A stalled front stretched from the Permian Basin across the Trans Pecos to the Davis Mountains. Abundant moisture and slow storm motion resulted in flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A stalled front stretched from the Permian Basin across the Trans Pecos to the Davis Mountains. Abundant moisture and slow storm motion resulted in flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 1:47 PM CST, 5 hours 31 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 247 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 .SHORT TERM... A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOTED ALONG A COLORADO CITY TO MONAHANS TO NORTHERN DAVIS MOUNTAINS LINE IS NOTED ON THE LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND A GOOD PORTION OF WEST TEXAS. MOISTURE LEVELS APPEAR HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. WE WILL CONTINUE TO PLACE THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR RAINFALL ACROSS THE ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS WHERE MOISTURE LEVELS ARE HIGHEST. GIVEN DECENT AGREEMENT IN MOS POPS...WE HAVE RAISED OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR ALONG AND NORTH OF A VAN HORN TO SNYDER LINE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS GIVEN RELATIVELY WEAK 0-6KM WINDS. ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND TRANS PECOS REGION DECENT SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY. .LONG TERM... UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE OVER CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS INTO MONDAY WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING INTO THE EASTERN CWA. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE ALONG THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE RIDGE AFFECTING MAINLY THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT WILL STRETCH FROM SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ACROSS THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE UPPER HIGH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN MONDAY EVENING ALLOWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS TO EXTEND INTO THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH A STRONGER COLD FRONT INTO THE CWA MONDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL TO DEVELOP OVER THE CWA MONDAY AS THE STATIONARY FRONT AND THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. SO WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY POPS IN THE WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED CATEGORY WITH THE HIGHER POPS OVER THE NORTHERN CWA. AN INCREASE IN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAIN AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BUT WILL DEFER THAT TO LATER SHIFTS. BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHERN CWA AS THE FRONT CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY LOW POPS OVER THE NORTHERN CWA FOR ANY LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE INTO THE CWA BEHIND THE FRONT. THE DRIER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS HIGH WILL END CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND 80S CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES INTO THE AREA. A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH BEGINS TO MOVE EAST AND THE SKY CLEARS ALLOWING MORE SUNSHINE OVER THE AREA. NEXT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS PROGGED BY GFS TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CWA. WILL LEAVE ISOLATED POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR MAINLY THE EASTERN SECTIONS FOR SATURDAY DUE TO THIS SYSTEM. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 68 86 63 79 / 30 50 60 20 CARLSBAD NM 67 89 65 80 / 50 40 60 20 DRYDEN TX 72 92 71 87 / 10 20 50 30 FORT STOCKTON TX 70 90 67 82 / 30 30 50 30 GUADALUPE PASS TX 63 85 59 75 / 60 40 60 30 HOBBS NM 65 88 64 82 / 50 40 60 20 MARFA TX 58 84 61 76 / 40 30 50 40 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 69 88 65 80 / 30 40 60 20 ODESSA TX 70 88 65 81 / 40 40 60 20 WINK TX 73 92 70 85 / 50 40 60 20 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 06/54
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 146 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-101900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 146 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 /1246 PM MDT SUN SEP 9 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT OVER ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ANTICIPATED TO BE FROM SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN OF WEST TEXAS. WHILE THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE GREATEST CONCERN WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN OF WEST TEXAS WHERE HEAVY RAINS FELL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND THE TRANS PECOS REGION OF WEST TEXAS. LARGE HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS WILL REMAIN OVER ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY WILL BE OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN BASIN OF WEST TEXAS. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THESE AREAS... WITH THE GREATEST THREAT EXPECTED ACROSS THOSE LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE MINIMAL THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...THUS SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. PLEASE RELAY REPORTS OF FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 237 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 TXZ258-092030- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 137 PM MDT SUN SEP 9 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CULBERSON COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF PINE SPRINGS AT 137 PM MDT/237 PM CDT/. THIS STORM IS MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH... HAIL TO THE SIZE OF MARBLES... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE. MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK. PERSONS IN THE PARK SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE COVER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 318 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 TXZ079-080-092115- PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- 318 PM CDT SUN SEP 9 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR WESTERN PRESIDIO COUNTY. A LARGE AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ACROSS OPEN COUNTRY OF NORTHWEST PRESIDIO COUNTY FROM NEAR RUIDOSA NORTHWARD INCLUDING CANDELARIA. THE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. PEOPLE IN WESTERN PRESIDIO COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS. SEEK SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR LOCATION.
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 12 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:19 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Widespread flooding occurred throughout the city of Midland resulting in two submerged vehicles at the intersection of Schauburer and A Streets.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 54522.