S. Drought Monitor.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RNK wrote it up.
An extended period of dry weather allowed parts of far southwest Virginia to be designated as being in Severe Drought (D2) on the U.S. Drought Monitor.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 9, 9:34 PM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1034 PM EDT MON JUL 9 2007 .SYNOPSIS... ANOTHER HOT DAY ON TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST BEFORE ANOTHER DWINDLING COLD FRONT APPROACHES LATE FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... UPSLOPE LOW LEVEL FLOW RESULTING IN SOME ISOLD SHRA/TSRA OVER THE MTNS THIS EVENING. DEEPER MOISTURE STILL SOUTH OF THE CWA...BUT GRADUALLY CREEPING NORTHWARD...NOTE PWAT OF 1.80 IN THE GSO SOUNDING AT 00 UTC. AS MOISTURE INCREASES...ANTICIPATE MORE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP COVERAGE AND CLOUD COVER. SHORT WAVE SEEN ON WATER VAPOR LOOP COMING OUT OF ARKANSAS WILL TRIGGER SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS FROM THIS PRECIPITATION WILL PREVENT TEMPERATURES FROM DROPPING MUCH OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY SINCE THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISE IN SURFACE DEW POINTS AND THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE TRENDING UP. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE THE BLUE RIDGE AND THE REMNANTS OF THE ARKANSAS SHORT WAVE REACHES THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES AT MID LEVELS WILL BE A DEGREE OR SO COOLER THAN TODAY WHICH WILL MEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURES WONT HAVE TO BE QUITE SO WARM TO BREAK THE CAP. WITH MORE STRATOCUMULUS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY...HAVE HIGH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW TODAYS MAXES. FOR LOWS TONIGHT IN GENERAL WENT 2 TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE MAV GUIDANCE. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/... FOLLOWED THE GFS MORE CLOSELY FOR QPF AND TSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON TUESDAY. NAM-WRF LOOKS OVERDONE...ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN CWA WITH TOASTY H7 TEMPS STILL AROUND. TYPICAL SITUATION ACROSS SW CWA HIGHLANDS...WITH CONVECTION FIRING THEN TAKING AN NNE OR ENE ROUTE THROUGH THE REST OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THEN INTO SOUTHERN VA BEFORE LOSING HEATING OF THE DAY. CURIOUSLY...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS HINT AT THIS LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AND TRIED TO FOLLOW THESE DETAILS IN POP GRIDS. IT WILL TAKE BETTER FORCING FROM A WEAKENING COLD FRONT LATE WEDNESDAY TO ALLOW MORE COVERAGE WEDNESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT...BUT AGAIN...WARM MIDLEVELS MAY LEAD TO BROKEN LINE CRUMBLING AS IT TRIES TO CROSS THE BLUE RIDGE. DID DROP IN LIKELY POPS ALONG EXTREME WESTERN BORDER...WITH LOWER POPS IN SE CORNER AS FRONT DIES. H85 PUSH BACK UP TO +19C ALONG SOUTHERN FRINGE...SO NOT MUCH OF A COOL DOWN IN STORE...BUT ENOUGH COOLING IN THE MIDLEVELS ALONG WITH REMNANTS OF FRONT TO ALLOW FOR AIRMASS STORMS...SO DID KEEP SLT CHC POPS MAINLY FROM THE BLUE RIDGE ON EAST. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... ENSEMBLES AND ECMWF VERIFY THAT OP GFS IS OVERDONE WITH STRENGTH OF SHRTWV AND BOUNDARY WHICH KICKS UP A LINE OF PRECIP FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NOT THINKING THAT THERE WILL BE MUCH LEFT OF THIS LIFT ONCE IT CROSSES THE RIDGES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR MUCH OF THE WEAKENING...BEST RETROGRADING WESTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE MAY COMBINE WITH A SHRTWV MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST...FOR SHWRS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PERSIST LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY FROM A K78N TO KDAN TO KFVX CORRIDOR...AS SOME COOLER AND DRIER AIR TRIES TO FILL FROM WEST VIRGINIA. THIS COULD PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR MORE PERSISTENT SHWRS AND TSTORMS ALONG NE PORTION OF CWA...WHICH IS RATHER DRY RIGHT NOW. && .AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... WEAKNESS IN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE MOUNTAINS IS ALLOWING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE SLOWLY TRACKING TO THE NORTH. AFTER SUNSET...THESE STORMS WILL DIMINISH WITH SOME DEBRIS CLOUDS LINGERING INTO THE EVENING. CLOUD DECK WILL REMAIN VFR. AREAS SEEING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL LIKELY SEE FOG DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. LIFR FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND MVFR FOG IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. A SHORT WAVE ENTERS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE FOR PULSE CONVECTION ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...ISOLATED COVERAGE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. FOR A VISUAL SNAPSHOT OF AREAL CONVECTION TOMORROW...TAKE A LOOK AT RADAR COVERAGE ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON. DEBRIS CLOUDS WILL LINGER A LITTLE LONGER TUESDAY NIGHT WITH FOG POSSIBLE BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAYS AND THURSDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO OUR REGION. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION AND SEVERE POTENTIAL INCREASES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS PRE-FRONTAL BAND MOVES TO THE EAST COAST. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO RETURN BY THE WEEKEND. && .FIRE WEATHER... NEW FIRE IN THE CWA RESULTING FROM A LIGHTNING STRIKE...LOCATED IN THE JAMES RIVER WILDERNESS AREA NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE. RH DROPPED INTO THE UPPER 30 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FIRE TO SPREAD. SIMILAR RH READINGS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER ANTICIPATE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER WITH THE THREAT OF A WETTING SHOWER. A MUCH GREATER THREAT OF PRECIP IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE WEDNESDAY. MAIN CONCERN TO FIRE MANAGERS NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BE VERY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND THE THREAT OF NEW FIRE STARTS AS THE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL INCREASES. && .CLIMATE... HERE ARE SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPS FOR TUESDAY. A RECORD HIGH TEMP HAS ALREADY BEEN SET TODAY AT BLF. LEMONADE WILL BE SERVED AT BLUEFIELD WEST VIRGINIA...SEE WBCRERBLF. TUESDAY 97(1990) ROANOKE 106(1936) LYNCHBURG 105(1990) DANVILLE 90(1988) BLUEFIELD 94(1993) BLACKSBURG && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...KM NEAR TERM...AMS/PM SHORT TERM...KM LONG TERM...KM AVIATION...RCS FIRE WEATHER...PM CLIMATE...RCS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 358 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2007 NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042>045-100800- ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND- GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG- ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN- BEDFORD-AMHERST-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 358 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ004>006-VAZ043>047-058-059-100800- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX- BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE- 358 AM EDT MON JUL 9 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL CAUSE HEAT INDEX VALUES TO RISE TO BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL AGAIN RISE TO AROUND 100 DEGREES TUESDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Hay and pasture production was down fourty to fifty percent due to the drought resulting in a shortage of winter feed for livestock.
Hay and pasture production was down significantly due to the drought resulting in a shortage of winter feed for livestock.
There was an estimated 16,000 ton loss of hay and pasture due to the drought resulting in a shortage of winter feed for livestock. Cow and calf weights were down fifteen to twenty percent.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Virginia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 49127, 49129, 49130.