Persistent easterly flow and large swells enhanced the rip current risk along the Florida Atlantic coast.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Persistent easterly flow and large swells enhanced the rip current risk along the Florida Atlantic coast.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 26, 7:52 AM EST, 5 hours 38 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 852 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2009 ...INCREASED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH MID-WEEK... .PUBLIC UPDATE...LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS NOTED WELL OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA COAST. THE INTERACTION OF THIS FEATURE WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND HAS ALLOWED COOL AND MOIST CONDITIONS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA UNDER NORTHEASTERLY WINDS...RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR TODAY AS IT APPEARS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE TOO STABLE AND RELATIVELY DRY TO PROMOTE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT...EVEN AS OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY BEGINS TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD INTO NORTHEAST FLORIDA. PORTIONS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE DECREASING CLOUDS TODAY DUE TO INCREASING TURBULENT MIXING...ALTHOUGH LOW CEILINGS WILL LIKELY RETURN OVERNIGHT. ZFP HAS BEEN UPDATED. && .AVIATION...LOW CEILINGS HAVE OVERSPREAD NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ADVECTING COOL AND MOIST CONDITIONS INTO THE AREA. MODEL TRENDS INDICATE THESE LOW CEILINGS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR THE BALANCE OF TODAY AND LIKELY INTO THIS EVENING. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KGNV TERMINAL WHERE THERE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TURBULENT MIXING TO SCOUR THESE CLOUDS DURING THE COURSE OF TODAY...ALTHOUGH LOW CEILINGS WILL LIKELY RETURN THIS EVENING. DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY SHOWER DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATER TONIGHT. && .MARINE...LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS NOTED WELL OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA COAST. THE INTERACTION OF THIS FEATURE WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE MAINLAND HAS RESULTED IN STRONGER NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS OUR GEORGIA WATERS...WITH BUOY 41008 CURRENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS. HAVE ISSUED SCEC HEADLINES FOR OUR GEORGIA OFFSHORE ZONES...WITH CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVING DURING THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE MAINLAND. && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && .PREVIOUS PUBLIC...LATEST MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BAHAMAS LOW HAVE NOW MORPHED INTO AN ELONGATED TROUGH FROM JUST OFFSHORE TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST TO WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. OVER THE MAINLAND...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WITH WEDGING THROUGH THE INLAND GA ZONES. CURRENT RADAR SHOWS ALL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS CONTAINED WITHIN AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH AND AT THIS HOUR REMAINS JUST EAST OF THE OUTER MOST COASTAL ZONES. LOCAL WEATHER INFLUENCES TODAY WILL BE DICTATED LARGELY BY LARGE SCALE DEVELOPMENTS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AS A DEEP TROUGH DESCENDS THE LEE SIDE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL INITIALLY ALLOW DEEPER MOISTURE TO SURGE NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON WITH TROUGH AXIS ALSO SHIFTING SLIGHTLY WESTWARD. COMBINATION OF THESE EVENTS WILL RESULT IN LOW END SCT ACTIVITY ALONG THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA. DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WHILE A WARM FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. TYPICALLY IN THESE SCENARIOS...THE PRECIP SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WARM FRONT REMAINS FURTHER WEST OF THE AREA THAN MODELS INDICATE. WILL FOLLOW THIS RATIONALE TO KEEP POPS BELOW GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT. THAT SAID...POPS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE BETWEEN 12Z AND 15Z TUE WITH LIKELY FOR ALL AREAS. MODELS CONTINUE TO FLIP FLOP ON SEVERE THREAT FOR TUE AFTERNOON. LATEST RUNS NOW TAKE MAIN LOW LEVEL WIND CORE THROUGH THE PANHANDLE AND DUE NORTH INTO GA AND THE CAROLINAS...EFFECTIVELY KEEPING SEVERE STORMS WEST OF OUR AREA. WILL STILL NEED TO WATCH CLOSELY WITH SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS. DESPITE UNCERTAINTY WITH SEVERE THREAT...HEAVY RAINFALL FOR AT LEAST THE GA PORTION LOOKS LIKE A CERTAINTY AND WILL KEEP MENTION IN HWO. WITH FLOW ALOFT REMAINING SOUTHWEST...IT APPEARS LESS AND LESS LIKELY WE WILL SEE ANY FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH THIS EVENT. INSTEAD GFS AND NAM12 SHOW FRONT STALLING OVER THE AREA WITH DEEP MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE. STRONG MID LEVEL HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE WED...SO POPS WILL BE QUITE LOW DESPITE ABUNDANT MOISTURE. .LONG TERM...MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MAIN SHORTWAVES RIDING WELL NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED TEMPS WELL ABOVE CLIMO AND JUST OCCASIONAL FRONTS SAGGING INTO THE AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. && ECZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 405 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2009 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-271200- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 405 AM EDT MON OCT 26 2009 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS... DUE TO LINGERING SWELLS...THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK TODAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST ISSUANCE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. A TROUGH AXIS OFFSHORE WILL ACT AS THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY WITH POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD THE FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... A STATIONARY FRONT WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF DISTURBED WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WARM FRONT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN APPROACH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH BEST POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAINING WEST OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...PLEASE STAY ABREAST OF THE LATEST UPDATES ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THIS WEATHER SITUATION.. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. DEESE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
Two swimmers were caught in a rip current at south Flagler Beach near the Flagler-Volusia county line. A bystander rescued both people as fire rescue arrived.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2009Every state in 2009This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2009
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 195840.