Texas, 2009

Drought in Texas, January 1 to 31, 2009

January 1 to 31, 2009 · NWS FWD · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

S. Drought Monitor.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
$500,000
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Severe to extreme drought continued in Bell and Milam Counties as defined by the U.S. Drought Monitor. January was the second consecutive month with precipitation totals of less than an inch for both counties. Most cold season crops were stressed and yielded much less than normal. Fire danger was also on the rise...with 38 out of 46 counties in north Texas under burn bans.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 31, 11:10 PM CST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 11:10 PM CST, 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1110 PM CST WED DEC 31 2008

.AVIATION...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO PREVIOUS TAF PACKAGE WITH VFR PREVAILING
AND BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. SURFACE HIGH IS NOW
LOCATED EAST OF NORTH TEXAS AND LIGHT WINDS HAVE COME AROUND TO THE
SOUTHEAST. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO AROUND 15KTS
BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS...THEN DECREASE AROUND SUNSET. SCATTERED
TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL CLOUDS WITH BASES AROUND 040 KFT WILL RETURN TO
NORTH TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MODELS ARE
INDICATING THAT VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO 3-6 SM AFTER
02/06Z BUT WILL NOT MENTION IN TAF AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

82/JLD
&&

.UPDATE...
912 PM
THE WIND HAS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARD THE EAST COAST. THE LIGHT WIND AND
MOSTLY CLEAR SKY HAS ALLOWED FOR QUICK RADIATIONAL COOLING WITH
SOME TEMPERATURES ALREADY IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF NORTH TEXAS. WILL HAVE TO LOWER OVERNIGHT LOWS A FEW
DEGREES IN MANY LOCATIONS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS RAPID COOL DOWN.

ONLY OTHER CHANGES NECESSARY WILL BE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO
CLOUD COVER AND DEW POINTS.

79

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THE NEXT 24-30 HOURS. MAIN CONCERN
DURING THIS TAF PACKAGE WILL BE RETURN OF STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
ON THURSDAY. TO BEGIN...CURRENT NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN TO A
SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION OVERNIGHT BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN
10 KTS. BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS AND THEN DECREASE AGAIN
NEAR SUNSET. HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE THORUGH THE PERIOD
AND THEN SCT TO BKN CIGS AROUND 030-040 WILL MOVE INTO WACO LATE
THURSDAY MORNING.

82/JLD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 PM CST WED DEC 31 2008/
NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. NICE WEATHER TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A GRADUAL WARMUP. FORECAST FOR
TONIGHTS ACTIVITIES WILL BE CLEAR AND COOL WITH TEMPS DROPPING
INTO THE UPPER 30S BY MIDNIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE
EAST BY TOMORROW WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW RESUMING ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER INTO THE WEEKEND.
A WEAK DISTURBANCE SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA BY SATURDAY AND COULD
SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS PRIMARILY ACROSS THE EASTERN COUNTIES
BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

BIGGER CHANGES COME FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. STRONG S/W MOVES
THROUGH THE UPPER PLAINS ON SUNDAY SENDING A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH NORTH TEXAS. GFS IN PARTICULAR HAS CONTINUED TO TREND
COLDER WITH THIS SYSTEM. MEANWHILE...MORE UPSTREAM ENERGY DIGS
INTO THE SOUTHWEST US THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF BY SUNDAY
EVENING. THIS SCENARIO IS BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BY MONDAY AS COLD AIR WILL HAVE
TIME TO BECOME ESTABLISHED. 12Z GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS FOR DFW/MWL AND
SURROUNDING AREAS ON 18Z MONDAY INDICATE A COLD THERMAL PROFILE
SUPPORTING SNOW WITH SATURATED LAYER UP TO 500MB. THE PROBLEM WITH
THE GFS SOLUTION NOW IS ITS HANDLING OF THE LEAD S/W INTO THE
UPPER PLAINS. THERE ARE STILL SOME INCONSISTENCIES FROM THE OTHER
GLOBAL MODELS WHICH HAVE TRENDED ITS OVERALL SOLUTION COLDER THAN
THE OTHER GUIDANCE. IN ADDITION...THERE ARE STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTIES WITH REGARD TO THE STRENGTH OF THE COASTAL
TROF/SURFACE LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WHICH COULD HAVE SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS ON MOISTURE RETURN INTO NORTH TEXAS. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP
THE POPS AT 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA AND HAVE LOWERED TEMPS ON
MONDAY TO NEAR 40 DEGREES...KEEPING THE PRECIP ALL RAIN MORE IN
LINE WITH THE 12Z ECMWF. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY THOUGH
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT CAN QUICKLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
FROZEN PRECIP. PRECIP SHOULD END RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST BY
TUESDAY WITH A SLOW WARMUP THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  34  62  48  74  58 /   0   0   0   5  10
WACO, TX              34  63  51  77  60 /   0   0   5   5  10
PARIS, TX             29  56  41  66  54 /   0   0   0   5  10
DENTON, TX            30  62  43  71  54 /   0   0   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          30  60  43  70  55 /   0   0   0   5  10
DALLAS, TX            33  62  47  74  57 /   0   0   0   5  10
TERRELL, TX           31  61  48  72  57 /   0   0   5   5  10
CORSICANA, TX         31  62  50  74  59 /   0   0   5   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            38  63  51  76  60 /   0   5   5   5  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

82/79
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 31, 6:58 PM CST, 5 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
658 PM CST WED DEC 31 2008

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-011200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
658 PM CST WED DEC 31 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
TEMPLE...TO HILLSBORO...TO PARIS ON SATURDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Bell

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Bell forecast zone
Crop damage
$250,000
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
31.038, -97.478 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

About two-thirds of the county was considered to be in severe to extreme drought according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Drought, Milam

When
January 1, 12:00 AM CST to January 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Milam forecast zone
Crop damage
$250,000
Reported by
Official NWS Observations
Coordinates
30.786, -96.977 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

About two-thirds of the county was considered to be in severe to extreme drought according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2009Every state in 2009This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, January 2009

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 146069, 146070.