Hail in Wisconsin, August 28, 2007

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1034 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2007

.UPDATE...
WE INTRODUCED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ARROWHEAD...IRON
RANGE AND THE LARGE INLAND LAKES AREAS...WITH EITHER SCATTERED OR
LIKELY THUNDERSTORMS ELSEWHERE TODAY. WE CONTINUED WITH SCATTERED
THUNDER STORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THIS EVENING AND PRICE
COUNTY TONIGHT. OTHER CHANGES WERE MINOR...WE LIFTED TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE FRONT IS INDISTINCT OVER NORTHWEST WI ATTM...AND ITS CONTINUED
MOVEMENT WILL BE SLOW AT BEST DURING THE DAY. AN APPROACHING
TROUGH OVER THE MANITOBA LAKES IS SLOWING THIS FRONT DOWN. DEW
POINTS REMAIN HIGH SOUTH OF THE MANITOBA LAKES TROUGH AND A GREAT
DEAL OF MOISTURE HAS POOLED ALONG THE WISCONSIN FRONT. PRIND THE
NORTHERN TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BEHIND THE
WISCONSIN FRONT...BRINGING IN MORE DRY AIR. AS ERYR ANCPD...THE
SASKATCHEWAN HIGH WILL SLOWLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA AND KEEP
THINGS DRY FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...INTO...AND LIKELY THROUGH
THE COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2007/

DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS REMAIN ON THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
TODAY. SFC LOW NEAR THE TWIN CITIES ATTM WITH QUASI-STATIONARY
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NEWD THROUGH THE TWIN PORTS AND UP THE NORTH
SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR. THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IN NW WI AHEAD OF THE
SFC BOUNDARY AND IN RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UPPER LEVEL JET/AREA OF
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.

SFC BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REST OF THE FA AS A COLD FRONT
AND SHOULD BE EXITING NW WI BY TONIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED GRIDS/POPS
FOR FRONTAL PASSAGE. ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF THE FRONT STILL JUICY
WITH SFC DEW POINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN NW WI. SEE LATEST DAY 1 CONVECTIVE
OUTLOOK FROM SPC FOR DETAILS. LINGERED SOME MENTION OF PCPN IN WI
COUNTIES AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE SPEEDS THROUGH TONIGHT.

NW FLOW ALOFT AND SFC HIGH SETTLE IN OVER THE FA WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. COOLER MAX TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS. NEXT CHANCE AT
STORMS COMES THIS WEEKEND.

AVIATION...FG WITH IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND AT DLH AND NEAR
LAKE SUPERIOR  THROUGH SUNRISE. SHRA/TSTMS WILL ALSO BRING SCT
MVFR/ISOLD IFR CIGS TO PARTS OF NW WI THROUGH DAY BREAK.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TO VFR FROM W TO E THROUGH THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTN. HOWEVER...SHRA/TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ALONG
AND EAST OF THE FRONT AGAIN THIS AFTN...MAINLY AFFECTING NW WIS.

&&

POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  71  51  73  39 /  30  10  10   0
INL  72  45  72  36 /  20  10  10   0
BRD  76  50  74  44 /  20  10  10   0
HYR  78  52  75  38 /  50  30  10   0
ASX  75  53  72  42 /  40  30  10   0

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.

EOM/BERDES

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
436 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2007

LSZ121-140>148-162-MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-
006>009-291030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
OPEN WATERS OF LAKE SUPERIOR WEST OF A LINE FROM SAXON HARBOR WI
TO GRAND PORTAGE MN-KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-
NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-
SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-
SOUTHERN ITASCA-SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-
SOUTHERN AITKIN-CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-
ASHLAND-IRON-BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
436 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2007

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE RIGHT OF A
LINE FROM SHELL LAKE...TO HAYWARD...AND MERCER WISCONSIN TODAY.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

GSF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1042 AM CDT TUE AUG 28 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             6 S FLOODWOOD           46.84N 92.92W
08/27/2007  E1.75 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MINOR CROP DAMAGE

&&

CLC