLLED EAST ALONG THIS FRONT EARLIER IN THE DAY WITH A
CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS ALL BYPASSED EAST KENTUCKY
AND MAINLY LEFT A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUDS OVER OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES
INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE AFTERNOON. THESE HAVE JUST RECENTLY
CLEARED ALLOWING UNFETTERED HEATING. ALSO IN THIS AREA...AN OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY IS INDICATED THAT MAY LEAD TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ELSEWHERE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING AND CONVECTIVE
TEMPERATURES BEING MET SHOULD INITIATE SCATTERED CONVECTION JUST
ABOUT ANYWHERE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THANKS TO A FAIR AMOUNT OF
SUNSHINE TODAY...OUTSIDE OF OUR BLUEGRASS COUNTIES...TEMPERATURES
HAVE REACHED INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S WITH A FEW SPOTS HITTING 90
AS OF 3 PM EDT. MEANWHILE...DEWPOINTS ARE RUNNING IN THE MIDDLE 60S
TO NEAR 70 DEGREES SUPPORTING A LARGE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY. WHAT IS
MISSING IS THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT THAT SEEMS TO HAVE LEFT THE AREA
WITH THE MCV. STILL EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY EVENING EVEN WITHOUT THE HELP OF DECENT
LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES OR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.
BASICALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ALOFT WITH ONLY VERY MINOR WAVES
CROSSING THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY...AS SEEN IN ALL MODELS.
DIFFERENCES IN THE SOLUTIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS COME MAINLY FROM
RESOLUTION DIFFERENCES AND PARAMETRIZATION OF EACH INDIVIDUAL MODEL
RATHER THAN ANY NOTICEABLE DISAGREEMENTS ALOFT. AS SUCH...HAVE
FOLLOWED A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE...THE NATURAL SUMMERTIME DIURNAL
CYCLE...PATTERN PROPAGATION AND SOME ASPECTS OF THE NAM12 FOR
SENSIBLE WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM.
EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO POP OVER THE AREA
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND CONTINUE PROPAGATING FURTHER
STORMS BASED ON INTERACTIONS OF THE BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER STORMS.
WITH CAPE PUSHING 3500 J/KG AND A LACK OF INHIBITION THESE ARE A GOOD
BET. SPC AGREES AND HAS BOXED THE HIGHER THREAT AREA TO OUR
SOUTHWEST. NEVERTHELESS...DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANYTHING TOO ORGANIZED
TO JUSTIFY ANY MORE THAN SCATTERED COVERAGE THIS EVENING AND ISOLATED
COVERAGE TONIGHT. WOULD NOT RULE OUT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EITHER...BUT THE BULK OF THEM WILL BE GARDEN VARIETY HEAVY RAINERS.
WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR MERGERS...THOUGH...AND WHETHER A COLD POOL
CAN BE GENERATED FOR A BETTER SHOT AT SEVERE. FOR TONIGHT...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOLLOWING THE LOSS OF
HEATING. IN ADDITION...THE STANDARD AREAS OF PATCHY FOG WILL BE FOUND
TOWARD DAWN WITH THE THICKEST SEEN IN PLACES THAT SEE RAIN. EXPECT
SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH THE
BEST CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WAITING UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY WITH THE
SUPPORT OF THE DAYTIME HEATING. SEE TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO THOSE OF
TODAY AS WELL AND HAVE DRAWN THE GRIDS AS SUCH.
FOR TEMPERATURES...MAINLY FOLLOWED PERSISTENCE THROUGH FRIDAY. AS FOR
POPS...ENDED UP CLOSEST TO THE MET NUMBERS.
.SHORT TERM.../FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...UPDATED
FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...THE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT STAGNANT. THE QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL SET
UP AGAIN SATURDAY DRAPED ALONG THE OHIO RIVER NORTH AND LINE UP
SOUTHWEST INTO THE MO...KY...AR...TN...AND IN NEIGHBORING STATES.
COULD COVER WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON PREVIOUS DAYS ACTIVITY. ANY
PREVIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM FRIDAYS EXPECTED MCS WILL BE THE
MAIN PROVIDER FOR CLOUD COVER AND THUNDERSTORM INITIATION. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WILL TRAVERSE THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY AGAIN DURING THE
DAY ON SATURDAY. ONCE AGAIN...WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND WEAK
SURFACE GRADIENT WITH THE FRONT...DAYTIME CONVECTION AND INITIATION
POINT WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON DAYTIME HEATING AND PREVIOUS
EVENING'S CONVECTION PROVIDING ANY PREEXISTING BOUNDARIES. ENERGY
WILL MAKE IT TO THE EASTERN SLOPES SO OROGRAPHIC SUPPORT FOR
INITIATION WILL HELP CONVECTION CONTINUE TO FLOURISH INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. WITH INGREDIENTS BEING AVAILABLE...WHILE NOT
SIGNIFICANT...WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST. THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT A FEW STORMS COULD GO SEVERE BUT WOULD NEED SOME
MODIFICATION TO THE ENVIRONMENT FROM AN APPROACHING MCS. FOR
TEMPERATURES...NAM SEEMS TO GO COOLER WITH MAX TEMPS ON SAT WITH THE
GFS KEEPING IT UNUSUALLY WARM. WENT THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD WITH MID
80S FOR HIGHS.
.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...UPDATED
THERE IS GENERAL MODEL AGREEMENT OF A CONTINUATION OF ZONAL FLOW
ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. A
COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOWLY ENCROACHING FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH LIKELY MCS ACTIVITY ONGOING ALONG IT. BEST CHANCE OF CONVECTION
WILL BE ALONG THE I-64 CORRIDOR. AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH ON
SUNDAY...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A GOOD CHANCE OF CONVECTION. A FEW
STORMS WILL LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST EARLY SUNDAY EVENING...BEFORE
RIDGING BRINGS A TEMPORARY DRY PATTERN TO THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY.
ANOTHER WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP IN THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT...AND
WITH WNW FLOW ALOFT...WE WILL BE IN LINE FOR A THREAT OF MCS
ACTIVITY. THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS
THE BOUNDARY BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR THE AREA. THE FRONT
FINALLY LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HAVE SIDED A BIT
CLOSER TO THE ECMWF THAN THE GFS THIS FAR OUT WITH A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
TIMING.
FOR TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR THE
HIGHS...BUT WENT A BIT MORE DIURNALLY LIMITED ON SOME OF THE LOWS AS
WE BECOME MORE ESTABLISHED IN THE WARM SECTOR.
&&
.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/
STILL AWAITING CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LATEST HRRR SHOWS THAT A FEW CELLS SHOULD START POPPING OVER THE
NEXT TWO TO THREE HOURS WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE DEVELOPING. THE
LATEST MESOSCALE ANALYSIS FROM SPC INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION HAS BEEN LARGELY WORKED OUT AND ONLY REMAINS OVER A
PORTION OF NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY. AS SUCH...HAVE MOVED THE VCTS
GROUP TO AFTER 20Z AT ALL SITES WITH A SCATTERED CB LAYER AT 3500
FEET AND OVERCAST AT 6K FEET. WITH THE SCATTERED NATURE OF THE
ANTICIPATED CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...HAVE
LEFT THE STORM FORECAST AS JUST VICINITY THROUGH 02Z. FOLLOWING
THIS...EXPECT THE CLOUDS TO CLEAR AND ALLOW FOR PATCHY FOG IN THE
MORE VALLEY LOCATIONS TOWARD DAWN RESULTING IN PREVAILING MVFR VIS AT
SME AND LOZ. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE WORSE AT ANY LOCATION TOWARD
DAWN FRIDAY IF THEY MANAGE TO SEE ONE OF THE STORMS LATER TODAY.
OTHERWISE...THE BR WILL BURN OFF BY 14Z FRIDAY WITH CB/S DEVELOPING
TOWARD AFTERNOON...BUT COVERAGE OF ANY STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE TOO
SPARSE TO WARRANT A VCTS IN THE TAFS UNTIL AFTER 18Z. WINDS THROUGH
THE PERIOD...OUTSIDE OF ANY STORM...WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY FROM
THE SOUTHWEST.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
NEAR TERM...GREIF
SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER
LONG TERM...GEOGERIAN
AVIATION...GREIF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 3, 3:05 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
405 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-042315-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
405 PM EDT THU JUN 3 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. SOME STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE MAIN THREATS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
AND AGAIN FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING.
DUSTY/GREIF
Event by event
8 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm Wind, Estill
- When
- June 3, 5:02 PM EST to 5:12 PM EST
- Where
- Estill County, Wisemantown
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $3,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 37.680, -84.000
Trees were blown down in Wisemantown.
Thunderstorm Wind, Estill
- When
- June 3, 5:02 PM EST to 5:12 PM EST
- Where
- Estill County, 1 mi SW of Hargett
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $6,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 37.770, -84.033
A tree was reported to have been blown down onto a home in the Sandhill area.
Thunderstorm Wind, Morgan
- When
- June 3, 5:05 PM EST to 5:15 PM EST
- Where
- Morgan County, Stacy Fork
- Measured
- 55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $50,000
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 37.830, -83.250
A tree fell on a school bus, truck, and mini van on KY 191 between mile markers 9 and 10. The vehicles appeared to be totaled.
Thunderstorm Wind, Morgan
- When
- June 3, 5:18 PM EST to 5:28 PM EST
- Where
- Morgan County, 1 mi NE of Stacy Fork
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $3,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 37.840, -83.237
Trees were reported down near the intersection of KY 191 and KY 844 near Malone.
Thunderstorm Wind, Powell
- When
- June 3, 5:25 PM EST to 5:35 PM EST
- Where
- Powell County, Knowlton
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 37.800, -83.830
Trees were blown down onto power lines in the Cat Creek area.
Thunderstorm Wind, Morgan
- When
- June 3, 5:38 PM EST to 5:48 PM EST
- Where
- Morgan County, Mima
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 37.920, -83.030
A tree was blown down at the intersection of KY Hwy 437 and KY Hwy 589 in Mima.
Thunderstorm Wind, Morgan
- When
- June 3, 5:45 PM EST to 5:55 PM EST
- Where
- Morgan County, 1 mi ESE of Moon
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 37.974, -83.033
A trained spotter reported estimated wind gusts of 55 to 60 mph and dime size hail near Moon.
Flash Flood, Estill
- When
- June 3, 5:59 PM EST to 11:52 PM EST
- Where
- Estill County, 0.91 mi SE of West Irvine to 0.63 mi NW of South Irvine
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 37.692, -83.986
At approximately 730 pm EDT, Clear Creek Road was closed due to high water from flash flooding. A fire station also had to pump water out of the basement of a house in Irvine.
Thunderstorm Wind, Morgan
- When
- June 3, 6:50 PM EST to 7:00 PM EST
- Where
- Morgan County, 2 mi W of Relief
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 37.950, -83.037
Trees were down on KY 437 between mile markers 11 and 12.
Hail, Laurel
- When
- June 3, 7:48 PM EST to 7:58 PM EST
- Where
- Laurel County, 0.6 mi NNE of Keavy
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Amateur Radio
- Coordinates
- 37.008, -84.166
An amateur radio operator reported one inch diameter hail in Keavy.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Idaho, June 3 to 11, 2010$3.2 million · 52 kt wind · 12 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Massachusetts, June 3, 20101 injured · $153,000 · 1 in hail · 12 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, June 3, 20101 injured · $61,000 · 1.75 in hail · 18 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Florida, June 3, 2010$131,000 · 1 in hail · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, June 3, 2010$58,000 · 1 in hail · 11 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, June 3, 20102 injured · $25,000 · 74 kt wind · 3 events
- Damaging Winds in Virginia, June 3, 2010$18,000 · 50 kt wind · 10 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Virginia, June 3, 2010$25,000 · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in North Atlantic Coastal Waters, June 3, 201057 kt wind · 21 events
- Tornado and Hail in Nebraska, June 3, 2010EF0 · 21 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Louisiana, June 3 to 4, 2010$13,000 · EF0 · 12 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Ohio, June 3, 2010$20,000 · 50 kt wind · 2 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 228611, 228624, 228627, 228615, 228616, 228617, 228618, 228619, 228630, 228621.