A cold front slowly approached the region. A series of thunderstorms repeatedly passed over Carter County, producing isolated flash flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A cold front slowly approached the region. A series of thunderstorms repeatedly passed over Carter County, producing isolated flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 8, 2:50 AM CST, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 350 AM CDT SAT SEP 8 2007 .DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERNS FOR THIS FORECAST ARE POPS...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY. POPS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE FRONTAL POSITION AND TIMING OF MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. THE CONSENSUS THIS MORNING IS TO FOLLOW THE 00Z GFS FOR DETAILS OF THE FORECAST. THE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPEARS TO HAVE STALLED OUT ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS...JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. NO LESS THAN 3 MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES ARE FORCING POPS IN OR APPROACHING THE AREA. THE WEAKEST IS LOCATED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE...FORCING SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE PENNYRILE REGION. A SECOND ONE IS LOCATED ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI...FORCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. THE THIRD AND APPARENTLY STRONGEST IS AN MCV OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WHICH IS CREATING A SIGNIFICANT AREA OF CONVECTION ACROSSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA ALL THE WAY INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. WITH THE FRONT REMAINING NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL PROVIDE PLENTY OF FUEL FOR THE MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES TO WORK WITH. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE TODAY AND LIKELY TONIGHT AS WELL. CATEGORICAL POPS WEST AND HIGH LIKELY POPS EAST SHOULD HANDLE THE SITUATION TODAY...WHILE HIGH LIKELY POPS WILL DO THE TRICK FOR TONIGHT. BY LATE TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA...AS A STRONGER MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. BY THE END OF THE DAY SUNDAY THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR NORTHEAST ALLOWING WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA TO VEER TO NEAR DUE WEST. MEANWHILE...AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...CREATING A COL IN THE WIND FIELD ACROSS THE QUAD STATE. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL FINALLY BUILD ACROSS THE AREA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AS A MUCH STRONGER MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE DIVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WILL FINALLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA SUNDAY...CREATING YET ANOTHER DAY OF LIKELY POPS. DESPITE THE FRONT ESTABLISHING ITSELF JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA...WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS GOING THROUGHOUT THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AS DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO PASS OVER THE REGION. THE LAST HURRAH LOOKS TO BE ON MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...AS THE CENTRAL PLAINS SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH THE REGION. LOWERED THE POPS FOR TUESDAY AND WOULD HAVE LIKED TO REMOVE THE POPS FOR TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT IT. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...WENT WITH THE CONSENSUS FOR HIGHS TODAY...AND THEN WENT ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT. LIKED THE COOLISH FWC FOR HIGHS SUNDAY...AND THEN THE MAV FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE AT OR BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. ITS ABOUT TIME. && .AVIATION... THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND...WITH A SWRLY LOW LEVEL MOIST FLOW AND PLENTY OF CLOUDINESS. THIS MORNING...SHWR ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BE ALL THAT WDSPRD EXCEPT IN THE OZARK FOOTHILLS REGION OF MO. HOWEVER...THE COVERAGE OF SHWRS WILL INCREASE TODAY FROM WEST TO EAST...WITH A SOMEWHAT LESSER COVERAGE OF TSTMS. AFTER SOME INITIAL LIGHT FOG IN THE MORNING...CIGS/VSBYS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN VFR DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS EXCEPT IN SHWRS/TSTMS. WITH MORE MOISTURE FROM ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AVAILABLE...EXPECT THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE FOG TONIGHT AT MANY AIRPORTS. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && PUBLIC.......DRS AVIATION.....DB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 416 AM CDT SAT SEP 8 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-091000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 416 AM CDT SAT SEP 8 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE FROM SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WILL LIKELY RECEIVE THE MOST RAINFALL...AND WILL THEREFORE BE THE MOST LIKELY AREA TO EXPERIENCE SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO REPORT ANY HEAVY RAINFALL OR FLOODING PROBLEMS THEY ENCOUNTER OVER THE WEEKEND. DRS
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 191 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:01 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Missouri DOT reported several creeks were being sandbagged due to flooding of secondary roads in and around Van Buren.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 54033.