A trough over southeast Georgia sagged southward toward north Florida and served as a focus for heavy rainfall from storms in the evening that fired along the sea breezes and outflows.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A trough over southeast Georgia sagged southward toward north Florida and served as a focus for heavy rainfall from storms in the evening that fired along the sea breezes and outflows.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 11, 2:10 PM EST, 1 hour 16 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 310 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 .SYNOPSIS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS MID LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO WITH NW FLOW ALOFT ALLOWING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO MOVE INTO THE FORECASTING AREA. PWAT ANALYSIS SHOWS 2 INCH PLUS OVER SE GA AND AROUND 1.7 TO 1.9 INCHES OVER NE FL. LAPS INDICATING SBCAPE VALUES OF 2000-2700 J/KG. RADAR INDICATES ISOLD TO WIDELY SCT SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE CWA...WITH MEAN LAYER WINDS OUT OF THE W AROUND 10 KT PUSHING THE ACTIVITY SLOWLY E TO ESE. .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT-MONDAY. TONIGHT...MODELS SHOW THE LOW TO MID LEVEL TROUGH AXIS TO SHIFT SWD TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH HIGHER PWATS JUST TO OUR N TO PUSH THROUGH AS WELL. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE... CONVERGENCE FROM THE TROUGH...AND HIGH PWATS WILL CONTINUE A GOOD TO LIKELY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY GIVEN THE HIGH PWATS AOA 2 INCHES WITH TRAINING CELLS POSSIBLE. SEVERE STORM THREAT APPEARS LOW DUE TO WEAK SHEAR BUT PULSE STORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQ LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. MODELS ALSO IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT DRIER AIR WILL WORK IN FROM THE N SAT AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT DRAMATICALLY DECREASING THE POPS FOR THE AREA AS NLY FLOW DEVELOPS FROM 850 MB TO 500 MB. PWATS MAY DROP FROM ABOUT 1.5 TO 2 INCHES SATURDAY TO ABOUT 1.2 INCHES BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THUS...WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS MOST NE FL AREAS ON SATURDAY (CHANCE IN SE GA) THEN DECREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY WHEN WE ADVERTISE 20-30% SW ZONES TO 10% OVER MOST OF SE GA. MONDAY...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE SE CONUS WITH PWATS INCREASING DURING THE DAY. SFC FLOW WILL BE MAINLY SW AND W AS A TROUGH/FRONT PUSHES INTO NC AND CENTRAL GA. CONSENSUS OF ENSEMBLE FORECASTS AND LATEST GFS RUN SUGGESTING 40-50% CHANCE POPS FOR MOST AREAS AND THIS IS IN LINE WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTS. TEMPS DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE CHALLENGING DUE TO THE CONVECTION BUT HAVE GONE WITH A BLEND OF PREFERRED GFS MOS AND PREVIOUS FORECASTS. TEMPS OVERALL LOWER THAN AVERAGE FOR SATURDAY DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND LOWER HEIGHTS ALOFT. .LONG TERM...TUESDAY-FRIDAY. GFS MODEL RUN SHOWS SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SFC TROUGH PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY WITH BEST MOISTURE OVER THE SRN 2/3RDS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE TROUGH WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE THE REST OF THE WEEK AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TRIES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FROM THE N AND NE. THIS MAY END UP FAVORING THE CENTRAL AND WRN ZONES FOR POPS DUE TO BECOME NE OR E FLOW...BUT THIS FAR OUT IN THE FORECAST HAVE ELECTED TO KEEP CHANCE POPS EVERYWHERE DURING THE WEEK...FAIRLY CLOSE TO CLIMO NUMBERS (ABOUT 40%). TEMPS WILL BE NEAR OR PERHAPS BELOW NORMAL DUE TO RELATIVELY LOW 700 MB AND 500 MB HEIGHTS IN ADDITION TO AFTERNOON CONVECTION AND OCCASIONAL CLOUDINESS. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST...AND WILL MAINTAIN VCTS WORDING FOR NE FL TERMINALS THIS AFTERNOON AS STRONGEST DYNAMICS WILL LIKELY HOLD ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT LOOKS MINIMAL AS CLOUDS WILL LIKELY THICKEN OVERNIGHT. && .MARINE...NO HEADLINES FOR THIS PACKAGE. SWELLS SPAWNED FROM HURRICANE BERTHA WILL DOMINATE THE SEAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND HAVE CAPPED COMBINED SEAS AT 5 FEET. OTHERWISE...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY... WITH DRIER AIR WORKING FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 72 93 70 95 / 50 40 10 10 SSI 74 88 75 90 / 60 50 10 10 JAX 73 90 71 92 / 60 60 20 10 SGJ 74 87 73 88 / 60 60 20 10 GNV 73 88 71 92 / 60 70 30 30 OCF 73 87 70 92 / 50 70 40 30 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && SHASHY/ZAPPE/MCALLISTER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 245 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121000- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 245 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... ...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT AREA BEACHES TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY... LONG PERIOD SWELLS FROM HURRICANE BERTHA WILL IMPACT THE SURF ZONE BY INCREASING THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. REMEMBER TO SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND DO NOT SWIM ALONE. REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAILS. AN ACTIVE TROUGH AXIS WILL SLIDE SOUTH INTO THE REGION TONIGHT WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO NORTHEAST FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL KEEP AT LEAST A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE SHARPLY BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED. THEN A RETURN TO MORE NORMAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED IN THEIR AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 151 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 FLZ040-111830- MARION- 151 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 230 PM EDT... AT 151 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER MARION COUNTY...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCALA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT MAINLY RURAL THROUGH 230 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 238 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 FLZ040-111930- MARION- 238 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 330 PM EDT... AT 238 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES WEST OF SUMMERFIELD TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF LAKE WEIR...WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SUMMERFIELD AND LAKE WEIR THROUGH 330 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 321 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 FLZ038-112000- FLAGLER- 321 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN FLAGLER COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 400 PM EDT... AT 321 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 9 MILES WEST OF ORMOND BEACH...MOVING SLOWLY NORTH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS AROUND THROUGH 400 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 421 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 GAZ150-163-112100- CLINCH-WARE- 421 PM EDT FRI JUL 11 2008 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN CLINCH AND WESTERN WARE COUNTIES FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 500 PM EDT... AT 421 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COGDELL...OR 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF ARGYLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND COGDELL...ARGYLE AND MANOR THROUGH 500 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 heavy rain, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Craig Airfield ASOS recorded 2.53 inches of rainfall since 12 pm EDT. It measured a 24-hour total of 4.27 inches.
The Craig Airfield ASOS recorded 2.53 inches of rainfall since 12 pm EDT. It measured a 24-hour total of 4.27 inches.
Widespread heavy rainfall within about 2 hours caused street flooding in various locations from Arlington to the Jacksonville west side. Around 8 pm EDT, flooding was reported at Mayfair Road and Beach Boulevard, and stalled cares were noted at Blanding Boulevard and 103rd Street. Around 912 pm EDT, a spotter measured 2.75 inches of rainfall in a two hour period in the Ortega area. At 923 pm EDT, a spotter reported 3 inches of rainfall and one foot of standing water at the corner of Chergboug Avenue South and Busac Drive about 4 miles southwest of Ortega.
The observer at the Mayport Naval Station reported 1 inch of rain fell within 20 minutes.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2008Every state in 2008This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2008
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 102982, 102983, 102981, 102984.