Nebraska, 2007

Flash Flood and Damaging Wind in Nebraska, August 7, 2007

August 7, 2007 · NWS LBF · 2 events in 1 county or zone

An isolated severe thunderstorm produced wind gusts around 60 mph near Moorefield which destroyed a pop up camper and dropped 4 inch diameter tree limbs.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$20,000
Crop damage
$15,000
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LBF wrote it up.

An isolated severe thunderstorm produced wind gusts around 60 mph near Moorefield which destroyed a pop up camper and dropped 4 inch diameter tree limbs.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS North Platte, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 6, 5:56 PM CST, 6 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 6, 5:56 PM CST, 6 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
656 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007

.UPDATE...
REMOVED SEVERE WORDING IN THE GRIDDED FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AS
AFTERNOON HEATING WAS INSUFFICIENT TO INITIATE DEVELOPMENT ALONG
FRONT OR ANY EXISTING BOUNDARIES. STILL...AT LEAST ISOLATED
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE TONIGHT. ALSO MODELS INDICATING MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO LATE TONIGHT COULD
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHWESTERN ZONES SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURRED
EARLY THIS MORNING AND MODIFIED 12Z-18Z TUESDAY GRIDS TO REFLECT
THIS.

&&

KAR

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007/

DISCUSSION...
STILL NO REAL CHANGES IN THE FCST THINKING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
NAM AND GFS BOTH INDICATE A STEADY STREAM OF DISTURBANCES MOVING
OFF THE COLO FRONT RANGE. IN FACT...THE NAM NOW INDICATES ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY PRODUCING MORE STORMS.
STORM DEVELOPMENT IS PARTIALLY FORCED BY HIGH CAPE AND INSTABILITY.
THE OFFICIAL FCST DISCOUNTS THIS FEATURE THURSDAY BUT LATER FCSTS MAY
HAVE TO ADJUST.

DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THURSDAY AND ON
THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY FOR THE MOST PART. THE GFS AND NAM SUGGEST A
DRYLINE BULGE WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY HELPING TO PROVIDE FOCUS FOR
TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN THE LATE AFTN. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE STRONG AND SPC
HAS OUTLOOKED THE FCST AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER TUES AND WEDS. BOTH
MODELS SUGGEST THE CAP WILL BE WEAK ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED CONVECTION
TO FORM SO POPS ARE ALLOWED TO FLOAT AS HIGH AS 40 PERCENT.

MAJOR TIMING ISSUES HAVE DEVELOPED AS DISTURBANCES ROTATE AROUND THE
H5 SUBTROPICAL HIGH. THE FCST USES THE LATEST MODEL DATA AND IS A
BLEND OF THE NAM12 AND GFS. NO ATTEMPT WAS MADE TO SECOND GUESS OR
REFINE THE MODEL FCSTS.

FOR TONIGHT...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE SURFACE DRYLINE FROM
ROUGHLY KVTN SOUTH TO KOGA AND KIML IS EXPECTED TO PRESS EAST.
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT FROM KLXN TO KAUH WILL LIFT NORTH. VERY STRONG
WAA ACROSS KS WITH TEMPS IN THE 90S WILL FUEL SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
NERN NEB ZONES. FCST IS SOMEWHAT SPECULATIVE AS ATM HAS STABILIZED IN
THE WAKE OF THE THIS MORNINGS MCS. THIS IS VERY SHORT TURN AROUND FOR
SEVERE WEATHER. LATER TONIGHT A DISTURBANCE APPEARS TO BE EMERGING
FROM THE CNTL/SRN ROCKIES. STORMS COULD DEVELOP EASTWARD THIS
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PROSPECTS FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ARE BEST
ANALYZED AT 18Z EACH DAY SO NO ADDITIONAL DISCUSSION WILL BE
PROVIDED.

BEYOND...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...HPC AND GFS BOTH SUGGEST ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE FRIDAY NIGHT AND THEN THE CAP STRENGTHENS AND PCPN CHCS
DIMINISH. THE H5 SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS FCST TO RETREAT WESTWARD ACROSS
THE CNTL PLAINS. VERY WARM...HUMID AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE. LATER FCSTS MAY HAVE TO ADD ISOLD TSTMS. FOR NOW THERE IS A
CHC OF STORMS LATE FRIDAY OTHERWISE THE FCST IS DRY.

THE TEMP FORECAST IS THE USUAL BLEND OF NAM12 2M TEMPS...GUIDANCE
AND HPC GUIDANCE. A SLIGHT DOWNWARD ADJUSTMENT WAS MADE AS GUIDANCE
HAS BEEN TOO WARM THIS SUMMER. HIGHS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S IN THE VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT.

AVIATION...
THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING...AND THE CLOUDINESS IN
ITS WAKE...APPEAR TO BE HOLDING TEMPERATURES DOWN OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA. THIS WOULD TEND TO KEEP THE LOWEST LEVELS FAIRLY STABLE AND
SUPPRESS THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. BECAUSE OF THE
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS
AND...EVEN MORE SO...THE OCCURRENCE OF A STORM IN THE IMMEDIATE
AREAS OF NORTH PLATTE AND VALENTINE...WE WILL HOLD OFF ON THE
MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AND PUT IN A MENTION OF CB IN THE TERMINAL
FORECASTS UNTIL A MORE COHESIVE SCENARIO DEVELOPS. OUTSIDE OF THE
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...IT APPEARS THAT CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES
WILL BE IN THE VISUAL TO UNRESTRICTED RANGE THROUGH TUESDAY.

LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

CDC
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 6, 9:35 PM CST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1035 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-080345-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
1035 PM CDT MON AUG 6 2007 /935 PM MDT MON AUG 6 2007/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT. THE BEST FOCUS WILL BE ALONG A WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WHERE MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXIST...ESPECIALLY
NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRACKING
NORTHEAST FROM COLORADO WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOP OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING INTENSE RAINFALL WITH RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE
FLASH FLOODING IN SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST
ALONG THE WARM FRONT TUESDAY PROVIDING FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAYS 2 AND 91.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK
WHILE A SURFACE BOUNDARY IS LIKELY TO PERSIST ON THE HIGH PLAINS.
AS A RESULT...THERE IS A CONTINUED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEARLY
EVERY DAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

KAR

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 144 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Frontier

When
August 7, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Frontier County, Moorefield
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$20,000
Crop damage
$15,000
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
40.680, -100.330

A pop-up camper was destroyed and 4 inch diameter tree limbs were broken by thunderstorm wind gusts.

Flash Flood, Frontier

When
August 7, 12:55 AM CST to 3:00 AM CST
Where
Frontier County, Curtis
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
40.630, -100.520

Heavy rain from a thunderstorm produced 2.93 inches of rain in one hour and just over 3 inches in two hours causing flash flooding of streets.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nebraska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, August 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 51500, 57031.